Wednesday, January 15, 2025 48 games

Today: winner picks 29 of 33 right · line picks 2 of 7 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	W Carolina	50	@ VMI	66		VMI -1.5			VMI won by 16 · covered	147.5			23 met · VMI 8 · WCU 15
Final	South Carolina	63	@ Vanderbilt	66	VAN Solid 81% ✓	VAN -9.5			VAN won by 3 · not covered	141.5			36 met · VAN 19 · SC 17
Final	Lehigh	58	@ Boston U	63	BU Solid 66% ✓	BU -4.5			BU won by 5 · covered	132.5			24 met · BU 14 · LEH 10
Final	Lafayette	68	@ Army	70		ARMY -1.5			ARMY won by 2 · covered	137.5			43 met · ARMY 18 · LAF 25
Final	Davidson	76	@ La Salle	79		DAV -1.5			DAV lost by 3 · not covered	149.5			14 met · LAS 3 · DAV 11
Final	Stanford	67	@ Wake Forest	80	WAKE Solid 69% ✓	WAKE -5.5			WAKE won by 13 · covered	141.5			Never met
Final	Charleston So	97	@ Winthrop	102	WIN Solid 83% ✓	WIN -10.5			WIN won by 5 · not covered	159.5			46 met · WIN 38 · CHSO 8
Final	SC Upstate	92	@ UNC Asheville	93	UNCA Solid 85% ✓	UNCA -11.5			UNCA won by 1 · not covered	162.5			17 met · UNCA 12 · UPST 5
Final	The Citadel	57	@ UNC Greensboro	70	UNCG Banker 93% ✓	UNCG -16.5		CIT +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	UNCG won by 13 · not covered	130.5			39 met · UNCG 34 · CIT 5
Final	ETSU	70	@ Furman	73	FUR Solid 62% ✓	FUR -3.5			FUR won by 3 · not covered	140.5			28 met · FUR 14 · ETSU 14
Final	Samford	75	@ Mercer	74	SAM Solid 69% ✓	SAM -5.5			SAM won by 1 · not covered	164.5			24 met · MER 19 · SAM 5
Final	Wofford	81	@ Chattanooga	83		UTC -2.5			UTC won by 2 · not covered	146.5			43 met · UTC 25 · WOF 18
Final	N Kentucky	58	@ Cleveland St	76	CLE Solid 66% ✓	CLE -4.5			CLE won by 18 · covered	132.5			20 met · CLE 9 · NKU 11
Final	IU Indy	59	@ Oakland	72	OAK Solid 78% ✓	OAK -8.5			OAK won by 13 · covered	135.5			38 met · OAK 23 · IUIN 15
Final	Purdue FW	120	@ Wright St	113		PFW -1.5			PFW won by 7 · covered	152.5			9 met · WRST 5 · PFW 4
Final	Seton Hall	77	@ Butler	82	BTLR Solid 72% ✓	BTLR -6.5			BTLR won by 5 · not covered	137.5			24 met · BTLR 10 · HALL 14
Final	Holy Cross	82	@ Bucknell	86	BUCK Solid 69% ✓	BUCK -5.5			BUCK won by 4 · not covered	134.5			53 met · BUCK 32 · HC 21
Final	Colgate	73	@ Navy	66		COLG -2.5			COLG won by 7 · covered	137.5			47 met · NAVY 11 · COLG 36
Final	S Illinois	73	@ Missouri St	51		MOST -1.5			MOST lost by 22 · not covered	135.5			52 met · MOST 23 · SIU 29
Final	George Mason	67	@ Dayton	59	DAY Solid 75% ✗	DAY -7.5			DAY lost by 8 · not covered	133.5			16 met · DAY 10 · GMU 6
Final	Duquesne	73	@ G Washington	65	GW Solid 62% ✗	GW -3.5			GW lost by 8 · not covered	138.5			34 met · GW 20 · DUQ 14
Final	UMass	120	@ Fordham	118		FOR -0.5			FOR lost by 2 · not covered	154.5			29 met · FOR 12 · MASS 17
Final	Richmond	49	@ St Bonaventure	63	SBU Banker 89% ✓	SBU -13.5		RICH +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	SBU won by 14 · covered	128.5			31 met · SBU 15 · RICH 16
Final	NC State	76	@ Virginia Tech	79		NCSU -1.5			NCSU lost by 3 · not covered	134.5			26 met · VT 11 · NCSU 15
