NCAA Predictor
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Thursday, February 8, 2024 63 games

Today: winner picks 42 of 50 right · line picks 4 of 4 right · total picks 0 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Chattanooga 88 @ VMI 84 UTC Banker 92% ✓ UTC -15.5 VMI +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ UTC won by 4 · not covered 159.5 21 met · VMI 5 · UTC 16
Final UAlbany 57 @ Binghamton 69 BING Solid 62% ✓ BING -3.5 BING won by 12 · covered 155.5 42 met · BING 15 · UALB 27
Final Milwaukee 85 @ Youngstown St 97 YSU Solid 78% ✓ YSU -8.5 YSU won by 12 · covered 159.5 41 met · YSU 18 · MILW 23
Final Sam Houston 68 @ Jax State 79 JXST -2.5 JXST won by 11 · covered 134.5 Never met
Final MTSU 53 @ Liberty 88 LIB Solid 85% ✓ LIB -11.5 LIB won by 35 · covered 129.5 Never met
Final C Arkansas 55 @ Jacksonville 59 JAX Solid 72% ✓ JAX -6.5 JAX won by 4 · not covered 144.5 3 met · JAX 3 · CARK 0
Final North Alabama 79 @ North Florida 74 UNF Solid 66% ✗ UNF -4.5 UNF lost by 5 · not covered 152.5 10 met · UNF 7 · UNA 3
Final New Hampshire 66 @ Bryant 85 BRY Solid 69% ✓ BRY -5.5 BRY won by 19 · covered 161.5 14 met · BRY 9 · UNH 5
Final UMass Lowell 93 @ UMBC 80 UML Solid 75% ✓ UML -7.5 UML won by 13 · covered 163.5 22 met · UMBC 8 · UML 14
Final Vermont 61 @ NJIT 63 UVM Banker 89% ✗ UVM -13.5 NJIT +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ UVM lost by 2 · not covered 131.5 13 met · NJIT 1 · UVM 12
Final Detroit Mercy 85 @ Wright St 92 WRST Banker 95% ✓ WRST -18.5 WRST won by 7 · not covered 160.5 48 met · WRST 33 · DETM 15
Final Oakland 89 @ N Kentucky 99 OAK -1.5 OAK lost by 10 · not covered 143.5 18 met · NKU 10 · OAK 8
Final Green Bay 81 @ Robert Morris 76 RMU -2.5 RMU lost by 5 · not covered 136.5 5 met · RMU 3 · GB 2
Final Samford 78 @ UNC Greensboro 69 UNCG -1.5 UNCG lost by 9 · not covered 149.5 33 met · UNCG 20 · SAM 13
Final Le Moyne 88 @ Stonehill 57 LEM -2.5 LEM won by 31 · covered 143.5 Never met
Final Wagner 66 @ FDU 62 FDU -2.5 FDU lost by 4 · not covered 139.5 45 met · FDU 21 · WAG 24
Final Sacred Heart 70 @ C Connecticut 77 CCSU Solid 66% ✓ CCSU -4.5 CCSU won by 7 · covered 144.5 46 met · CCSU 21 · SHU 25
Final Merrimack 82 @ Long Island 79 MRMK Solid 84% ✓ MRMK -11 MRMK won by 3 · not covered 136.0 9 met · LIU 3 · MRMK 6
Final Rider 67 @ Fairfield 84 FAIR Solid 66% ✓ FAIR -4.5 FAIR won by 17 · covered 150.5 45 met · FAIR 22 · RID 23
Final Iona 74 @ Niagara 71 IONA -2.5 IONA won by 3 · covered 146.5 49 met · NIA 21 · IONA 28
