Wednesday, January 22, 2025 42 games

Today: winner picks 22 of 28 right · line picks 5 of 8 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Furman	82	@ VMI	91	FUR Solid 81% ✗	FUR -9.5			FUR lost by 9 · not covered	143.5			22 met · VMI 6 · FUR 16
Final	Army	76	@ Holy Cross	71		ARMY -1.5			ARMY won by 5 · covered	142.5			50 met · HC 32 · ARMY 18
Final	Utah	36	@ 7Houston	70	HOU Banker 94% ✓	HOU -17.5		UTAH +17.5 · covers 53% ✗	HOU won by 34 · covered	133.5			1 met · HOU 1 · UTAH 0
Final	Robert Morris	72	@ Youngstown St	70		YSU -2.5			YSU lost by 2 · not covered	144.5			23 met · YSU 12 · RMU 11
Final	The Citadel	68	@ Wofford	79	WOF Banker 92% ✓	WOF -15.5		CIT +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	WOF won by 11 · not covered	134.5			46 met · WOF 37 · CIT 9
Final	W Carolina	58	@ ETSU	85	ETSU Banker 91% ✓	ETSU -14.5		WCU +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	ETSU won by 27 · covered	141.5			29 met · ETSU 22 · WCU 7
Final	Mercer	79	@ UNC Greensboro	78	UNCG Solid 78% ✗	UNCG -8.5			UNCG lost by 1 · not covered	145.5			21 met · UNCG 13 · MER 8
Final	5Florida	70	@ South Carolina	69	FLA Solid 83% ✓	FLA -10.5			FLA won by 1 · not covered	147.5			37 met · SC 12 · FLA 25
Final	Milwaukee	95	@ Wright St	79		WRST -2.5			WRST lost by 16 · not covered	154.5			49 met · WRST 26 · MILW 23
Final	IU Indy	86	@ Green Bay	77		IUIN -1.5			IUIN won by 9 · covered	142.5			18 met · GB 8 · IUIN 10
Final	Purdue FW	72	@ Oakland	76		OAK -0.5			OAK won by 4 · covered	144.5			27 met · OAK 18 · PFW 9
Final	Detroit Mercy	50	@ Cleveland St	65	CLE Banker 91% ✓	CLE -14.5		DETM +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	CLE won by 15 · covered	137.5			49 met · CLE 25 · DETM 24
Final	James Madison	74	@ Old Dominion	60	JMU Solid 72% ✓	JMU -6.5			JMU won by 14 · covered	136.5			33 met · ODU 21 · JMU 12
Final	Xavier	71	@ 20St John's	79	SJU Solid 72% ✓	SJU -6.5			SJU won by 8 · covered	148.5			24 met · SJU 7 · XAV 17
Final	Indiana	70	@ Northwestern	79	NU Solid 66% ✓	NU -4.5			NU won by 9 · covered	140.5			36 met · NU 18 · IU 18
Final	Lehigh	67	@ American	68	AMER Solid 69% ✓	AMER -5.5			AMER won by 1 · not covered	135.5			47 met · AMER 15 · LEH 32
Final	Lafayette	80	@ Loyola MD	59		L-MD -1.5			L-MD lost by 21 · not covered	136.5			28 met · L-MD 13 · LAF 15
Final	Boston U	47	@ Navy	62		NAVY -1.5			NAVY won by 15 · covered	131.5			23 met · NAVY 11 · BU 12
Final	Murray St	74	@ S Illinois	64		MUR -0.5			MUR won by 10 · covered	136.5			17 met · SIU 11 · MUR 6
Final	G Washington	61	@ UMass	74		MASS -1.5			MASS won by 13 · covered	155.5			27 met · MASS 11 · GW 16
Final	Virginia Tech	64	@ Georgia Tech	71	GT Solid 62% ✓	GT -3.5			GT won by 7 · covered	141.5			27 met · GT 8 · VT 19
