Thursday, January 2, 2025 66 games

Today: winner picks 35 of 47 right · line picks 2 of 7 right · total picks 0 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Gardner-Webb	63	@ Charleston So	72		GWEB -1.5			GWEB lost by 9 · not covered	152.5			34 met · CHSO 9 · GWEB 25
Final	Austin Peay	97	@ North Florida	89	UNF Solid 72% ✗	UNF -6.5			UNF lost by 8 · not covered	148.5			8 met · UNF 3 · APSU 5
Final	Longwood	60	@ Presbyterian	68	LONG Solid 62% ✗	LONG -3.5			LONG lost by 8 · not covered	143.5			21 met · PRES 11 · LONG 10
Final	SC Upstate	76	@ Winthrop	95	WIN Banker 91% ✓	WIN -14.5		UPST +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	WIN won by 19 · covered	165.5			16 met · WIN 14 · UPST 2
Final	Loyola MD	72	@ Holy Cross	74		HC -2.5			HC won by 2 · not covered	139.5			23 met · HC 13 · L-MD 10
Final	Troy	69	@ App State	61		TROY -2.5			TROY won by 8 · covered	132.5			20 met · APP 10 · TROY 10
Final	Western KY	71	@ Liberty	70	LIB Solid 81% ✗	LIB -9.5			LIB lost by 1 · not covered	146.5			2 met · LIB 1 · WKU 1
Final	MTSU	73	@ FIU	69	MTSU Solid 62% ✓	MTSU -3.5			MTSU won by 4 · covered	150.5			42 met · FIU 9 · MTSU 33
Final	FGCU	79	@ West Georgia	68	FGCU Solid 78% ✓	FGCU -8.5			FGCU won by 11 · covered	137.5			Never met
Final	Lipscomb	70	@ Jacksonville	65	LIP Solid 66% ✓	LIP -4.5			LIP won by 5 · covered	141.5			43 met · JAX 18 · LIP 25
Final	Bellarmine	66	@ North Alabama	82	UNA Banker 89% ✓	UNA -13.5		BELL +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	UNA won by 16 · covered	149.5			8 met · UNA 2 · BELL 6
Final	Stetson	87	@ Queens	96	QUC Solid 81% ✓	QUC -9.5			QUC won by 9 · not covered	155.5			4 met · QUC 2 · STET 2
Final	Stony Brook	56	@ Monmouth	78	MONM Solid 72% ✓	MONM -6.5			MONM won by 22 · covered	141.5			5 met · MONM 2 · STBK 3
Final	Drexel	54	@ Campbell	57	DREX Solid 62% ✗	DREX -3.5			DREX lost by 3 · not covered	136.5			1 met · CAM 0 · DREX 1
Final	Delaware	77	@ Northeastern	80	NE Solid 69% ✓	NE -5.5			NE won by 3 · not covered	151.5			41 met · NE 23 · DEL 18
Final	Towson	65	@ UNC Wilmington	61	UNCW Solid 69% ✗	UNCW -5.5			UNCW lost by 4 · not covered	138.5			41 met · UNCW 21 · TOW 20
Final	William & Mary	74	@ Hofstra	56	HOF Solid 69% ✗	HOF -5.5			HOF lost by 18 · not covered	149.5			42 met · HOF 28 · W&M 14
Final	Hampton	67	@ Charleston	94	COFC Solid 83% ✓	COFC -10.5			COFC won by 27 · covered	146.5			3 met · COFC 3 · HAMP 0
Final	Elon	75	@ NC A&T	67	ELON Solid 72% ✓	ELON -6.5			ELON won by 8 · covered	152.5			4 met · NCAT 2 · ELON 2
Final	Green Bay	51	@ Wright St	74	WRST Banker 89% ✓	WRST -13.5		GB +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	WRST won by 23 · covered	153.5			50 met · WRST 29 · GB 21
Final	Milwaukee	49	@ Oakland	65		OAK -0.5			OAK won by 16 · covered	146.5			25 met · OAK 15 · MILW 10
Final	Robert Morris	76	@ Detroit Mercy	78	RMU Solid 69% ✗	RMU -5.5			RMU lost by 2 · not covered	142.5			9 met · DETM 6 · RMU 3
Final	Arkansas St	78	@ Old Dominion	59	ARST Solid 83% ✓	ARST -10.5			ARST won by 19 · covered	153.5			3 met · ODU 1 · ARST 2
Final	Louisiana	71	@ Coastal	68		CCU -2.5			CCU lost by 3 · not covered	137.5			10 met · CCU 2 · UL 8
