Tuesday, January 23, 2024 33 games

Today: winner picks 20 of 26 right · line picks 3 of 3 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	16Dayton	66	@ La Salle	54	DAY Solid 78% ✓	DAY -8.5			DAY won by 12 · covered	138.5			26 met · LAS 8 · DAY 18
Final	Butler	90	@ Georgetown	66	BTLR Solid 62% ✓	BTLR -3.5			BTLR won by 24 · covered	146.5			23 met · GTWN 11 · BTLR 12
Final	Ohio	58	@ Akron	67	AKR Solid 75% ✓	AKR -7.5			AKR won by 9 · covered	146.5			47 met · AKR 28 · OHIO 19
Final	E Michigan	56	@ W Michigan	73	WMU Solid 69% ✓	WMU -5.5			WMU won by 17 · covered	147.5			44 met · WMU 27 · EMU 17
Final	Miami OH	55	@ C Michigan	71		CMU -1.5			CMU won by 16 · covered	142.5			27 met · CMU 9 · M-OH 18
Final	Kent State	90	@ Bowling Green	84		BGSU -1.5			BGSU lost by 6 · not covered	147.5			43 met · BGSU 15 · KENT 28
Final	Ball State	87	@ Buffalo	59		BALL -1.5			BALL won by 28 · covered	145.5			30 met · BUF 20 · BALL 10
Final	Loyola Chicago	67	@ VCU	74	VCU Solid 66% ✓	VCU -4.5			VCU won by 7 · covered	140.5			1 met · VCU 1 · LUC 0
Final	Saint Joseph's	78	@ UMass	77	MASS Solid 62% ✗	MASS -3.5			MASS lost by 1 · not covered	151.0			36 met · MASS 17 · JOES 19
Final	St Bonaventure	50	@ Duquesne	54		DUQ -1.5			DUQ won by 4 · covered	138.5			41 met · DUQ 14 · SBU 27
Final	6Kentucky	62	@ South Carolina	79	UK Solid 69% ✗	UK -5.5			UK lost by 17 · not covered	154.5			34 met · SC 9 · UK 25
Final	Wells College	49	@ Cornell	105	COR Banker 95% ✓								1 met · COR 1 · WELLS 0
Final	Ohio State	69	@ Nebraska	83	NEB Solid 62% ✓	NEB -3.5			NEB won by 14 · covered	149.5			20 met · NEB 4 · OSU 16
Final	13Wisconsin	61	@ Minnesota	59	WIS Solid 62% ✓	WIS -3.5			WIS won by 2 · not covered	138.5			37 met · MINN 8 · WIS 29
Final	UAB	70	@ Charlotte	76	CLT Solid 66% ✓	CLT -4.5			CLT won by 6 · covered	137.5			18 met · CLT 6 · UAB 12
Final	Texas	75	@ 11Oklahoma	60	OU Solid 66% ✗	OU -4.5			OU lost by 15 · not covered	142.5			45 met · OU 15 · TEX 30
Final	West Virginia	59	@ UCF	72	UCF Solid 75% ✓	UCF -7.5			UCF won by 13 · covered	141.5			1 met · UCF 0 · WVU 1
Final	Florida St	85	@ Syracuse	69	SYR Solid 62% ✗	SYR -3.5			SYR lost by 16 · not covered	152.5			12 met · SYR 7 · FSU 5
Final	Pitt	72	@ Georgia Tech	64		PITT -2.5			PITT won by 8 · covered	144.5			15 met · GT 7 · PITT 8
Final	12Duke	83	@ Louisville	69	DUKE Banker 91% ✓	DUKE -14.5		LOU +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	DUKE won by 14 · not covered	148.5			15 met · LOU 6 · DUKE 9
Final	Toledo	89	@ N Illinois	73	TOL Solid 69% ✓	TOL -5.5			TOL won by 16 · covered	157.5			41 met · NIU 18 · TOL 23
Final	Belmont	67	@ Illinois St	77		ILST -1.5			ILST won by 10 · covered	146.5			5 met · ILST 2 · BEL 3
Final	Evansville	63	@ Northern Iowa	70	UNI Banker 89% ✓	UNI -13.5		EVAN +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	UNI won by 7 · not covered	141.5			45 met · UNI 30 · EVAN 15
Final	Xavier	78	@ 17Creighton	85	CREI Solid 75% ✓	CREI -7.5			CREI won by 7 · not covered	151.5			30 met · CREI 14 · XAV 16
Final	Missouri	57	@ Texas A&M	63	TA&M Solid 83% ✓	TA&M -10.5			TA&M won by 6 · not covered	143.5			34 met · TA&M 23 · MIZ 11
Final	Wyoming	65	@ San Diego St	81	SDSU Banker 93% ✓	SDSU -16.5		WYO +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	SDSU won by 16 · not covered	144.5			41 met · SDSU 30 · WYO 11
Final	Michigan	67	@ 2Purdue	99	PUR Banker 95% ✓	PUR -18.5			PUR won by 32 · covered	152.5			36 met · PUR 17 · MICH 19
Final	4Houston	75	@ 21BYU	68		HOU -2.5			HOU won by 7 · covered	136.5			3 met · BYU 1 · HOU 2
Final	Boston College	71	@ Virginia Tech	76	VT Solid 66% ✓	VT -4.5			VT won by 5 · covered	146.5			31 met · VT 11 · BC 20
Final	San Diego	85	@ Portland	81	PORT Solid 62% ✗	PORT -3.5			PORT lost by 4 · not covered	159.5			46 met · PORT 18 · USD 28
Final	TCU	74	@ Oklahoma St	69	TCU Solid 66% ✓	TCU -4.5			TCU won by 5 · covered	146.5			24 met · OKST 13 · TCU 11
Final	Boise St	72	@ Fresno St	68	BOIS Solid 69% ✓	BOIS -5.5			BOIS won by 4 · not covered	135.5			41 met · FRES 16 · BOIS 25
Final	Air Force	90	@ UNLV	58	UNLV Solid 81% ✗	UNLV -9.5			UNLV lost by 32 · not covered	129.5			46 met · UNLV 32 · AF 14