Monday, January 22, 2024 16 games

Today: winner picks 11 of 11 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	McNeese	62	@ Texas A&M-CC	61	MCN Solid 69% ✓	MCN -5.5			MCN won by 1 · not covered	141.5			24 met · AMCC 19 · MCN 5
Final	N'Western St	62	@ SE Louisiana	71	SELA Solid 69% ✓	SELA -5.5			SELA won by 9 · covered	135.5			42 met · SELA 22 · NWST 20
Final	Lehigh	57	@ Colgate	60	COLG Solid 85% ✓	COLG -11.5			COLG won by 3 · not covered	144.5			47 met · COLG 22 · LEH 25
Final	Wake Forest	64	@ 3North Carolina	85	UNC Solid 75% ✓	UNC -7.5			UNC won by 21 · covered	158.5			28 met · UNC 18 · WAKE 10
Final	Queens (NY)	61	@ MD Eastern	71									Never met
Final	Nicholls	78	@ Incarnate Word	74	NICH Solid 62% ✓	NICH -3.5			NICH won by 4 · covered	145.5			15 met · UIW 6 · NICH 9
Final	LSU N Orleans	80	@ Hou Christian	88		NOLA -2.5			NOLA lost by 8 · not covered	161.5			18 met · HCU 6 · NOLA 12
Final	East Texas A&M	65	@ Lamar	76	LAM Solid 69% ✓	LAM -5.5			LAM won by 11 · covered	146.5			2 met · LAM 0 · ETAM 2
Final	Prairie View	78	@ Alcorn St	90		ALCN -2.5			ALCN won by 12 · covered	148.5			47 met · ALCN 21 · PV 26
Final	Florida A&M	81	@ Miss Valley St	70	FAMU Solid 72% ✓	FAMU -6.5			FAMU won by 11 · covered	133.5			2 met · MVSU 0 · FAMU 2
Final	Idaho St	70	@ Montana St	77	MTST Solid 66% ✓	MTST -4.5			MTST won by 7 · covered	136.5			40 met · MTST 27 · IDST 13
Final	Weber St	62	@ Montana	77		MONT -1.5			MONT won by 15 · covered	143.5			51 met · MONT 26 · WEB 25
Final	Texas Southern	64	@ Jackson St	73	JKST Solid 69% ✓	JKST -5.5			JKST won by 9 · covered	142.5			45 met · JKST 19 · TXSO 26
Final	Hofstra	80	@ Stony Brook	74	HOF Solid 66% ✓	HOF -4.5			HOF won by 6 · covered	139.5			17 met · STBK 5 · HOF 12
Final	Cincinnati	69	@ 7Kansas	74	KU Solid 75% ✓	KU -7.5			KU won by 5 · not covered	147.5			Never met
Final	Bethune	72	@ AR-Pine Bluff	76		UAPB -1.5			UAPB won by 4 · covered	161.5			2 met · UAPB 2 · BCU 0