Saturday, March 16, 2024 23 games
Today: winner picks 7 of 12 right · line picks 1 of 1 right · total picks 9 of 22 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  Brown
|
90 | vs  Princeton
|
81 | PRIN Solid 81% ✗ | PRIN -9.5 | PRIN lost by 9 · not covered | 137.5 | UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (171) ✗ | 42 met · PRIN 26 · BRWN 16 | |||
| Final |  UMass Lowell
|
61 | @  Vermont
|
66 | UVM Solid 78% ✓ | UVM -8.5 | UVM won by 5 · not covered | 137.5 | 23 met · UVM 19 · UML 4 | ||||
| Final |  Mississippi St
|
66 | vs  12Auburn
|
73 | AUB Solid 75% ✓ | AUB -7.5 | AUB won by 7 · not covered | 141.5 | UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (139) ✓ | 36 met · AUB 17 · MSST 19 | |||
| Final |  Saint Joseph's
|
60 | vs  VCU
|
66 | VCU -1.5 | VCU won by 6 · covered | 139.5 | UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (126) ✓ | 15 met · VCU 11 · JOES 4 | ||||
| Final |  Delaware St
|
67 | vs  Howard
|
70 | HOW Solid 69% ✓ | HOW -5.5 | HOW won by 3 · not covered | 136.5 | UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (137) ✗ | 36 met · HOW 15 · DSU 21 | |||
| Final |  Wisconsin
|
76 | vs  3Purdue
|
75 | PUR Solid 69% ✗ | PUR -5.5 | PUR lost by 1 · not covered | 141.5 | UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (151) ✗ | 35 met · PUR 20 · WIS 15 | |||
| Final |  Cornell
|
57 | vs  Yale
|
69 | YALE -2.5 | YALE won by 12 · covered | 152.5 | UNDER 152.5 · 51.8% (126) ✓ | 43 met · YALE 29 · COR 14 | ||||
| Final |  UAB
|
93 | vs  South Florida
|
83 | USF -2.5 | USF lost by 10 · not covered | 142.5 | UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (176) ✗ | 14 met · USF 2 · UAB 12 | ||||
| Final |  St Bonaventure
|
60 | vs  Duquesne
|
70 | DUQ -2.5 | DUQ won by 10 · covered | 133.5 | UNDER 133.5 · 51.8% (130) ✓ | 43 met · DUQ 16 · SBU 27 | ||||
| Final |  Texas A&M
|
90 | vs  Florida
|
95 | FLA -2.5 | FLA won by 5 · covered | 151.5 | UNDER 151.5 · 51.8% (185) ✗ | 16 met · FLA 8 · TA&M 8 | ||||
| Final |  Nebraska
|
87 | vs  13Illinois
|
98 | ILL Solid 66% ✓ | ILL -4.5 | ILL won by 11 · covered | 154.5 | UNDER 154.5 · 51.8% (185) ✗ | 21 met · ILL 15 · NEB 6 | |||
| Final |  Temple
|
74 | vs  FAU
|
73 | FAU Banker 89% ✗ | FAU -13.5 | TEM +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ | FAU lost by 1 · not covered | 141.5 | UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (147) ✗ | 1 met · FAU 1 · TEM 0 | ||
| Final |  New Mexico
|
68 | vs  San Diego St
|
61 | SDSU -1.5 | SDSU lost by 7 · not covered | 142.5 | UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (129) ✓ | 46 met · SDSU 26 · UNM 20 | ||||
| Final |  7Iowa State
|
69 | vs  1Houston
|
41 | HOU Solid 69% ✗ | HOU -5.5 | HOU lost by 28 · not covered | 123.5 | UNDER 123.5 · 51.8% (110) ✓ | 4 met · HOU 1 · ISU 3 | |||
| Final |  10Marquette
|
57 | vs  2UConn
|
73 | CONN Solid 81% ✓ | CONN -9.5 | CONN won by 16 · covered | 143.5 | UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (130) ✓ | 18 met · CONN 10 · MARQ 8 | |||
| Final |  Kent State
|
61 | vs  Akron
|
62 | AKR Solid 62% ✓ | AKR -3.5 | AKR won by 1 · not covered | 131.5 | UNDER 131.5 · 51.8% (123) ✓ | 53 met · AKR 28 · KENT 25 | |||
| Final |  Saint Peter's
|
68 | vs  Fairfield
|
63 | FAIR -2.5 | FAIR lost by 5 · not covered | 128.5 | UNDER 128.5 · 51.8% (131) ✗ | 52 met · FAIR 32 · SPU 20 | ||||
| Final |  NC State
|
84 | vs  4North Carolina
|
76 | UNC Solid 83% ✗ | UNC -10.5 | UNC lost by 8 · not covered | 144.5 | UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (160) ✗ | 46 met · UNC 38 · NCSU 8 | |||
| Final |  UTEP
|
71 | vs  Western KY
|
78 | WKU -2.5 | WKU won by 7 · covered | 145.5 | UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (149) ✗ | 11 met · WKU 9 · UTEP 2 | ||||
| Final |  Oregon
|
75 | vs  Colorado
|
68 | COLO -2.5 | COLO lost by 7 · not covered | 140.5 | UNDER 140.5 · 51.8% (143) ✗ | 26 met · COLO 15 · ORE 11 | ||||
| Final |  Long Beach St
|
74 | vs  UC Davis
|
70 | UCD -1.5 | UCD lost by 4 · not covered | 144.5 | UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (144) ✓ | 41 met · UCD 14 · LBSU 27 | ||||
| Final |  Texas Southern
|
66 | vs  Grambling
|
75 | TXSO -2.5 | TXSO lost by 9 · not covered | 127.5 | UNDER 127.5 · 51.8% (141) ✗ | 50 met · GRAM 14 · TXSO 36 | ||||
| Final |  UT Arlington
|
74 | vs  Grand Canyon
|
89 | GCU Solid 72% ✓ | GCU -6.5 | GCU won by 15 · covered | 146.5 | UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (163) ✗ | 5 met · GCU 4 · UTA 1 |