Friday, January 10, 2025 14 games

Today: winner picks 6 of 8 right · line picks 0 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Merrimack	66	@ Sacred Heart	65		MRMK -2.5			MRMK won by 1 · not covered	138.5			11 met · SHU 3 · MRMK 8
Final	Kent State	68	@ Buffalo	49	KENT Solid 83% ✓	KENT -10.5			KENT won by 19 · covered	147.5			50 met · BUF 21 · KENT 29
Final	Saint Peter's	60	@ Niagara	70		NIA -1.5			NIA won by 10 · covered	127.5			44 met · NIA 24 · SPU 20
Final	Iona	64	@ Fairfield	68		FAIR -0.5			FAIR won by 4 · covered	145.5			48 met · FAIR 20 · IONA 28
Final	Rider	67	@ Canisius	85		RID -2.5			RID lost by 18 · not covered	138.5			46 met · CAN 14 · RID 32
Final	Mount St Marys	75	@ Manhattan	66		MAN -1.5			MAN lost by 9 · not covered	150.5			4 met · MAN 2 · MSM 2
Final	Siena	53	@ Quinnipiac	72	QUIN Solid 72% ✓	QUIN -6.5			QUIN won by 19 · covered	140.5			21 met · QUIN 10 · SIE 11
Final	Wagner	62	@ C Connecticut	57	CCSU Solid 83% ✗	CCSU -10.5			CCSU lost by 5 · not covered	119.5			45 met · CCSU 17 · WAG 28
Final	FDU	91	@ Le Moyne	86		LEM -2.5			LEM lost by 5 · not covered	155.5			3 met · LEM 2 · FDU 1
Final	Mercyhurst	59	@ Saint Francis	73	SFPA Solid 62% ✓	SFPA -3.5			SFPA won by 14 · covered	134.5			Never met
Final	Minnesota	59	@ Wisconsin	80	WIS Banker 89% ✓	WIS -13.5		MINN +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	WIS won by 21 · covered	139.5			38 met · WIS 30 · MINN 8
Final	Long Island	70	@ Stonehill	60	STO Solid 62% ✗	STO -3.5			STO lost by 10 · not covered	131.5			4 met · STO 2 · LIU 2
Final	C Michigan	67	@ Toledo	69	TOL Solid 66% ✓	TOL -4.5			TOL won by 2 · not covered	151.5			47 met · TOL 30 · CMU 17
Final	22UCLA	61	@ Maryland	79	MD Solid 69% ✓	MD -5.5			MD won by 18 · covered	137.5			3 met · MD 1 · UCLA 2