NCAA Predictor
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Friday, March 15, 2024 36 games

Today: winner picks 18 of 27 right · total picks 19 of 35 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Michigan St 62 vs 3Purdue 67 PUR Solid 75% ✓ PUR -7.5 PUR won by 5 · not covered 142.5 UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (129) ✓ 40 met · PUR 19 · MSU 21
Final UTEP 65 vs Sam Houston 63 SHSU Solid 66% ✗ SHSU -4.5 SHSU lost by 2 · not covered 134.5 UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (128) ✓ 5 met · SHSU 2 · UTEP 3
Final Mississippi St 73 vs 5Tennessee 56 TENN Solid 81% ✗ TENN -9.5 TENN lost by 17 · not covered 141.5 UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (129) ✓ 30 met · TENN 22 · MSST 8
Final East Carolina 59 vs South Florida 81 USF Solid 75% ✓ USF -7.5 USF won by 22 · covered 135.5 UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (140) ✗ 27 met · USF 15 · ECU 12
Final Wisconsin 70 vs Northwestern 61 WIS Solid 66% ✓ WIS -4.5 WIS won by 9 · covered 135.5 UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (131) ✓ 36 met · NU 9 · WIS 27
Final Bethune 53 vs Grambling 65 GRAM Solid 62% ✓ GRAM -3.5 GRAM won by 12 · covered 129.5 UNDER 129.5 · 51.8% (118) ✓ 8 met · GRAM 6 · BCU 2
Final MTSU 54 vs Western KY 85 WKU Solid 69% ✓ WKU -5.5 WKU won by 31 · covered 150.5 UNDER 150.5 · 51.8% (139) ✓ 42 met · WKU 21 · MTSU 21
Final Wichita St 60 vs UAB 72 UAB Solid 66% ✓ UAB -4.5 UAB won by 12 · covered 146.5 UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (132) ✓ 3 met · UAB 0 · WICH 3
Final 15South Carolina 55 vs 12Auburn 86 AUB Solid 75% ✓ AUB -7.5 AUB won by 31 · covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (141) ✓ 27 met · AUB 17 · SC 10
Final Kent State 73 vs Bowling Green 60 KENT -1.5 KENT won by 13 · covered 135.5 UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (133) ✓ 44 met · BGSU 15 · KENT 29
Final St John's 90 @ 2UConn 95 CONN Solid 81% ✓ CONN -9.5 CONN won by 5 · not covered 148.5 20 met · CONN 15 · SJU 5
Final Howard 80 vs Norfolk St 74 NORF Solid 62% ✗ NORF -3.5 NORF lost by 6 · not covered 138.5 UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (154) ✗ 42 met · NORF 33 · HOW 9
Final Saint Peter's 62 vs Quinnipiac 60 QUIN -2.5 QUIN lost by 2 · not covered 137.5 UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (122) ✓ 23 met · QUIN 9 · SPU 14
Final Ohio State 74 vs 13Illinois 77 ILL Solid 69% ✓ ILL -5.5 ILL won by 3 · not covered 150.5 UNDER 150.5 · 51.8% (151) ✗ 38 met · ILL 15 · OSU 23
Final Pitt 65 vs 4North Carolina 72 UNC Solid 75% ✓ UNC -7.5 UNC won by 7 · not covered 147.5 UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (137) ✓ 16 met · UNC 9 · PITT 7
Final 25Texas Tech 59 vs 1Houston 82 HOU Solid 83% ✓ HOU -10.5 HOU won by 23 · covered 132.5 UNDER 132.5 · 51.8% (141) ✗ 5 met · HOU 3 · TTU 2
Final Texas A&M 97 vs 9Kentucky 87 UK Solid 69% ✗ UK -5.5 UK lost by 10 · not covered 159.5 UNDER 159.5 · 51.8% (184) ✗ 15 met · UK 11 · TA&M 4
