Tuesday, January 14, 2025 36 games

Today: winner picks 25 of 31 right · line picks 2 of 5 right · total picks 0 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Villanova	63	@ Xavier	69		XAV -2.5			XAV won by 6 · covered	146.5			23 met · XAV 5 · VILL 18
Final	Ball State	71	@ Ohio	86	OHIO Solid 78% ✓	OHIO -8.5			OHIO won by 15 · covered	151.5			30 met · OHIO 22 · BALL 8
Final	Buffalo	61	@ Bowling Green	79	BGSU Solid 78% ✓	BGSU -8.5			BGSU won by 18 · covered	157.5			40 met · BGSU 15 · BUF 25
Final	E Michigan	63	@ C Michigan	82	CMU Solid 78% ✓	CMU -8.5			CMU won by 19 · covered	141.5			45 met · CMU 18 · EMU 27
Final	Miami OH	84	@ N Illinois	69	M-OH Solid 83% ✓	M-OH -10.5			M-OH won by 15 · covered	148.5			28 met · NIU 10 · M-OH 18
Final	Toledo	78	@ Akron	85	AKR Solid 75% ✓	AKR -7.5			AKR won by 7 · not covered	161.5			31 met · AKR 14 · TOL 17
Final	W Michigan	94	@ Kent State	83	KENT Banker 87% ✗	KENT -12.5		WMU +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	KENT lost by 11 · not covered	139.5			29 met · KENT 21 · WMU 8
Final	21Ole Miss	74	@ 4Alabama	64	ALA Solid 85% ✗	ALA -11.5			ALA lost by 10 · not covered	163.5			36 met · ALA 22 · MISS 14
Final	15Mississippi St	66	@ 1Auburn	88	AUB Solid 75% ✓	AUB -7.5			AUB won by 22 · covered	150.5			37 met · AUB 18 · MSST 19
Final	11Texas A&M	69	@ 8Kentucky	81	UK Solid 75% ✓	UK -7.5			UK won by 12 · covered	156.5			16 met · UK 11 · TA&M 5
Final	7Marquette	85	@ DePaul	83	MARQ Banker 87% ✓	MARQ -12.5		DEP +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	MARQ won by 2 · not covered	146.5			40 met · DEP 10 · MARQ 30
Final	19Illinois	94	@ Indiana	69	ILL Solid 69% ✓	ILL -5.5			ILL won by 25 · covered	161.5			41 met · IU 19 · ILL 22
Final	Saint Louis	62	@ VCU	78	VCU Solid 83% ✓	VCU -10.5			VCU won by 16 · covered	146.5			21 met · VCU 16 · SLU 5
Final	Louisville	85	@ Syracuse	61	LOU Solid 78% ✓	LOU -8.5			LOU won by 24 · covered	153.5			24 met · SYR 11 · LOU 13
Final	North Texas	69	@ East Carolina	60		UNT -2.5			UNT won by 9 · covered	128.5			3 met · ECU 0 · UNT 3
Final	Georgetown	58	@ St John's	63	SJU Solid 81% ✓	SJU -9.5			SJU won by 5 · not covered	143.5			45 met · SJU 21 · GTWN 24
Final	Valparaiso	64	@ Belmont	71	BEL Solid 75% ✓	BEL -7.5			BEL won by 7 · not covered	159.5			8 met · BEL 6 · VAL 2
Final	Charlotte	59	@ Wichita St	68	WICH Solid 83% ✓	WICH -10.5			WICH won by 9 · not covered	148.5			1 met · WICH 0 · CLT 1
Final	Evansville	56	@ Northern Iowa	73	UNI Banker 89% ✓	UNI -13.5		EVAN +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	UNI won by 17 · covered	132.5			46 met · UNI 31 · EVAN 15
Final	UTSA	90	@ Rice	84	RICE Solid 66% ✗	RICE -4.5			RICE lost by 6 · not covered	145.5			19 met · RICE 9 · UTSA 10
Final	Little Rock	73	@ SE Missouri	71		SEMO -0.5			SEMO lost by 2 · not covered	135.5			5 met · SEMO 2 · LR 3
Final	Providence	64	@ Creighton	84	CREI Solid 78% ✓	CREI -8.5			CREI won by 20 · covered	144.5			26 met · CREI 11 · PROV 15
Final	Ohio State	68	@ 24Wisconsin	70	WIS Solid 72% ✓	WIS -6.5			WIS won by 2 · not covered	149.5			40 met · WIS 24 · OSU 16
Final	Wyoming	55	@ Boise St	96	BOIS Banker 89% ✓	BOIS -13.5		WYO +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	BOIS won by 41 · covered	133.5			31 met · BOIS 21 · WYO 10
Final	Clemson	70	@ Georgia Tech	59	CLEM Solid 72% ✓	CLEM -6.5			CLEM won by 11 · covered	143.5			47 met · GT 18 · CLEM 29
Final	Oklahoma St	69	@ BYU	85	BYU Banker 89% ✓	BYU -13.5		OKST +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	BYU won by 16 · covered	147.5			4 met · BYU 2 · OKST 2
Final	Texas Tech	61	@ Kansas St	57	TTU Solid 72% ✓	TTU -6.5			TTU won by 4 · not covered	144.5			36 met · KSU 17 · TTU 19
Final	Missouri	83	@ 5Florida	82	FLA Solid 83% ✗	FLA -10.5			FLA lost by 1 · not covered	155.5			15 met · FLA 11 · MIZ 4
Final	Arkansas	74	@ LSU	78		LSU -0.5			LSU won by 4 · covered	150.5			46 met · LSU 26 · ARK 20
Final	Miami	54	@ 3Duke	89	DUKE Banker 98% ✓	DUKE -22.5			DUKE won by 35 · covered	145.5	OVER 145.5 · 52.3% (143) ✗		31 met · DUKE 22 · MIA 9
Final	Air Force	62	@ Nevada	68	NEV Banker 96% ✓	NEV -19.5			NEV won by 6 · not covered	128.5			21 met · NEV 18 · AF 3
Final	New Mexico	70	@ San José St	71	UNM Solid 81% ✗	UNM -9.5			UNM lost by 1 · not covered	153.5			21 met · SJSU 5 · UNM 16
Final	Iowa	89	@ USC	99		USC -2.5			USC won by 10 · covered	161.5			Never met
Final	Colorado St	60	@ San Diego St	75	SDSU Solid 72% ✓	SDSU -6.5			SDSU won by 15 · covered	132.5			51 met · SDSU 37 · CSU 14
Final	25Baylor	70	@ Arizona	81	ARIZ Solid 69% ✓	ARIZ -5.5			ARIZ won by 11 · covered	148.5			2 met · ARIZ 0 · BAY 2
Final	UCF	95	@ Arizona St	89	ASU Solid 62% ✗	ASU -3.5			ASU lost by 6 · not covered	149.5			Never met