Final	Syracuse	72	@ Clemson	86	CLEM Banker 93% ✓	CLEM -16.5		SYR +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	CLEM won by 14 · not covered	140.5			15 met · CLEM 9 · SYR 6
Final	South Florida	61	@ Charlotte	69		USF -2.5			USF lost by 8 · not covered	144.5			6 met · CLT 1 · USF 5
Final	12Kansas	74	@ TCU	61	KU Solid 69% ✓	KU -5.5			KU won by 13 · covered	135.5			28 met · TCU 4 · KU 24
Final	UNC Asheville	61	@ Gardner-Webb	53		GWEB -1.5			GWEB lost by 8 · not covered	159.5			32 met · GWEB 13 · UNCA 19
Final	High Point	86	@ SC Upstate	77	HPU Banker 91% ✓	HPU -14.5		UPST +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	HPU won by 9 · not covered	161.5			12 met · UPST 5 · HPU 7
Final	Longwood	77	@ Radford	74	RAD Solid 62% ✗	RAD -3.5			RAD lost by 3 · not covered	143.5			26 met · RAD 20 · LONG 6
Final	Valparaiso	71	@ Drake	81	DRKE Banker 89% ✓	DRKE -13.5		VAL +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	DRKE won by 10 · not covered	128.5			16 met · DRKE 11 · VAL 5
Final	Charleston So	61	@ Presbyterian	71		PRES -2.5			PRES won by 10 · covered	139.5			33 met · PRES 9 · CHSO 24
Final	UIC	78	@ Evansville	67	UIC Solid 69% ✓	UIC -5.5			UIC won by 11 · covered	142.5			9 met · EVAN 2 · UIC 7
Final	Fordham	66	@ Loyola Chicago	70	LUC Solid 83% ✓	LUC -10.5			LUC won by 4 · not covered	148.5			4 met · LUC 2 · FOR 2
Final	La Salle	52	@ Saint Louis	64	SLU Solid 83% ✓	SLU -10.5			SLU won by 12 · covered	152.5			28 met · SLU 21 · LAS 7
Final	Temple	67	@ North Texas	76	UNT Solid 81% ✓	UNT -9.5			UNT won by 9 · not covered	130.5			1 met · UNT 1 · TEM 0
Final	Boise St	72	@ Colorado St	75		BOIS -1.5			BOIS lost by 3 · not covered	140.5			28 met · CSU 11 · BOIS 17
Final	Georgia	65	@ Arkansas	68		ARK -0.5			ARK won by 3 · covered	140.5			28 met · ARK 16 · UGA 12
Final	13Texas A&M	63	@ 16Ole Miss	62	MISS Solid 62% ✗	MISS -3.5			MISS lost by 1 · not covered	141.5			16 met · MISS 5 · TA&M 11
Final	USC	78	@ Nebraska	73	NEB Solid 72% ✗	NEB -6.5			NEB lost by 5 · not covered	143.5			4 met · NEB 4 · USC 0
Final	Nevada	69	@ Utah State	90	USU Solid 69% ✓	USU -5.5			USU won by 21 · covered	141.5			39 met · USU 21 · NEV 18
Final	Florida St	68	@ California	77	FSU Solid 62% ✗	FSU -3.5			FSU lost by 9 · not covered	149.5			1 met · CAL 0 · FSU 1
Final	Kansas St	62	@ Baylor	70	BAY Solid 85% ✓	BAY -11.5			BAY won by 8 · not covered	140.5			38 met · BAY 19 · KSU 19
Final	San Diego St	77	@ Air Force	76	SDSU Banker 91% ✓	SDSU -14.5		AF +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	SDSU won by 1 · not covered	130.5			44 met · AF 11 · SDSU 33
Final	Miami	51	@ Stanford	88	STAN Solid 83% ✓	STAN -10.5			STAN won by 37 · covered	149.5			2 met · STAN 1 · MIA 1