Thursday, January 9, 2025 55 games

Today: winner picks 25 of 38 right · line picks 2 of 4 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Morehead St	59	@ Little Rock	53	LR Solid 62% ✗	LR -3.5			LR lost by 6 · not covered	135.5			4 met · LR 2 · MORE 2
Final	UNC Greensboro	78	@ Chattanooga	75	UTC Solid 62% ✗	UTC -3.5			UTC lost by 3 · not covered	142.5			46 met · UTC 23 · UNCG 23
Final	Vermont	67	@ UMass Lowell	63	UML Solid 69% ✗	UML -5.5			UML lost by 4 · not covered	136.5			24 met · UML 4 · UVM 20
Final	Binghamton	71	@ Maine	82	ME Solid 72% ✓	ME -6.5			ME won by 11 · covered	133.5			44 met · ME 21 · BING 23
Final	15Oregon	73	@ Ohio State	71		OSU -2.5			OSU lost by 2 · not covered	148.5			Never met
Final	20Purdue	68	@ Rutgers	50		PUR -2.5			PUR won by 18 · covered	148.5			17 met · RUTG 5 · PUR 12
Final	Jacksonville	74	@ Bellarmine	59	JAX Solid 75% ✓	JAX -7.5			JAX won by 15 · covered	141.5			6 met · BELL 6 · JAX 0
Final	Detroit Mercy	61	@ IU Indy	95	IUIN Solid 69% ✓	IUIN -5.5			IUIN won by 34 · covered	138.5			11 met · IUIN 3 · DETM 8
Final	North Florida	74	@ E Kentucky	79	EKU Solid 62% ✓	EKU -3.5			EKU won by 5 · covered	169.5			4 met · EKU 3 · UNF 1
Final	North Alabama	70	@ FGCU	75		FGCU -1.5			FGCU won by 5 · covered	145.5			11 met · FGCU 5 · UNA 6
Final	Northeastern	73	@ Towson	80	TOW Solid 66% ✓	TOW -4.5			TOW won by 7 · covered	129.5			37 met · TOW 14 · NE 23
Final	Drexel	67	@ Stony Brook	51	DREX Solid 66% ✓	DREX -4.5			DREX won by 16 · covered	133.5			3 met · STBK 2 · DREX 1
Final	Delaware	98	@ NC A&T	88	DEL Solid 66% ✓	DEL -4.5			DEL won by 10 · covered	160.5			3 met · NCAT 0 · DEL 3
Final	Elon	65	@ William & Mary	78		W&M -2.5			W&M won by 13 · covered	151.5			24 met · W&M 15 · ELON 9
Final	Campbell	66	@ Hampton	55	HAMP Solid 66% ✗	HAMP -4.5			HAMP lost by 11 · not covered	138.5			11 met · HAMP 4 · CAM 7
Final	UNC Wilmington	64	@ Monmouth	55	UNCW Solid 66% ✓	UNCW -4.5			UNCW won by 9 · covered	144.5			3 met · MONM 0 · UNCW 3
Final	Charleston	67	@ Hofstra	61		COFC -1.5			COFC won by 6 · covered	139.5			20 met · HOF 10 · COFC 10
Final	Oakland	62	@ Wright St	66		WRST -2.5			WRST won by 4 · covered	137.5			27 met · WRST 17 · OAK 10
Final	Texas St	74	@ Troy	73	TROY Solid 72% ✗	TROY -6.5			TROY lost by 1 · not covered	136.5			19 met · TROY 8 · TXST 11
Final	James Madison	78	@ Marshall	80		MRSH -1.5			MRSH won by 2 · covered	142.5			9 met · MRSH 2 · JMU 7
Final	UAlbany	61	@ New Hampshire	57	UALB Solid 85% ✓	UALB -11.5			UALB won by 4 · not covered	145.5			49 met · UNH 21 · UALB 28
Final	UMBC	87	@ NJIT	64	UMBC Solid 78% ✓	UMBC -8.5			UMBC won by 23 · covered	145.5			10 met · NJIT 5 · UMBC 5
Final	C Arkansas	65	@ Stetson	75		STET -1.5			STET won by 10 · covered	145.5			4 met · STET 2 · CARK 2
Final	FIU	64	@ Louisiana Tech	81	LT Solid 75% ✓	LT -7.5			LT won by 17 · covered	139.5			15 met · LT 10 · FIU 5
Final	Kennesaw St	79	@ MTSU	84	MTSU Solid 81% ✓	MTSU -9.5			MTSU won by 5 · not covered	157.5			1 met · MTSU 1 · KENN 0
Final	Jax State	73	@ Western KY	67	WKU Solid 72% ✗	WKU -6.5			WKU lost by 6 · not covered	151.5			3 met · WKU 3 · JXST 0
Final	VMI	68	@ Samford	81	SAM Banker 95% ✓	SAM -18.5			SAM won by 13 · not covered	158.5			23 met · SAM 18 · VMI 5
Final	N Dakota St	110	@ Oral Roberts	96	NDSU Solid 72% ✓	NDSU -6.5			NDSU won by 14 · covered	152.5			38 met · ORU 17 · NDSU 21
