Wednesday, January 8, 2025 50 games
Today: winner picks 24 of 31 right · line picks 2 of 3 right · total picks 1 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | 59 | @ |
70 | HC -1.5 | HC won by 11 · covered | 140.5 | 45 met · HC 29 · NAVY 16 | ||||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
74 | ARMY Solid 62% ✓ | ARMY -3.5 | ARMY won by 2 · not covered | 140.5 | 22 met · ARMY 11 · L-MD 11 | |||||
| Final | 61 | @ |
72 | YSU -2.5 | YSU won by 11 · covered | 136.5 | 21 met · YSU 6 · NKU 15 | ||||||
| Final | 51 | @ |
74 | APP Solid 75% ✓ | APP -7.5 | APP won by 23 · covered | 126.5 | 16 met · APP 12 · CCU 4 | |||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
85 | HALL -2.5 | HALL won by 5 · covered | 133.5 | 33 met · HALL 23 · DEP 10 | ||||||
| Final | 66 | @ |
68 | VILL -1.5 | VILL won by 2 · covered | 144.5 | 26 met · VILL 11 · CONN 15 | ||||||
| Final | 79 | @ |
68 | LUC -1.5 | LUC won by 11 · covered | 147.5 | 2 met · LAS 0 · LUC 2 | ||||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
63 | FUR Banker 89% ✓ | FUR -13.5 | CIT +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ | FUR won by 4 · not covered | 138.5 | 46 met · CIT 11 · FUR 35 | ||||
| Final | 70 | @ |
68 | ETSU -2.5 | ETSU won by 2 · not covered | 151.5 | 40 met · MER 13 · ETSU 27 | ||||||
| Final | 69 | @ |
77 | WOF Solid 85% ✓ | WOF -11.5 | WOF won by 8 · not covered | 144.5 | 43 met · WOF 24 · WCU 19 | |||||
| Final | 73 | @ |
66 | ARK Solid 62% ✗ | ARK -3.5 | ARK lost by 7 · not covered | 148.5 | 36 met · ARK 18 · MISS 18 | |||||
| Final | 73 | @ |
78 | PFW -2.5 | PFW won by 5 · covered | 154.5 | 8 met · PFW 4 · MILW 4 | ||||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
69 | RMU -2.5 | RMU lost by 11 · not covered | 138.5 | 14 met · RMU 2 · CLE 12 | ||||||
| Final | 69 | @ |
82 | IU Solid 72% ✓ | IU -6.5 | IU won by 13 · covered | 149.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 62 | @ |
65 | BUCK Solid 62% ✓ | BUCK -3.5 | BUCK won by 3 · not covered | 132.5 | 51 met · BUCK 37 · LAF 14 | |||||
| Final | 54 | @ |
60 | BU -2.5 | BU won by 6 · covered | 125.5 | 22 met · BU 13 · AMER 9 | ||||||
| Final | 62 | @ |
67 | COLG Solid 72% ✓ | COLG -6.5 | COLG won by 5 · not covered | 138.5 | 50 met · COLG 25 · LEH 25 | |||||
| Final | 64 | @ |
57 | BRAD -1.5 | BRAD lost by 7 · not covered | 126.5 | 53 met · BRAD 25 · DRKE 28 | ||||||
| Final | 71 | @ |
68 | UNI Solid 69% ✗ | UNI -5.5 | UNI lost by 3 · not covered | 136.5 | 3 met · UNI 2 · MUR 1 | |||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
76 | DAY Solid 83% ✗ | DAY -10.5 | DAY lost by 4 · not covered | 147.5 | 26 met · MASS 10 · DAY 16 | |||||
| Final | 81 | @ |
85 | JOES -2.5 | JOES lost by 4 · not covered | 134.5 | 26 met · DUQ 11 · JOES 15 | ||||||
| Final | 61 | @ |
73 | VCU Banker 93% ✓ | VCU -16.5 | FOR +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ | VCU won by 12 · not covered | 144.5 | 15 met · VCU 14 · FOR 1 | ||||
| Final | 58 | @ |
64 | GMU Solid 85% ✓ | GMU -11.5 | GMU won by 6 · not covered | 130.5 | 23 met · GMU 15 · RICH 8 | |||||
| Final | 75 | @ |
67 | URI Solid 72% ✗ | URI -6.5 | URI lost by 8 · not covered | 152.5 | 27 met · URI 11 · GW 16 | |||||
| Final | 88 | @ |
