Sunday, January 12, 2025 21 games

Today: winner picks 10 of 14 right · line picks 0 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Rider	68	@ Niagara	65	NIA Solid 69% ✗	NIA -5.5			NIA lost by 3 · not covered	135.5			46 met · NIA 19 · RID 27
Final	VMI	66	@ Chattanooga	91	UTC Banker 89% ✓	UTC -13.5		VMI +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	UTC won by 25 · covered	149.5			22 met · UTC 17 · VMI 5
Final	16Michigan St	78	@ Northwestern	68		MSU -2.5			MSU won by 10 · covered	138.5			36 met · NU 6 · MSU 30
Final	Nebraska	68	@ 20Purdue	104	PUR Solid 78% ✓	PUR -8.5			PUR won by 36 · covered	140.5			19 met · PUR 14 · NEB 5
Final	Saint Peter's	62	@ Canisius	49	SPU Solid 69% ✓	SPU -5.5			SPU won by 13 · covered	132.5			45 met · CAN 23 · SPU 22
Final	Quinnipiac	63	@ Iona	62		QUIN -1.5			QUIN won by 1 · not covered	145.5			22 met · IONA 13 · QUIN 9
Final	Long Island	54	@ C Connecticut	52	CCSU Solid 75% ✗	CCSU -7.5			CCSU lost by 2 · not covered	127.5			40 met · CCSU 18 · LIU 22
Final	Saint Francis	75	@ FDU	71	FDU Solid 66% ✗	FDU -4.5			FDU lost by 4 · not covered	150.5			46 met · FDU 24 · SFPA 22
Final	Sacred Heart	71	@ Mount St Marys	73	MSM Solid 62% ✓	MSM -3.5			MSM won by 2 · not covered	151.5			39 met · MSM 26 · SHU 13
Final	Manhattan	62	@ Merrimack	69	MRMK Solid 75% ✓	MRMK -7.5			MRMK won by 7 · not covered	140.5			Never met
Final	Fairfield	51	@ Marist	61	MRST Solid 75% ✓	MRST -7.5			MRST won by 10 · covered	135.5			47 met · MRST 16 · FAIR 31
Final	Wright St	72	@ Robert Morris	75		RMU -1.5			RMU won by 3 · covered	148.5			8 met · RMU 1 · WRST 7
Final	Stonehill	68	@ Chicago St	52	STO Solid 62% ✓	STO -3.5			STO won by 16 · covered	134.5			Never met
Final	Mercyhurst	63	@ Le Moyne	79	LEM Solid 66% ✓	LEM -4.5			LEM won by 16 · covered	137.5			Never met
Final	Washington	75	@ 24Michigan	91	MICH Banker 91% ✓	MICH -14.5		WASH +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	MICH won by 16 · covered	154.5			Never met
Final	Charlotte	63	@ Tulsa	69		TLSA -1.5			TLSA won by 6 · covered	143.5			6 met · TLSA 3 · CLT 3
Final	21West Virginia	78	@ Colorado	70		COLO -2.5			COLO lost by 8 · not covered	134.5			Never met
Final	Mercer	82	@ W Carolina	85	MER Solid 66% ✗	MER -4.5			MER lost by 3 · not covered	154.5			23 met · WCU 13 · MER 10
Final	15Oregon	82	@ Penn State	81		ORE -2.5			ORE won by 1 · not covered	154.5			Never met
Final	S Indiana	58	@ Little Rock	78	LR Solid 69% ✓	LR -5.5			LR won by 20 · covered	137.5			4 met · LR 2 · USI 2
Final	UAB	81	@ FAU	76		FAU -2.5			FAU lost by 5 · not covered	163.5			20 met · FAU 6 · UAB 14