NCAA Predictor
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Thursday, January 16, 2025 63 games

Today: winner picks 33 of 44 right · line picks 2 of 7 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Maine 57 @ NJIT 44 ME Solid 83% ✓ ME -10.5 ME won by 13 · covered 131.5 14 met · NJIT 8 · ME 6
Final Cheyney (PA) 62 @ Coppin St 88 COPP Banker 95% ✓ 2 met · COPP 2 · CHEY 0
Final New Hampshire 79 @ UMBC 76 UMBC Banker 89% ✗ UMBC -13.5 UNH +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ UMBC lost by 3 · not covered 152.5 45 met · UMBC 22 · UNH 23
Final West Georgia 60 @ FGCU 82 FGCU Banker 87% ✓ FGCU -12.5 WGA +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ FGCU won by 22 · covered 142.5 1 met · FGCU 1 · WGA 0
Final Lipscomb 87 @ Bellarmine 53 LIP Banker 91% ✓ LIP -14.5 BELL +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ LIP won by 34 · covered 143.5 7 met · BELL 2 · LIP 5
Final Stony Brook 74 @ Delaware 84 DEL Solid 83% ✓ DEL -10.5 DEL won by 10 · not covered 147.5 5 met · DEL 3 · STBK 2
Final Bryant 89 @ UAlbany 79 BRY -2.5 BRY won by 10 · covered 159.5 7 met · UALB 3 · BRY 4
Final New Mexico St 59 @ FIU 52 NMSU Solid 62% ✓ NMSU -3.5 NMSU won by 7 · covered 142.5 5 met · FIU 1 · NMSU 4
Final Louisiana Tech 61 @ Jax State 63 LT -2.5 LT lost by 2 · not covered 139.5 2 met · JXST 0 · LT 2
Final Sam Houston 69 @ Kennesaw St 75 KENN -1.5 KENN won by 6 · covered 161.5 Never met
Final Canisius 61 @ Iona 82 IONA Solid 85% ✓ IONA -11.5 IONA won by 21 · covered 141.5 48 met · IONA 34 · CAN 14
Final Sacred Heart 75 @ Siena 93 SIE -1.5 SIE won by 18 · covered 143.5 Never met
Final Mount St Marys 60 @ Rider 66 RID -0.5 RID won by 6 · covered 137.5 4 met · RID 3 · MSM 1
Final Niagara 66 @ Fairfield 70 FAIR -1.5 FAIR won by 4 · covered 133.5 47 met · FAIR 22 · NIA 25
Final Marist 56 @ Saint Peter's 51 SPU -0.5 SPU lost by 5 · not covered 121.5 47 met · SPU 28 · MRST 19
Final Merrimack 76 @ Quinnipiac 81 QUIN Solid 66% ✓ QUIN -4.5 QUIN won by 5 · covered 134.5 Never met
Final North Alabama 60 @ Jacksonville 64 UNA -1.5 UNA lost by 4 · not covered 142.5 9 met · JAX 3 · UNA 6
Final Queens 95 @ Stetson 60 QUC Solid 69% ✓ QUC -5.5 QUC won by 35 · covered 156.5 5 met · STET 2 · QUC 3
Final C Arkansas 80 @ North Florida 92 UNF Solid 85% ✓ UNF -11.5 UNF won by 12 · covered 157.5 3 met · UNF 1 · CARK 2
Final Northeastern 72 @ UNC Wilmington 80 UNCW Solid 72% ✓ UNCW -6.5 UNCW won by 8 · covered 141.5 34 met · UNCW 17 · NE 17
Final Hofstra 60 @ Towson 65 TOW Solid 66% ✓ TOW -4.5 TOW won by 5 · covered 124.5 43 met · TOW 15 · HOF 28
Final Monmouth 72 @ NC A&T 63 MONM -2.5 MONM won by 9 · covered 152.5 4 met · NCAT 0 · MONM 4
Final William & Mary 67 @ Hampton 64 W&M Solid 62% ✓ W&M -3.5 W&M won by 3 · not covered 151.5 21 met · HAMP 7 · W&M 14
Final Elon 65 @ Drexel 54 DREX -1.5 DREX lost by 11 · not covered 133.5 20 met · DREX 12 · ELON 8
Final Charleston 67 @ Campbell 61 COFC Solid 66% ✓ COFC -4.5 COFC won by 6 · covered 152.5 4 met · CAM 0 · COFC 4
Final App State 62 @ Old Dominion 43 APP Solid 62% ✓ APP -3.5 APP won by 19 · covered 134.5 4 met · ODU 1 · APP 3
Final GA Southern 88 @ Coastal 87 CCU -1.5 CCU lost by 1 · not covered 140.5 18 met · CCU 8 · GASO 10
Final Marshall 64 @ James Madison 67 JMU Solid 75% ✓ JMU -7.5 JMU won by 3 · not covered 144.5 10 met · JMU 7 · MRSH 3
Final Binghamton 64 @ Vermont 72 UVM Solid 83% ✓ UVM -10.5 UVM won by 8 · not covered 126.5 51 met · UVM 43 · BING 8
Final 20Michigan 81 @ Minnesota 84 MICH Solid 83% ✗ MICH -10.5 MICH lost by 3 · not covered 144.5 39 met · MINN 12 · MICH 27
Final 18Memphis 81 @ Temple 88 MEM Solid 75% ✗ MEM -7.5 MEM lost by 7 · not covered 155.5 16 met · TEM 6 · MEM 10
Final High Point 80 @ Longwood 82 HPU Solid 62% ✗ HPU -3.5 HPU lost by 2 · not covered 153.5 33 met · LONG 16 · HPU 17