Final	Grand Canyon	64	@ Utah Valley	72	GCU Solid 62% ✗	GCU -3.5			GCU lost by 8 · not covered	145.5			24 met · UVU 9 · GCU 15
Final	West Georgia	72	@ Austin Peay	68	APSU Solid 78% ✗	APSU -8.5			APSU lost by 4 · not covered	131.5			Never met
Final	Queens	75	@ Lipscomb	73	LIP Banker 89% ✗	LIP -13.5		QUC +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	LIP lost by 2 · not covered	153.5			2 met · LIP 2 · QUC 0
Final	UL Monroe	67	@ Southern Miss	84	USM Solid 81% ✓	USM -9.5			USM won by 17 · covered	141.5			6 met · USM 4 · ULM 2
Final	Old Dominion	71	@ Louisiana	60	UL Solid 62% ✗	UL -3.5			UL lost by 11 · not covered	144.5			2 met · UL 1 · ODU 1
Final	Washington	54	@ 16Michigan St	88	MSU Banker 91% ✓	MSU -14.5		WASH +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	MSU won by 34 · covered	145.5			1 met · MSU 1 · WASH 0
Final	Tennessee Tech	69	@ E Illinois	64		EIU -1.5			EIU lost by 5 · not covered	141.5			37 met · EIU 11 · TNTC 26
Final	Tennessee St	62	@ Lindenwood	72		LIN -1.5			LIN won by 10 · covered	149.5			4 met · LIN 0 · TNST 4
Final	S Indiana	66	@ SE Missouri	77	SEMO Solid 75% ✓	SEMO -7.5			SEMO won by 11 · covered	140.5			4 met · SEMO 3 · USI 1
Final	UT Martin	85	@ W Illinois	83		WIU -1.5			WIU lost by 2 · not covered	133.5			7 met · WIU 3 · UTM 4
Final	Tarleton St	74	@ Southern Utah	66	SUU Solid 75% ✗	SUU -7.5			SUU lost by 8 · not covered	136.5			4 met · SUU 2 · TAR 2
Final	Arkansas St	62	@ South Alabama	76		USA -0.5			USA won by 14 · covered	139.5			32 met · USA 15 · ARST 17
Final	Liberty	76	@ Sam Houston	68	LIB Solid 62% ✓	LIB -3.5			LIB won by 8 · covered	142.5			4 met · SHSU 2 · LIB 2
Final	North Dakota	95	@ Denver	70		DEN -1.5			DEN lost by 25 · not covered	152.5			13 met · DEN 4 · UND 9
Final	UT Arlington	62	@ Utah Tech	74	UTA Solid 62% ✗	UTA -3.5			UTA lost by 12 · not covered	153.5			3 met · UTU 0 · UTA 3
Final	Fullerton	53	@ UC Davis	63	UCD Solid 78% ✓	UCD -8.5			UCD won by 10 · covered	135.5			42 met · UCD 19 · CSUF 23
Final	N Colorado	83	@ Montana St	82		MTST -1.5			MTST lost by 1 · not covered	153.5			40 met · MTST 22 · UNCO 18
Final	N Arizona	76	@ Montana	81	MONT Solid 75% ✓	MONT -7.5			MONT won by 5 · not covered	151.5			47 met · MONT 30 · NAU 17
Final	Pacific	95	@ Washington St	94	WSU Banker 92% ✗	WSU -15.5		PAC +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	WSU lost by 1 · not covered	151.5			Never met
Final	Portland	72	@ San Francisco	81	SF Banker 95% ✓	SF -18.5			SF won by 9 · not covered	147.5			47 met · SF 37 · PORT 10
Final	Oregon St	81	@ Santa Clara	82	SCU Solid 72% ✓	SCU -6.5			SCU won by 1 · not covered	146.5			Never met
Final	UC Irvine	77	@ CSU Northridge	67	UCI Solid 66% ✓	UCI -4.5			UCI won by 10 · covered	148.5			43 met · CSUN 13 · UCI 30
Final	Bakersfield	66	@ Santa Barbara	78	UCSB Solid 75% ✓	UCSB -7.5			UCSB won by 12 · covered	136.5			10 met · UCSB 9 · CSUB 1
Final	Hawai'i	83	@ UC Riverside	76		UCR -2.5			UCR lost by 7 · not covered	135.5			27 met · UCR 11 · HAW 16
Final	Cal Poly	68	@ UC San Diego	95	UCSD Banker 91% ✓	UCSD -14.5		CP +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	UCSD won by 27 · covered	159.5			6 met · UCSD 3 · CP 3
Final	E Washington	59	@ Portland St	64		PRST -2.5			PRST won by 5 · covered	151.5			43 met · PRST 18 · EWU 25
Final	Idaho	80	@ Sacramento St	67		IDHO -2.5			IDHO won by 13 · covered	136.5			24 met · SAC 11 · IDHO 13