Sunday, January 19, 2025 11 games
Today: winner picks 8 of 10 right · line picks 1 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  Nebraska
|
66 | @  Maryland
|
69 | MD Solid 81% ✓ | MD -9.5 | MD won by 3 · not covered | 147.5 | 16 met · MD 12 · NEB 4 | ||||
| Final |  19Illinois
|
78 | @  12Michigan St
|
80 | MSU -1.5 | MSU won by 2 · covered | 160.5 | 36 met · MSU 19 · ILL 17 | |||||
| Final |  Youngstown St
|
73 | @  Green Bay
|
69 | YSU Solid 75% ✓ | YSU -7.5 | YSU won by 4 · not covered | 142.5 | 48 met · GB 30 · YSU 18 | ||||
| Final |  Rice
|
73 | @  FAU
|
75 | FAU Solid 83% ✓ | FAU -10.5 | FAU won by 2 · not covered | 149.5 | 11 met · FAU 7 · RICE 4 | ||||
| Final |  Tulane
|
77 | @  Temple
|
80 | TEM Solid 66% ✓ | TEM -4.5 | TEM won by 3 · not covered | 147.5 | 20 met · TEM 12 · TULN 8 | ||||
| Final |  Cleveland St
|
73 | @  IU Indy
|
62 | CLE Solid 69% ✓ | CLE -5.5 | CLE won by 11 · covered | 139.5 | 16 met · IUIN 3 · CLE 13 | ||||
| Final |  Northwestern
|
76 | @  20Michigan
|
80 | MICH Solid 81% ✓ | MICH -9.5 | MICH won by 4 · not covered | 147.5 | 36 met · MICH 26 · NU 10 | ||||
| Final |  La Salle
|
60 | @  UMass
|
82 | MASS Solid 62% ✓ | MASS -3.5 | MASS won by 22 · covered | 157.5 | 41 met · MASS 21 · LAS 20 | ||||
| Final |  Robert Morris
|
81 | @  Milwaukee
|
79 | MILW Solid 78% ✗ | MILW -8.5 | MILW lost by 2 · not covered | 149.5 | 7 met · MILW 3 · RMU 4 | ||||
| Final |  18Memphis
|
77 | @  Charlotte
|
68 | MEM Solid 85% ✓ | MEM -11.5 | MEM won by 9 · not covered | 146.5 | 5 met · CLT 1 · MEM 4 | ||||
| Final |  TCU
|
74 | @  25Baylor
|
71 | BAY Banker 87% ✗ | BAY -12.5 | TCU +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ | BAY lost by 3 · not covered | 138.5 | 25 met · BAY 18 · TCU 7 |