Friday, January 17, 2025 10 games
Today: winner picks 8 of 10 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  Ohio
|
80 | @  Akron
|
92 | AKR Solid 62% ✓ | AKR -3.5 | AKR won by 12 · covered | 163.5 | 50 met · AKR 30 · OHIO 20 | ||||
| Final |  Robert Morris
|
89 | @  Green Bay
|
67 | RMU Solid 72% ✓ | RMU -6.5 | RMU won by 22 · covered | 144.5 | 6 met · GB 3 · RMU 3 | ||||
| Final |  Providence
|
73 | @  Villanova
|
75 | VILL Solid 78% ✓ | VILL -8.5 | VILL won by 2 · not covered | 141.5 | 42 met · VILL 30 · PROV 12 | ||||
| Final |  VCU
|
78 | @  Saint Joseph's
|
69 | VCU Solid 62% ✓ | VCU -3.5 | VCU won by 9 · covered | 142.5 | 16 met · JOES 4 · VCU 12 | ||||
| Final |  Youngstown St
|
64 | @  Milwaukee
|
79 | MILW Solid 69% ✓ | MILW -5.5 | MILW won by 15 · covered | 145.5 | 43 met · MILW 23 · YSU 20 | ||||
| Final |  DePaul
|
73 | @  Georgetown
|
68 | GTWN Solid 69% ✗ | GTWN -5.5 | GTWN lost by 5 · not covered | 137.5 | 31 met · GTWN 23 · DEP 8 | ||||
| Final |  Indiana
|
77 | @  Ohio State
|
76 | OSU Solid 75% ✗ | OSU -7.5 | OSU lost by 1 · not covered | 149.5 | 39 met · OSU 21 · IU 18 | ||||
| Final |  Iowa
|
70 | @  UCLA
|
94 | UCLA Solid 69% ✓ | UCLA -5.5 | UCLA won by 24 · covered | 151.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final |  Air Force
|
65 | @  Fresno St
|
74 | FRES Solid 62% ✓ | FRES -3.5 | FRES won by 9 · covered | 142.5 | 24 met · FRES 19 · AF 5 | ||||
| Final |  Boise St
|
65 | @  New Mexico
|
84 | UNM Solid 62% ✓ | UNM -3.5 | UNM won by 19 · covered | 153.5 | 26 met · UNM 14 · BOIS 12 |