Final	California	53	@ North Carolina	79	UNC Banker 92% ✓	UNC -15.5		CAL +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	UNC won by 26 · covered	159.5			Never met
Final	UAB	92	@ South Florida	83		UAB -2.5			UAB won by 9 · covered	156.5			15 met · USF 2 · UAB 13
Final	9Kansas	57	@ 2Iowa State	74	ISU Solid 69% ✓	ISU -5.5			ISU won by 17 · covered	143.5			49 met · ISU 12 · KU 37
Final	Gardner-Webb	75	@ Radford	79	RAD Solid 72% ✓	RAD -6.5			RAD won by 4 · not covered	145.5			31 met · RAD 13 · GWEB 18
Final	Bowie St	76	@ Howard	73									Never met
Final	Troy	77	@ UL Monroe	58	TROY Banker 87% ✓	TROY -12.5		ULM +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	TROY won by 19 · covered	136.5			26 met · ULM 10 · TROY 16
Final	Penn State	85	@ 12Michigan St	90	MSU Solid 85% ✓	MSU -11.5			MSU won by 5 · not covered	152.5			35 met · MSU 28 · PSU 7
Final	FAU	65	@ Tulane	80		FAU -2.5			FAU lost by 15 · not covered	153.5			3 met · TULN 1 · FAU 2
Final	23Georgia	56	@ 6Tennessee	74	TENN Banker 87% ✓	TENN -12.5		UGA +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	TENN won by 18 · covered	134.5			35 met · TENN 22 · UGA 13
Final	Southern Miss	62	@ South Alabama	75	USA Banker 87% ✓	USA -12.5		USM +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	USA won by 13 · covered	139.5			22 met · USA 12 · USM 10
Final	Georgia St	80	@ Texas St	94	TXST Solid 81% ✓	TXST -9.5			TXST won by 14 · covered	148.5			17 met · TXST 6 · GAST 11
Final	Indiana St	65	@ Bradley	118	BRAD Solid 78% ✓	BRAD -8.5			BRAD won by 53 · covered	155.5			46 met · BRAD 22 · INST 24
Final	Murray St	93	@ UIC	97		UIC -2.5			UIC won by 4 · covered	140.5			5 met · UIC 1 · MUR 4
Final	Utah	73	@ TCU	65	TCU Solid 62% ✗	TCU -3.5			TCU lost by 8 · not covered	143.5			15 met · TCU 5 · UTAH 10
Final	West Virginia	54	@ 10Houston	70	HOU Banker 93% ✓	HOU -16.5		WVU +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	HOU won by 16 · not covered	125.5			1 met · HOU 1 · WVU 0
Final	Omaha	80	@ Denver	62	OMA Solid 66% ✓	OMA -4.5			OMA won by 18 · covered	148.5			25 met · DEN 12 · OMA 13
Final	Illinois St	62	@ Drake	66	DRKE Solid 83% ✓	DRKE -10.5			DRKE won by 4 · not covered	123.5			47 met · DRKE 23 · ILST 24
Final	Rhode Island	77	@ Loyola Chicago	81	LUC Solid 66% ✓	LUC -4.5			LUC won by 4 · not covered	146.5			2 met · LUC 1 · URI 1
Final	Pitt	70	@ Florida St	82		PITT -2.5			PITT lost by 12 · not covered	147.5			17 met · FSU 6 · PITT 11
Final	SMU	54	@ Virginia	52	SMU Solid 69% ✓	SMU -5.5			SMU won by 2 · not covered	134.5			2 met · UVA 1 · SMU 1
Final	Cincinnati	68	@ Colorado	62	CIN Solid 62% ✓	CIN -3.5			CIN won by 6 · covered	136.5			Never met
Final	17Purdue	69	@ Washington	58	PUR Solid 75% ✓	PUR -7.5			PUR won by 11 · covered	143.5			1 met · WASH 0 · PUR 1
Final	Texas	77	@ Oklahoma	73		OU -2.5			OU lost by 4 · not covered	149.5			47 met · OU 15 · TEX 32
Final	22Utah State	62	@ UNLV	65	USU Solid 69% ✗	USU -5.5			USU lost by 3 · not covered	148.5			19 met · UNLV 7 · USU 12