Final North Texas 71 vs FAU 77 FAU Solid 69% ✓ FAU -5.5 FAU won by 6 · covered 136.5 UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (148) ✗ 24 met · FAU 10 · UNT 14
Final Ohio 62 vs Akron 65 AKR -2.5 AKR won by 3 · covered 139.5 UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓ 49 met · AKR 29 · OHIO 20
Final Oregon 67 vs 6Arizona 59 ARIZ Solid 85% ✗ ARIZ -11.5 ARIZ lost by 8 · not covered 155.5 UNDER 155.5 · 51.8% (126) ✓ 43 met · ARIZ 24 · ORE 19
Final Delaware St 71 vs NC Central 58 NCCU Solid 69% ✗ NCCU -5.5 NCCU lost by 13 · not covered 138.5 UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (129) ✓ 25 met · NCCU 19 · DSU 6
Final Providence 68 vs 10Marquette 79 MARQ Solid 66% ✓ MARQ -4.5 MARQ won by 11 · covered 138.5 UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (147) ✗ 33 met · MARQ 21 · PROV 12
Final Seattle U 72 vs Grand Canyon 80 GCU Solid 69% ✓ GCU -5.5 GCU won by 8 · covered 138.5 UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (152) ✗ 24 met · GCU 17 · SEA 7
Final Long Beach St 83 vs UC Irvine 79 UCI Solid 75% ✗ UCI -7.5 UCI lost by 4 · not covered 149.5 UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (162) ✗ 53 met · UCI 31 · LBSU 22
Final Marist 61 vs Fairfield 65 FAIR Solid 66% ✓ FAIR -4.5 FAIR won by 4 · not covered 133.5 UNDER 133.5 · 51.8% (126) ✓ 46 met · FAIR 30 · MRST 16
Final Indiana 66 vs Nebraska 93 NEB Solid 69% ✓ NEB -5.5 NEB won by 27 · covered 146.5 UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (159) ✗ 19 met · NEB 8 · IU 11
Final NC State 73 vs Virginia 65 UVA -2.5 UVA lost by 8 · not covered 122.5 UNDER 122.5 · 51.8% (138) ✗ 34 met · UVA 21 · NCSU 13
Final 14Baylor 62 vs 7Iowa State 76 ISU -1.5 ISU won by 14 · covered 134.5 UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (138) ✗ 38 met · ISU 17 · BAY 21
Final Florida 102 vs 19Alabama 88 ALA Solid 66% ✗ ALA -4.5 ALA lost by 14 · not covered 174.5 UNDER 174.5 · 51.8% (190) ✗ 31 met · ALA 8 · FLA 23
Final Alabama A&M 65 vs Texas Southern 72 TXSO Solid 72% ✓ TXSO -6.5 TXSO won by 7 · covered 135.5 UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (137) ✗ 44 met · TXSO 35 · AAMU 9
Final San Diego St 86 vs 18Utah State 70 SDSU Solid 66% ✓ SDSU -4.5 SDSU won by 16 · covered 137.5 UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (156) ✗ 26 met · USU 7 · SDSU 19
Final Temple 58 vs Charlotte 54 CLT Solid 72% ✗ CLT -6.5 CLT lost by 4 · not covered 133.0 UNDER 133.0 · 51.8% (112) ✓ 13 met · CLT 5 · TEM 8
Final Colorado 58 vs 22Washington St 52 COLO -2.5 COLO won by 6 · covered 140.5 UNDER 140.5 · 51.8% (110) ✓ 25 met · WSU 7 · COLO 18
Final UT Arlington 87 vs Tarleton St 84 UTA -2.5 UTA won by 3 · covered 145.5 UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (171) ✗ 4 met · TAR 4 · UTA 0
Final Hawai'i 65 vs UC Davis 68 UCD -2 UCD won by 3 · covered 136.5 UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (133) ✓ 26 met · UCD 10 · HAW 16
Final Colorado St 61 vs New Mexico 74 UNM -2.5 UNM won by 13 · covered 152.5 UNDER 152.5 · 51.8% (135) ✓ 42 met · UNM 27 · CSU 15