Tuesday, January 7, 2025 34 games

Today: winner picks 21 of 24 right · line picks 2 of 7 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	NC Central	98	@ Morgan St	102	NCCU Solid 62% ✗	NCCU -3.5			NCCU lost by 4 · not covered	155.5			16 met · MORG 4 · NCCU 12
Final	St John's	82	@ Xavier	72		SJU -1.5			SJU won by 10 · covered	152.5			23 met · XAV 17 · SJU 6
Final	Bowling Green	83	@ W Michigan	79	WMU Solid 66% ✗	WMU -4.5			WMU lost by 4 · not covered	150.5			31 met · WMU 18 · BGSU 13
Final	C Michigan	71	@ Akron	87	AKR Solid 78% ✓	AKR -8.5			AKR won by 16 · covered	145.5			29 met · AKR 25 · CMU 4
Final	E Michigan	87	@ Toledo	90	TOL Solid 81% ✓	TOL -9.5			TOL won by 3 · not covered	154.5			47 met · TOL 27 · EMU 20
Final	Kent State	68	@ N Illinois	50	KENT Banker 87% ✓	KENT -12.5		NIU +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	KENT won by 18 · covered	140.5			31 met · NIU 9 · KENT 22
Final	Miami OH	80	@ Ball State	72		M-OH -1.5			M-OH won by 8 · covered	144.5			31 met · BALL 10 · M-OH 21
Final	Ohio	88	@ Buffalo	79	OHIO Banker 87% ✓	OHIO -12.5		BUF +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	OHIO won by 9 · not covered	153.5			47 met · BUF 18 · OHIO 29
Final	1Tennessee	43	@ 8Florida	73	FLA Solid 62% ✓	FLA -3.5			FLA won by 30 · covered	151.5			38 met · FLA 15 · TENN 23
Final	6Kentucky	69	@ Georgia	82		UK -1.5			UK lost by 13 · not covered	154.5			42 met · UGA 9 · UK 33
Final	Pitt	47	@ 4Duke	76	DUKE Banker 89% ✓	DUKE -13.5		PITT +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	DUKE won by 29 · covered	145.5			15 met · DUKE 11 · PITT 4
Final	Clemson	64	@ Louisville	74	LOU Solid 62% ✓	LOU -3.5			LOU won by 10 · covered	147.5			13 met · LOU 7 · CLEM 6
Final	Georgia Tech	55	@ Syracuse	62		SYR -1.5			SYR won by 7 · covered	153.5			16 met · SYR 9 · GT 7
Final	Arizona	75	@ 21West Virginia	56	ARIZ Solid 66% ✓	ARIZ -4.5			ARIZ won by 19 · covered	142.5			2 met · WVU 2 · ARIZ 0
Final	Tulane	69	@ UAB	81	UAB Solid 78% ✓	UAB -8.5			UAB won by 12 · covered	156.5			22 met · UAB 16 · TULN 6
Final	Georgetown	66	@ 7Marquette	74	MARQ Banker 89% ✓	MARQ -13.5		GTWN +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	MARQ won by 8 · not covered	146.5			35 met · MARQ 22 · GTWN 13
Final	Nebraska	87	@ Iowa	97	IOWA Solid 66% ✓	IOWA -4.5			IOWA won by 10 · covered	159.5			21 met · IOWA 13 · NEB 8
Final	UIC	80	@ Missouri St	63		MOST -2.5			MOST lost by 17 · not covered	138.5			4 met · MOST 4 · UIC 0
Final	Tulsa	82	@ UTSA	77	UTSA Solid 69% ✗	UTSA -5.5			UTSA lost by 5 · not covered	155.5			5 met · UTSA 1 · TLSA 4
Final	Utah	59	@ 3Iowa State	82	ISU Banker 93% ✓	ISU -16.5		UTAH +16.5 · covers 53% ✗	ISU won by 23 · covered	153.5			Never met
Final	Kansas St	66	@ Oklahoma St	79		OKST -1.5			OKST won by 13 · covered	145.5			38 met · OKST 19 · KSU 19
Final	Cincinnati	48	@ Baylor	68	BAY Solid 69% ✓	BAY -5.5			BAY won by 20 · covered	139.5			2 met · BAY 2 · CIN 0
Final	SIUE	60	@ E Illinois	57		SIUE -1.5			SIUE won by 3 · covered	135.5			28 met · EIU 17 · SIUE 11
Final	2Auburn	87	@ Texas	82	AUB Solid 83% ✓	AUB -10.5			AUB won by 5 · not covered	149.5			Never met
Final	LSU	67	@ Missouri	83	MIZ Solid 75% ✓	MIZ -7.5			MIZ won by 16 · covered	153.5			15 met · MIZ 4 · LSU 11
Final	14Mississippi St	76	@ Vanderbilt	64		MSST -2.5			MSST won by 12 · covered	153.5			29 met · VAN 13 · MSST 16
Final	SMU	67	@ North Carolina	82	UNC Solid 72% ✓	UNC -6.5			UNC won by 15 · covered	166.5			Never met
Final	Texas Tech	72	@ BYU	67		BYU -1.5			BYU lost by 5 · not covered	147.5			2 met · BYU 0 · TTU 2
Final	Fresno St	64	@ Colorado St	91	CSU Banker 92% ✓	CSU -15.5		FRES +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	CSU won by 27 · covered	150.5			28 met · CSU 20 · FRES 8
Final	24Michigan	94	@ 22UCLA	75		UCLA -1.5			UCLA lost by 19 · not covered	143.5			11 met · UCLA 6 · MICH 5
Final	25Utah State	85	@ San José St	78	USU Solid 81% ✓	USU -9.5			USU won by 7 · not covered	148.5			41 met · SJSU 3 · USU 38
Final	New Mexico	61	@ Wyoming	53	UNM Solid 75% ✓	UNM -7.5			UNM won by 8 · covered	144.5			48 met · WYO 16 · UNM 32
Final	UNLV	59	@ Boise St	81	BOIS Solid 78% ✓	BOIS -8.5			BOIS won by 22 · covered	139.5			28 met · BOIS 18 · UNLV 10
Final	LMU	56	@ Saint Mary's	81	SMC Banker 89% ✓	SMC -13.5		LMU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	SMC won by 25 · covered	133.5			45 met · SMC 39 · LMU 6