Monday, January 20, 2025 29 games
Today: winner picks 18 of 26 right · line picks 2 of 4 right · total picks 1 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  William & Mary
|
74 | @  UNC Wilmington
|
85 | UNCW Solid 72% ✓ | UNCW -6.5 | UNCW won by 11 · covered | 154.5 | 43 met · UNCW 23 · W&M 20 | ||||
| Final |  Saint Francis
|
68 | @  Wagner
|
70 | WAG Solid 62% ✓ | WAG -3.5 | WAG won by 2 · not covered | 123.5 | 43 met · WAG 30 · SFPA 13 | ||||
| Final |  SE Louisiana
|
76 | @  East Texas A&M
|
68 | SELA Solid 72% ✓ | SELA -6.5 | SELA won by 8 · covered | 137.5 | 4 met · ETAM 1 · SELA 3 | ||||
| Final |  Lamar
|
78 | @  Nicholls
|
74 | NICH Solid 66% ✗ | NICH -4.5 | NICH lost by 4 · not covered | 142.5 | 33 met · NICH 15 · LAM 18 | ||||
| Final |  LSU N Orleans
|
61 | @  N'Western St
|
73 | NWST Solid 81% ✓ | NWST -9.5 | NWST won by 12 · covered | 143.5 | 25 met · NWST 14 · NOLA 11 | ||||
| Final |  Dartmouth
|
67 | @  Yale
|
83 | YALE Banker 94% ✓ | YALE -17.5 | DART +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ | YALE won by 16 · not covered | 152.5 | 42 met · YALE 35 · DART 7 | |||
| Final |  Mercyhurst
|
63 | @  Long Island
|
72 | LIU Solid 75% ✓ | LIU -7.5 | LIU won by 9 · covered | 126.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final |  Alcorn St
|
78 | @  Prairie View
|
70 | PV Solid 62% ✗ | PV -3.5 | PV lost by 8 · not covered | 143.5 | 49 met · PV 26 · ALCN 23 | ||||
| Final |  Columbia
|
67 | @  Princeton
|
71 | PRIN Solid 72% ✓ | PRIN -6.5 | PRIN won by 4 · not covered | 154.5 | 42 met · PRIN 36 · COLU 6 | ||||
| Final |  Penn
|
82 | @  Harvard
|
67 | HARV Solid 75% ✗ | HARV -7.5 | HARV lost by 15 · not covered | 142.5 | 44 met · HARV 21 · PENN 23 | ||||
| Final |  Brown
|
83 | @  Cornell
|
82 | COR Solid 78% ✗ | COR -8.5 | COR lost by 1 · not covered | 155.5 | 42 met · COR 27 · BRWN 15 | ||||
| Final |  Hofstra
|
55 | @  Drexel
|
60 | DREX Solid 62% ✓ | DREX -3.5 | DREX won by 5 · covered | 124.5 | 46 met · DREX 20 · HOF 26 | ||||
| Final |  SF Austin
|
59 | @  McNeese
|
79 | MCN Banker 91% ✓ | MCN -14.5 | SFA +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ | MCN won by 20 · covered | 133.5 | 27 met · MCN 6 · SFA 21 | |||
| Final |  Jackson St
|
73 | @  Texas Southern
|
81 | TXSO Solid 66% ✓ | TXSO -4.5 | TXSO won by 8 · covered | 141.5 | 48 met · TXSO 28 · JKST 20 | ||||
| Final |  Morehouse
|
79 | @  Howard
|
76 | HOW Banker 95% ✗ | 2 met · HOW 2 · MRHO 0 | |||||||
| Final | Wash Adventist | 42 | @  Norfolk St
|
105 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final |  Fresno St
|
67 | @  New Mexico
|
95 | UNM Banker 97% ✓ | UNM -21.5 | UNM won by 28 · covered | 160.5 | OVER 160.5 · 52.3% (162) ✓ | 26 met · UNM 12 · FRES 14 | |||
| Final |  UT Rio Grande
|
85 | @  Incarnate Word
|
78 | UIW Solid 62% ✗ | UIW -3.5 | UIW lost by 7 · not covered | 147.5 | 2 met · UIW 0 · RGV 2 | ||||
| Final |  Georgetown
|
64 | @  Villanova
|
63 | VILL Solid 75% ✗ | VILL -7.5 | VILL lost by 1 · not covered | 135.5 | 41 met · VILL 28 · GTWN 13 | ||||
| Final |  Rutgers
|
72 | @  Penn State
|
80 | PSU Solid 75% ✓ | PSU -7.5 | PSU won by 8 · covered | 155.5 | 20 met · PSU 10 · RUTG 10 | ||||
| Final |  Texas A&M-CC
|
72 | @  Hou Christian
|
76 | AMCC Solid 69% ✗ | AMCC -5.5 | AMCC lost by 4 · not covered | 145.5 | 22 met · HCU 6 · AMCC 16 | ||||
| Final |  FDU
|
58 | @  Chicago St
|
48 | FDU Solid 62% ✓ | FDU -3.5 | FDU won by 10 · covered | 145.5 | 1 met · CHST 1 · FDU 0 | ||||
| Final |  Stonehill
|
72 | @  Le Moyne
|
73 | STO -1.5 | STO lost by 1 · not covered | 142.5 | 2 met · LEM 2 · STO 0 | |||||
| Final |  Bucknell
|
80 | @  Colgate
|
87 | COLG Solid 75% ✓ | COLG -7.5 | COLG won by 7 · not covered | 136.5 | 49 met · COLG 20 · BUCK 29 | ||||
| Final |  AR-Pine Bluff
|
64 | @  Bethune
|
73 | BCU Banker 87% ✓ | BCU -12.5 | UAPB +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ | BCU won by 9 · not covered | 154.5 | 3 met · BCU 0 · UAPB 3 | |||
| Final |  Miss Valley St
|
53 | @  Florida A&M
|
83 | FAMU Banker 91% ✓ | FAMU -14.5 | MVSU +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ | FAMU won by 30 · covered | 136.5 | 3 met · FAMU 3 · MVSU 0 | |||
| Final |  Hampton
|
74 | @  NC A&T
|
73 | HAMP -2.5 | HAMP won by 1 · not covered | 146.5 | 31 met · NCAT 12 · HAMP 19 | |||||
| Final |  E Washington
|
64 | @  Montana St
|
74 | MTST Solid 69% ✓ | MTST -5.5 | MTST won by 10 · covered | 145.5 | 45 met · MTST 16 · EWU 29 | ||||
| Final |  Idaho
|
67 | @  Montana
|
72 | MONT Solid 66% ✓ | MONT -4.5 | MONT won by 5 · covered | 149.5 | 27 met · MONT 21 · IDHO 6 |