Final Marist 67 @ Siena 51 MRST Solid 66% ✓ MRST -4.5 MRST won by 16 · covered 128.5 47 met · SIE 31 · MRST 16
Final Manhattan 78 @ Mount St Marys 82 MSM Solid 78% ✓ MSM -8.5 MSM won by 4 · not covered 140.5 3 met · MSM 1 · MAN 2
Final Saint Peter's 73 @ Quinnipiac 84 QUIN Solid 75% ✓ QUIN -7.5 QUIN won by 11 · covered 135.5 21 met · QUIN 7 · SPU 14
Final Iowa 79 @ Penn State 89 IOWA -1.5 IOWA lost by 10 · not covered 164.5 33 met · PSU 12 · IOWA 21
Final Delaware 74 @ Towson 62 TOW Solid 66% ✗ TOW -4.5 TOW lost by 12 · not covered 133.5 45 met · TOW 26 · DEL 19
Final Drexel 56 @ UNC Wilmington 75 UNCW Solid 62% ✓ UNCW -3.5 UNCW won by 19 · covered 136.5 39 met · UNCW 24 · DREX 15
Final Hofstra 63 @ Hampton 59 HOF Solid 83% ✓ HOF -10.5 HOF won by 4 · not covered 149.5 3 met · HAMP 0 · HOF 3
Final Northeastern 86 @ Campbell 76 NE -2.5 NE won by 10 · covered 133.5 Never met
Final Stony Brook 79 @ Elon 64 STBK Solid 62% ✓ STBK -3.5 STBK won by 15 · covered 144.5 1 met · ELON 1 · STBK 0
Final William & Mary 64 @ Monmouth 68 MONM Solid 78% ✓ MONM -8.5 MONM won by 4 · not covered 142.5 1 met · MONM 0 · W&M 1
Final Memphis 84 @ Temple 77 MEM Solid 83% ✓ MEM -10.5 MEM won by 7 · not covered 145.5 15 met · TEM 6 · MEM 9
Final UT Rio Grande 84 @ SF Austin 92 SFA Banker 92% ✓ SFA -15.5 RGV +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ SFA won by 8 · not covered 151.5 7 met · SFA 6 · RGV 1
Final Montana St 70 @ N Colorado 73 UNCO Solid 75% ✓ UNCO -7.5 UNCO won by 3 · not covered 153.5 39 met · UNCO 17 · MTST 22
Final Tarleton St 72 @ Utah Valley 61 UVU Solid 62% ✗ UVU -3.5 UVU lost by 11 · not covered 139.5 6 met · UVU 4 · TAR 2
Final Kennesaw St 69 @ Austin Peay 85 KENN -1.5 KENN lost by 16 · not covered 153.5 1 met · APSU 0 · KENN 1
Final Queens 88 @ Lipscomb 90 LIP Solid 75% ✓ LIP -7.5 LIP won by 2 · not covered 167.5 1 met · LIP 1 · QUC 0
Final Kansas City 78 @ N Dakota St 82 NDSU Solid 66% ✓ NDSU -4.5 NDSU won by 4 · not covered 139.5 23 met · NDSU 15 · KC 8
Final Oral Roberts 63 @ St Thomas 85 STMN Solid 72% ✓ STMN -6.5 STMN won by 22 · covered 144.5 6 met · STMN 1 · ORU 5
Final Omaha 78 @ North Dakota 99 UND Solid 62% ✓ UND -3.5 UND won by 21 · covered 145.5 15 met · UND 3 · OMA 12
Final Denver 86 @ South Dakota 92 DEN Solid 62% ✗ DEN -3.5 DEN lost by 6 · not covered 163.5 23 met · SDAK 14 · DEN 9
Final NC A&T 58 @ Charleston 80 COFC Banker 98% ✓ COFC -22.5 COFC won by 22 · not covered 154.5 OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (138) ✗ 1 met · COFC 1 · NCAT 0
