Tuesday, January 21, 2025 35 games

Today: winner picks 20 of 26 right · line picks 3 of 6 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Ohio	87	@ E Michigan	94	OHIO Solid 78% ✗	OHIO -8.5			OHIO lost by 7 · not covered	154.5			26 met · EMU 9 · OHIO 17
Final	Akron	90	@ Buffalo	58	AKR Banker 87% ✓	AKR -12.5		BUF +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	AKR won by 32 · covered	160.5			49 met · BUF 23 · AKR 26
Final	Ball State	82	@ C Michigan	80	CMU Solid 66% ✗	CMU -4.5			CMU lost by 2 · not covered	139.5			41 met · CMU 16 · BALL 25
Final	Bowling Green	76	@ Miami OH	84	M-OH Solid 81% ✓	M-OH -9.5			M-OH won by 8 · not covered	149.5			43 met · M-OH 25 · BGSU 18
Final	Kent State	83	@ Toledo	64		TOL -1.5			TOL lost by 19 · not covered	148.5			33 met · TOL 12 · KENT 21
Final	N Illinois	70	@ W Michigan	72	WMU Solid 83% ✓	WMU -10.5			WMU won by 2 · not covered	150.5			43 met · WMU 28 · NIU 15
Final	14Mississippi St	56	@ 6Tennessee	68	TENN Solid 78% ✓	TENN -8.5			TENN won by 12 · covered	142.5			31 met · TENN 22 · MSST 9
Final	Vanderbilt	87	@ 4Alabama	103	ALA Solid 85% ✓	ALA -11.5			ALA won by 16 · covered	168.5			29 met · ALA 14 · VAN 15
Final	Butler	78	@ 19UConn	80	CONN Banker 89% ✓	CONN -13.5		BTLR +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	CONN won by 2 · not covered	141.5			10 met · CONN 10 · BTLR 0
Final	Saint Joseph's	78	@ Davidson	61		JOES -1.5			JOES won by 17 · covered	146.5			16 met · DAV 11 · JOES 5
Final	Dayton	82	@ Duquesne	62	DAY Solid 62% ✓	DAY -3.5			DAY won by 20 · covered	131.5			41 met · DUQ 11 · DAY 30
Final	George Mason	75	@ St Bonaventure	62		SBU -1.5			SBU lost by 13 · not covered	125.5			16 met · SBU 11 · GMU 5
Final	VCU	81	@ Rhode Island	57	VCU Solid 75% ✓	VCU -7.5			VCU won by 24 · covered	150.5			20 met · URI 10 · VCU 10
Final	Boston College	56	@ Virginia	74	UVA Solid 78% ✓	UVA -8.5			UVA won by 18 · covered	124.5			27 met · UVA 18 · BC 9
Final	Texas Tech	81	@ Cincinnati	71		TTU -1.5			TTU won by 10 · covered	133.5			1 met · CIN 1 · TTU 0
Final	Ohio State	73	@ 11Purdue	70	PUR Solid 81% ✗	PUR -9.5			PUR lost by 3 · not covered	140.5			40 met · PUR 17 · OSU 23
Final	Bradley	89	@ Belmont	77		BRAD -2.5			BRAD won by 12 · covered	155.5			3 met · BEL 2 · BRAD 1
Final	UTSA	78	@ UAB	81	UAB Banker 89% ✓	UAB -13.5		UTSA +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	UAB won by 3 · not covered	161.5			18 met · UAB 13 · UTSA 5
Final	10Marquette	76	@ Seton Hall	59	MARQ Banker 87% ✓	MARQ -12.5		HALL +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	MARQ won by 17 · covered	138.5			37 met · HALL 13 · MARQ 24
Final	Indiana St	81	@ Illinois St	85	ILST Solid 72% ✓	ILST -6.5			ILST won by 4 · not covered	152.5			48 met · ILST 23 · INST 25
Final	Missouri St	68	@ Northern Iowa	79	UNI Solid 81% ✓	UNI -9.5			UNI won by 11 · covered	135.5			48 met · UNI 33 · MOST 15
Final	East Carolina	85	@ Tulsa	76	ECU Solid 66% ✓	ECU -4.5			ECU won by 9 · covered	142.5			31 met · TLSA 22 · ECU 9
Final	UCF	83	@ 3Iowa State	108	ISU Banker 92% ✓	ISU -15.5		UCF +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	ISU won by 25 · covered	155.5			1 met · ISU 1 · UCF 0
Final	UT Martin	80	@ Tennessee St	81		TNST -1.5			TNST won by 1 · not covered	147.5			37 met · TNST 15 · UTM 22
Final	22Missouri	53	@ Texas	61		TEX -2.5			TEX won by 8 · covered	148.5			12 met · TEX 6 · MIZ 6
Final	Creighton	73	@ DePaul	49	CREI Solid 75% ✓	CREI -7.5			CREI won by 24 · covered	143.5			27 met · DEP 2 · CREI 25
Final	Minnesota	72	@ Iowa	67	IOWA Solid 78% ✗	IOWA -8.5			IOWA lost by 5 · not covered	150.5			38 met · IOWA 22 · MINN 16
Final	North Carolina	66	@ Wake Forest	67		WAKE -0.5			WAKE won by 1 · covered	148.5			29 met · WAKE 10 · UNC 19
Final	25Louisville	98	@ SMU	73		SMU -1.5			SMU lost by 25 · not covered	158.5			2 met · SMU 0 · LOU 2
Final	Arizona	92	@ Oklahoma St	78	ARIZ Solid 78% ✓	ARIZ -8.5			ARIZ won by 14 · covered	153.5			1 met · OKST 0 · ARIZ 1
Final	Arizona St	65	@ 23West Virginia	57	WVU Solid 78% ✗	WVU -8.5			WVU lost by 8 · not covered	134.5			Never met
Final	18Wisconsin	83	@ UCLA	85	UCLA Solid 62% ✓	UCLA -3.5			UCLA won by 2 · not covered	142.5			1 met · UCLA 1 · WIS 0
Final	Washington	71	@ 15Oregon	82	ORE Banker 87% ✓	ORE -12.5		WASH +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	ORE won by 11 · not covered	145.5			46 met · ORE 26 · WASH 20
Final	Wyoming	63	@ UNLV	61	UNLV Solid 78% ✗	UNLV -8.5			UNLV lost by 2 · not covered	132.5			43 met · UNLV 33 · WYO 10
Final	BYU	83	@ Colorado	67	BYU Solid 69% ✓	BYU -5.5			BYU won by 16 · covered	147.5			2 met · COLO 1 · BYU 1