Final W Illinois 47 @ Morehead St 51 MORE Solid 78% ✓ MORE -8.5 MORE won by 4 · not covered 130.5 4 met · MORE 4 · WIU 0
Final Kansas City 64 @ N Dakota St 71 NDSU Solid 78% ✓ NDSU -8.5 NDSU won by 7 · not covered 140.5 24 met · NDSU 16 · KC 8
Final Oral Roberts 82 @ South Dakota 92 SDAK Solid 75% ✓ SDAK -7.5 SDAK won by 10 · covered 171.5 22 met · SDAK 10 · ORU 12
Final North Dakota 73 @ S Dakota St 109 SDST Solid 85% ✓ SDST -11.5 SDST won by 36 · covered 157.5 19 met · SDST 18 · UND 1
Final CA Baptist 57 @ Tarleton St 67 CBU Solid 62% ✗ CBU -3.5 CBU lost by 10 · not covered 130.5 6 met · TAR 1 · CBU 5
Final Utah Valley 85 @ UT Arlington 83 UTA -0.5 UTA lost by 2 · not covered 146.5 6 met · UTA 4 · UVU 2
Final E Kentucky 90 @ Austin Peay 97 EKU -2.5 EKU lost by 7 · not covered 143.5 40 met · APSU 23 · EKU 17
Final Louisiana 63 @ Arkansas St 83 ARST Banker 93% ✓ ARST -16.5 UL +16.5 · covers 53% ✗ ARST won by 20 · covered 148.5 43 met · ARST 16 · UL 27
Final Portland St 69 @ N Colorado 72 UNCO Solid 81% ✓ UNCO -9.5 UNCO won by 3 · not covered 153.5 37 met · UNCO 17 · PRST 20
Final Sacramento St 53 @ N Arizona 77 NAU Solid 78% ✓ NAU -8.5 NAU won by 24 · covered 138.5 43 met · NAU 30 · SAC 13
Final E Illinois 63 @ UT Martin 68 UTM Solid 69% ✓ UTM -5.5 UTM won by 5 · not covered 136.5 45 met · UTM 20 · EIU 25
Final Lindenwood 73 @ S Indiana 80 USI -1.5 USI won by 7 · covered 142.5 4 met · USI 3 · LIN 1
Final SE Missouri 77 @ Tennessee Tech 70 TNTC -1.5 TNTC lost by 7 · not covered 142.5 38 met · TNTC 26 · SEMO 12
Final SIUE 87 @ Tennessee St 80 SIUE -1.5 SIUE won by 7 · covered 142.5 18 met · TNST 12 · SIUE 6
Final UTEP 72 @ Liberty 70 LIB Solid 78% ✗ LIB -8.5 LIB lost by 2 · not covered 134.5 3 met · LIB 1 · UTEP 2
Final Abilene Chrstn 58 @ Grand Canyon 88 GCU Banker 89% ✓ GCU -13.5 ACU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ GCU won by 30 · covered 144.5 6 met · GCU 5 · ACU 1
Final Montana 63 @ Weber St 59 WEB -0.5 WEB lost by 4 · not covered 145.5 52 met · WEB 25 · MONT 27
Final Montana St 67 @ Idaho St 70 IDST -0.5 IDST won by 3 · covered 137.5 41 met · IDST 13 · MTST 28
Final Rutgers 85 @ Nebraska 82 NEB Solid 78% ✗ NEB -8.5 NEB lost by 3 · not covered 145.5 19 met · NEB 11 · RUTG 8
Final Maryland 74 @ Northwestern 76 MD -2.5 MD lost by 2 · not covered 139.5 17 met · NU 5 · MD 12
Final Utah Tech 62 @ Seattle U 82 SEA Solid 85% ✓ SEA -11.5 SEA won by 20 · covered 141.5 8 met · SEA 6 · UTU 2
Final Washington St 65 @ San Diego 61 WSU Banker 87% ✓ WSU -12.5 USD +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ WSU won by 4 · not covered 154.5 2 met · USD 1 · WSU 1
Final San Francisco 80 @ Pepperdine 63 SF Solid 72% ✓ SF -6.5 SF won by 17 · covered 149.5 45 met · PEPP 12 · SF 33
Final Pacific 81 @ Portland 84 PORT Solid 62% ✓ PORT -3.5 PORT won by 3 · not covered 146.5 23 met · PORT 9 · PAC 14
Final Santa Clara 54 @ LMU 57 SCU Solid 66% ✗ SCU -4.5 SCU lost by 3 · not covered 148.5 45 met · LMU 20 · SCU 25
Final UC San Diego 80 @ Long Beach St 54 UCSD Banker 91% ✓ UCSD -14.5 LBSU +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ UCSD won by 26 · covered 136.5 6 met · LBSU 4 · UCSD 2
Final UC Riverside 63 @ Santa Barbara 66 UCSB Solid 72% ✓ UCSB -6.5 UCSB won by 3 · not covered 140.5 45 met · UCSB 31 · UCR 14
Final Fullerton 62 @ UC Irvine 82 UCI Banker 96% ✓ UCI -19.5 UCI won by 20 · covered 136.5 49 met · UCI 28 · CSUF 21
Final UC Davis 65 @ Cal Poly 54 CP Solid 69% ✗ CP -5.5 CP lost by 11 · not covered 155.5 43 met · CP 15 · UCD 28
Final 16Gonzaga 89 @ Oregon St 97 GONZ Solid 78% ✗ GONZ -8.5 GONZ lost by 8 · not covered 151.5 Never met
Final CSU Northridge 83 @ Hawai'i 60 HAW Solid 62% ✗ HAW -3.5 HAW lost by 23 · not covered 146.5 27 met · HAW 19 · CSUN 8