68 | ALA Solid 85% ✓ | ALA -11.5 | ALA won by 20 · covered | 157.5 | 27 met · SC 8 · ALA 19 | |||||
| Final | 65 | @ |
66 | NCSU -2.5 | NCSU won by 1 · not covered | 139.5 | 14 met · NCSU 8 · ND 6 | ||||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
65 | MIA -2.5 | MIA lost by 15 · not covered | 151.5 | 43 met · MIA 13 · FSU 30 | ||||||
| Final | 79 | @ |
80 | ECU Solid 62% ✓ | ECU -3.5 | ECU won by 1 · not covered | 145.5 | 17 met · ECU 6 · TEM 11 | |||||
| Final | 75 | @ |
64 | FAU Solid 69% ✓ | FAU -5.5 | FAU won by 11 · covered | 152.5 | 15 met · CLT 7 · FAU 8 | |||||
| Final | 74 | @ |
75 | UCF Solid 72% ✓ | UCF -6.5 | UCF won by 1 · not covered | 149.5 | 2 met · UCF 1 · COLO 1 | |||||
| Final | 93 | @ |
79 | HPU Solid 78% ✓ | HPU -8.5 | HPU won by 14 · covered | 152.5 | 42 met · CHSO 20 · HPU 22 | |||||
| Final | 83 | @ |
89 | WIN Solid 62% ✗ | WIN -3.5 | WIN lost by 6 · not covered | 155.5 | 38 met · GWEB 12 · WIN 26 | |||||
| Final | 76 | @ |
85 | LONG Solid 66% ✓ | LONG -4.5 | LONG won by 9 · covered | 154.5 | 23 met · LONG 7 · UNCA 16 | |||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
77 | PRES Solid 62% ✗ | PRES -3.5 | PRES lost by 10 · not covered | 148.5 | 13 met · UPST 8 · PRES 5 | |||||
| Final | 86 | @ |
90 | BEL Solid 81% ✓ | BEL -9.5 | BEL won by 4 · not covered | 156.5 | 3 met · BEL 1 · SIU 2 | |||||
| Final | 51 | @ |
69 | ILST Solid 69% ✗ | ILST -5.5 | ILST lost by 18 · not covered | 131.5 | 50 met · EVAN 17 · ILST 33 | |||||
| Final | 95 | @ |
98 | VAL -1.5 | VAL won by 3 · covered | 161.5 | 20 met · VAL 10 · INST 10 | ||||||
| Final | 68 | @ |
73 | SLU Solid 62% ✓ | SLU -3.5 | SLU won by 5 · covered | 142.5 | 28 met · SLU 12 · SBU 16 | |||||
| Final | 78 | @ |
82 | GAST -2.5 | GAST won by 4 · covered | 155.5 | 27 met · GAST 17 · GASO 10 | ||||||
| Final | 65 | @ |
84 | PROV -2.5 | PROV won by 19 · covered | 136.5 | 25 met · PROV 19 · BTLR 6 | ||||||
| Final | 58 | @ |
77 | OMA -1.5 | OMA won by 19 · covered | 137.5 | 16 met · OMA 7 · KC 9 | ||||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
73 | STMN -2.5 | STMN won by 1 · not covered | 155.5 | 7 met · STMN 1 · SDST 6 | ||||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
93 | GONZ Banker 98% ✓ | GONZ -31.5 | GONZ won by 13 · not covered | 156.5 | OVER 156.5 · 52.3% (173) ✓ | 47 met · GONZ 44 · USD 3 | ||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
78 | OU -2.5 | OU lost by 2 · not covered | 147.5 | 24 met · OU 15 · TA&M 9 | ||||||
| Final | 52 | @ |
91 | ILL Solid 75% ✓ | ILL -7.5 | ILL won by 39 · covered | 163.5 | 36 met · ILL 19 · PSU 17 | |||||
| Final | 59 | @ |
70 | STAN Solid 81% ✓ | STAN -9.5 | STAN won by 11 · covered | 142.5 | 1 met · STAN 0 · VT 1 | |||||
| Final | 59 | @ |
81 | UNT Solid 85% ✓ | UNT -11.5 | UNT won by 22 · covered | 122.5 | 26 met · UNT 19 · RICE 7 | |||||
| Final | 55 | @ |
74 | KU Banker 92% ✓ | KU -15.5 | ASU +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ | KU won by 19 · covered | 144.5 | 3 met · KU 1 · ASU 2 | ||||
| Final | 38 | @ |
67 | SDSU Banker 96% ✓ | SDSU -19.5 | SDSU won by 29 · covered | 130.5 | 43 met · SDSU 32 · AF 11 | |||||
| Final | 61 | @ |
75 | CAL Solid 66% ✓ | CAL -4.5 | CAL won by 14 · covered | 130.5 | 2 met · CAL 0 · UVA 2 |