Tuesday, January 30, 2024 30 games

Today: winner picks 19 of 24 right · line picks 2 of 7 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	South Carolina	63	@ 5Tennessee	59	TENN Banker 89% ✗	TENN -13.5		SC +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	TENN lost by 4 · not covered	135.5			42 met · TENN 32 · SC 10
Final	W Michigan	63	@ Toledo	88	TOL Solid 85% ✓	TOL -11.5			TOL won by 25 · covered	156.5			44 met · TOL 24 · WMU 20
Final	Miami OH	71	@ Kent State	67	KENT Solid 75% ✗	KENT -7.5			KENT lost by 4 · not covered	144.5			44 met · KENT 29 · M-OH 15
Final	Akron	77	@ E Michigan	46	AKR Solid 85% ✓	AKR -11.5			AKR won by 31 · covered	137.5			34 met · EMU 7 · AKR 27
Final	Bowling Green	81	@ Ball State	72		BALL -1.5			BALL lost by 9 · not covered	149.5			34 met · BALL 13 · BGSU 21
Final	Buffalo	70	@ Ohio	91	OHIO Banker 89% ✓	OHIO -13.5		BUF +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	OHIO won by 21 · covered	149.5			45 met · OHIO 27 · BUF 18
Final	N Illinois	77	@ C Michigan	84	CMU Solid 62% ✓	CMU -3.5			CMU won by 7 · covered	144.5			42 met · CMU 25 · NIU 17
Final	VCU	62	@ St Bonaventure	67	SBU Solid 66% ✓	SBU -4.5			SBU won by 5 · covered	137.5			15 met · SBU 7 · VCU 8
Final	G Washington	61	@ 21Dayton	83	DAY Banker 89% ✓	DAY -13.5		GW +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	DAY won by 22 · covered	146.5			27 met · DAY 17 · GW 10
Final	9Marquette	85	@ Villanova	80		VILL -2.5			VILL lost by 5 · not covered	141.5			37 met · VILL 22 · MARQ 15
Final	14Illinois	87	@ Ohio State	75	ILL Solid 62% ✓	ILL -3.5			ILL won by 12 · covered	146.5			37 met · OSU 23 · ILL 14
Final	Iowa	68	@ Indiana	74		IU -1.5			IU won by 6 · covered	160.5			37 met · IU 18 · IOWA 19
Final	15Texas Tech	78	@ 25TCU	85	TCU Solid 66% ✓	TCU -4.5			TCU won by 7 · covered	144.5			32 met · TCU 12 · TTU 20
Final	3North Carolina	73	@ Georgia Tech	74	UNC Solid 78% ✗	UNC -8.5			UNC lost by 1 · not covered	151.5			31 met · GT 12 · UNC 19
Final	Syracuse	75	@ Boston College	80	BC Solid 62% ✓	BC -3.5			BC won by 5 · covered	147.5			25 met · BC 5 · SYR 20
Final	Saint Louis	62	@ Loyola Chicago	77	LUC Solid 81% ✓	LUC -9.5			LUC won by 15 · covered	147.5			5 met · LUC 1 · SLU 4
Final	Illinois St	61	@ Murray St	59	MUR Solid 75% ✗	MUR -7.5			MUR lost by 2 · not covered	133.5			9 met · MUR 7 · ILST 2
Final	23Oklahoma	73	@ Kansas St	53		KSU -2.5			KSU lost by 20 · not covered	140.5			33 met · KSU 17 · OU 16
Final	SE Missouri	54	@ Lindenwood	58	LIN Solid 62% ✓	LIN -3.5			LIN won by 4 · covered	138.5			4 met · LIN 2 · SEMO 2
Final	Mississippi St	82	@ Ole Miss	86		MISS -1.5			MISS won by 4 · covered	139.5			44 met · MISS 18 · MSST 26
Final	Wyoming	83	@ Air Force	72	AF Solid 62% ✗	AF -3.5			AF lost by 11 · not covered	136.5			44 met · AF 24 · WYO 20
Final	San Diego St	71	@ Colorado St	79		CSU -2.5			CSU won by 8 · covered	142.5			49 met · CSU 13 · SDSU 36
Final	Seton Hall	72	@ DePaul	39	HALL Solid 83% ✓	HALL -10.5			HALL won by 33 · covered	136.5			31 met · DEP 10 · HALL 21
Final	Michigan	62	@ Michigan St	81	MSU Solid 85% ✓	MSU -11.5			MSU won by 19 · covered	144.5			40 met · MSU 24 · MICH 16
Final	San José St	61	@ 17Utah State	82	USU Banker 87% ✓	USU -12.5		SJSU +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	USU won by 21 · covered	149.5			39 met · USU 36 · SJSU 3
Final	Oklahoma St	54	@ 8Kansas	83	KU Banker 92% ✓	KU -15.5		OKST +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	KU won by 29 · covered	142.5			39 met · KU 28 · OKST 11
Final	Miami	68	@ NC State	74	NCSU Solid 62% ✓	NCSU -3.5			NCSU won by 6 · covered	154.5			29 met · NCSU 15 · MIA 14
Final	Louisville	64	@ Clemson	70	CLEM Banker 92% ✓	CLEM -15.5		LOU +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	CLEM won by 6 · not covered	149.5			12 met · CLEM 5 · LOU 7
Final	LMU	58	@ Gonzaga	92	GONZ Banker 91% ✓	GONZ -14.5		LMU +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	GONZ won by 34 · covered	152.5			44 met · GONZ 40 · LMU 4
Final	Fresno St	69	@ UNLV	78	UNLV Solid 78% ✓	UNLV -8.5			UNLV won by 9 · covered	139.5			22 met · UNLV 9 · FRES 13