Final Arizona St 70 @ Colorado 82 COLO Banker 92% ✓ COLO -15.5 ASU +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ COLO won by 12 · not covered 148.5 23 met · COLO 13 · ASU 10
Final 8Arizona 105 @ Utah 99 ARIZ Solid 66% ✓ ARIZ -4.5 ARIZ won by 6 · covered 160.5 25 met · UTAH 4 · ARIZ 21
Final E Illinois 81 @ S Indiana 71 USI Solid 66% ✗ USI -4.5 USI lost by 10 · not covered 132.5 2 met · USI 1 · EIU 1
Final Tennessee St 65 @ Lindenwood 55 TNST Solid 62% ✓ TNST -3.5 TNST won by 10 · covered 139.5 3 met · LIN 0 · TNST 3
Final Little Rock 63 @ W Illinois 60 WIU -1.5 WIU lost by 3 · not covered 139.5 Never met
Final Tennessee Tech 69 @ SE Missouri 88 SEMO -1.5 SEMO won by 19 · covered 135.5 37 met · SEMO 11 · TNTC 26
Final Sacramento St 40 @ Idaho St 68 IDST Solid 69% ✓ IDST -5.5 IDST won by 28 · covered 124.5 42 met · IDST 19 · SAC 23
Final Montana 94 @ N Arizona 66 MONT Solid 69% ✓ MONT -5.5 MONT won by 28 · covered 145.5 46 met · NAU 17 · MONT 29
Final Portland St 72 @ Weber St 84 WEB Solid 81% ✓ WEB -9.5 WEB won by 12 · covered 145.5 47 met · WEB 33 · PRST 14
Final Fullerton 58 @ UC Davis 71 UCD Solid 72% ✓ UCD -6.5 UCD won by 13 · covered 134.5 41 met · UCD 18 · CSUF 23
Final Southern Utah 68 @ Utah Tech 70 SUU Solid 66% ✗ SUU -4.5 SUU lost by 2 · not covered 151.5 7 met · UTU 2 · SUU 5
Final SIUE 68 @ Morehead St 79 MORE Solid 83% ✓ MORE -10.5 MORE won by 11 · covered 129.5 21 met · MORE 15 · SIUE 6
Final 20FAU 73 @ UAB 76 FAU Solid 69% ✗ FAU -5.5 FAU lost by 3 · not covered 157.5 19 met · UAB 13 · FAU 6
Final UC Irvine 76 @ Santa Barbara 61 UCI Solid 62% ✓ UCI -3.5 UCI won by 15 · covered 144.5 47 met · UCSB 23 · UCI 24
Final Bakersfield 63 @ UC Riverside 65 UCR Solid 66% ✓ UCR -4.5 UCR won by 2 · not covered 131.5 13 met · UCR 7 · CSUB 6
Final Cal Poly 65 @ CSU Northridge 78 CSUN Solid 83% ✓ CSUN -10.5 CSUN won by 13 · covered 141.5 44 met · CSUN 25 · CP 19
Final Abilene Chrstn 52 @ Seattle U 75 SEA Solid 83% ✓ SEA -10.5 SEA won by 23 · covered 141.5 3 met · SEA 1 · ACU 2
Final UT Arlington 63 @ CA Baptist 64 CBU Solid 62% ✓ CBU -3.5 CBU won by 1 · not covered 140.5 1 met · CBU 1 · UTA 0
Final Washington 80 @ Oregon 85 ORE Solid 78% ✓ ORE -8.5 ORE won by 5 · not covered 154.5 45 met · ORE 25 · WASH 20
Final Washington St 64 @ Oregon St 58 WSU Solid 78% ✓ WSU -8.5 WSU won by 6 · not covered 135.5 41 met · ORST 20 · WSU 21
Final San Francisco 80 @ Pepperdine 74 SF Solid 81% ✓ SF -9.5 SF won by 6 · not covered 146.5 43 met · PEPP 12 · SF 31
Final UC San Diego 86 @ Hawai'i 94 HAW -1.5 HAW won by 8 · covered 138.0 5 met · HAW 4 · UCSD 1