Monday, January 13, 2025 22 games

Today: winner picks 13 of 19 right · line picks 3 of 7 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Minnesota	71	@ Maryland	77	MD Banker 92% ✓	MD -15.5		MINN +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	MD won by 6 · not covered	139.5			17 met · MD 14 · MINN 3
Final	UCLA	68	@ Rutgers	75	UCLA Solid 66% ✗	UCLA -4.5			UCLA lost by 7 · not covered	137.5			Never met
Final	Prairie View	75	@ AR-Pine Bluff	64		PV -2.5			PV won by 11 · covered	167.5			44 met · UAPB 21 · PV 23
Final	Wofford	81	@ Furman	62	FUR Solid 75% ✗	FUR -7.5			FUR lost by 19 · not covered	139.5			46 met · FUR 19 · WOF 27
Final	Alabama St	65	@ Alcorn St	67	ALST Solid 62% ✗	ALST -3.5			ALST lost by 2 · not covered	142.5			43 met · ALCN 20 · ALST 23
Final	American	73	@ Loyola MD	54		L-MD -1.5			L-MD lost by 19 · not covered	135.5			26 met · L-MD 12 · AMER 14
Final	Texas Southern	82	@ Miss Valley St	53	TXSO Banker 94% ✓	TXSO -17.5		MVSU +17.5 · covers 53% ✗	TXSO won by 29 · covered	136.5			46 met · MVSU 18 · TXSO 28
Final	Boston College	60	@ Notre Dame	78	ND Solid 85% ✓	ND -11.5			ND won by 18 · covered	140.5			26 met · ND 18 · BC 8
Final	SE Louisiana	66	@ SF Austin	59	SFA Solid 69% ✗	SFA -5.5			SFA lost by 7 · not covered	132.5			27 met · SFA 19 · SELA 8
Final	Nicholls	88	@ Incarnate Word	82		UIW -1.5			UIW lost by 6 · not covered	143.5			17 met · UIW 6 · NICH 11
Final	East Texas A&M	55	@ UT Rio Grande	57	RGV Banker 87% ✓	RGV -12.5		ETAM +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	RGV won by 2 · not covered	149.5			1 met · RGV 1 · ETAM 0
Final	Bethune	53	@ Southern	69	SOU Solid 72% ✓	SOU -6.5			SOU won by 16 · covered	137.5			7 met · SOU 2 · BCU 5
Final	Norfolk St	74	@ Morgan St	78	NORF Solid 81% ✗	NORF -9.5			NORF lost by 4 · not covered	154.5			42 met · MORG 15 · NORF 27
Final	MD Eastern	64	@ SC State	78	SCST Banker 89% ✓	SCST -13.5		UMES +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	SCST won by 14 · covered	145.5			30 met · SCST 23 · UMES 7
Final	McNeese	75	@ Hou Christian	59	MCN Banker 91% ✓	MCN -14.5		HCU +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	MCN won by 16 · covered	138.5			20 met · HCU 8 · MCN 12
Final	LSU N Orleans	68	@ Lamar	62	LAM Banker 87% ✗	LAM -12.5		NOLA +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	LAM lost by 6 · not covered	147.5			16 met · LAM 5 · NOLA 11
Final	N'Western St	64	@ Texas A&M-CC	73	AMCC Solid 78% ✓	AMCC -8.5			AMCC won by 9 · covered	143.5			25 met · AMCC 18 · NWST 7
Final	Alabama A&M	93	@ Jackson St	103	JKST Solid 75% ✓	JKST -7.5			JKST won by 10 · covered	143.5			41 met · JKST 28 · AAMU 13
Final	Coppin St	75	@ Howard	90	HOW Banker 89% ✓	HOW -13.5		COPP +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	HOW won by 15 · covered	147.5			38 met · HOW 16 · COPP 22
Final	Delaware St	72	@ NC Central	75	NCCU Solid 72% ✓	NCCU -6.5			NCCU won by 3 · not covered	147.5			26 met · NCCU 19 · DSU 7
Final	Campbell	68	@ Elon	81	ELON Solid 75% ✓	ELON -7.5			ELON won by 13 · covered	138.5			4 met · ELON 1 · CAM 3
Final	Florida A&M	72	@ Grambling	79	GRAM Solid 75% ✓	GRAM -7.5			GRAM won by 7 · not covered	135.5			6 met · GRAM 4 · FAMU 2