Final	Texas St	71	@ Marshall	77		MRSH -1.5			MRSH won by 6 · covered	141.5			3 met · MRSH 2 · TXST 1
Final	UL Monroe	82	@ GA Southern	90	GASO Solid 83% ✓	GASO -10.5			GASO won by 8 · not covered	149.5			19 met · GASO 14 · ULM 5
Final	South Alabama	77	@ Georgia St	51	USA Solid 66% ✓	USA -4.5			USA won by 26 · covered	139.5			25 met · GAST 19 · USA 6
Final	Southern Miss	72	@ James Madison	83	JMU Solid 85% ✓	JMU -11.5			JMU won by 11 · not covered	139.5			2 met · JMU 0 · USM 2
Final	Northwestern	80	@ Penn State	84	PSU Solid 66% ✓	PSU -4.5			PSU won by 4 · not covered	145.5			39 met · PSU 24 · NU 15
Final	American	58	@ Navy	81		AMER -1.5			AMER lost by 23 · not covered	137.5			52 met · NAVY 20 · AMER 32
Final	Bucknell	64	@ Lehigh	66	LEH Solid 62% ✓	LEH -3.5			LEH won by 2 · not covered	139.5			52 met · LEH 24 · BUCK 28
Final	Boston U	46	@ Lafayette	60		BU -1.5			BU lost by 14 · not covered	128.5			24 met · LAF 6 · BU 18
Final	Army	59	@ Colgate	71	COLG Solid 69% ✓	COLG -5.5			COLG won by 12 · covered	144.5			48 met · COLG 33 · ARMY 15
Final	21Memphis	90	@ FAU	62	MEM Solid 62% ✓	MEM -3.5			MEM won by 28 · covered	164.5			3 met · FAU 2 · MEM 1
Final	Radford	58	@ High Point	76	HPU Solid 78% ✓	HPU -8.5			HPU won by 18 · covered	144.5			46 met · HPU 24 · RAD 22
Final	Omaha	95	@ North Dakota	85	UND Solid 66% ✗	UND -4.5			UND lost by 10 · not covered	150.5			17 met · UND 4 · OMA 13
Final	South Dakota	54	@ Kansas City	68	KC Solid 66% ✓	KC -4.5			KC won by 14 · covered	154.5			18 met · KC 10 · SDAK 8
Final	St Thomas	89	@ N Dakota St	85		NDSU -2.5			NDSU lost by 4 · not covered	151.5			7 met · NDSU 4 · STMN 3
Final	UC Irvine	98	@ Cal Poly	89	UCI Solid 75% ✓	UCI -7.5			UCI won by 9 · covered	159.5			47 met · CP 13 · UCI 34
Final	Weber St	72	@ N Colorado	89	UNCO Solid 72% ✓	UNCO -6.5			UNCO won by 17 · covered	150.5			36 met · UNCO 11 · WEB 25
Final	Idaho St	72	@ N Arizona	67	NAU Solid 62% ✗	NAU -3.5			NAU lost by 5 · not covered	143.5			47 met · NAU 22 · IDST 25
Final	20Purdue	81	@ Minnesota	61	PUR Solid 69% ✓	PUR -5.5			PUR won by 20 · covered	134.5			37 met · MINN 14 · PUR 23
Final	Illinois St	74	@ Murray St	68	MUR Solid 75% ✗	MUR -7.5			MUR lost by 6 · not covered	135.5			10 met · MUR 7 · ILST 3
Final	Lindenwood	74	@ E Illinois	78		EIU -2.5			EIU won by 4 · covered	137.5			4 met · EIU 3 · LIN 1
Final	Little Rock	57	@ UT Martin	56		UTM -1.5			UTM lost by 1 · not covered	136.5			6 met · UTM 2 · LR 4
Final	SE Missouri	67	@ Tennessee St	65		TNST -2.5			TNST lost by 2 · not covered	152.5			38 met · TNST 19 · SEMO 19
Final	S Indiana	64	@ Tennessee Tech	68	TNTC Solid 62% ✓	TNTC -3.5			TNTC won by 4 · covered	146.5			4 met · TNTC 3 · USI 1
Final	E Kentucky	89	@ C Arkansas	83	EKU Solid 72% ✓	EKU -6.5			EKU won by 6 · not covered	152.5			6 met · CARK 2 · EKU 4
Final	Rutgers	74	@ Indiana	84	IU Solid 75% ✓	IU -7.5			IU won by 10 · covered	153.5			16 met · IU 7 · RUTG 9
Final	Sam Houston	71	@ New Mexico St	75		NMSU -0.5			NMSU won by 4 · covered	149.5			5 met · NMSU 0 · SHSU 5
Final	Louisiana Tech	60	@ UTEP	70		UTEP -2.5			UTEP won by 10 · covered	137.5			26 met · UTEP 11 · LT 15
Final	W Illinois	66	@ SIUE	77	SIUE Solid 75% ✓	SIUE -7.5			SIUE won by 11 · covered	134.5			6 met · SIUE 1 · WIU 5
Final	Denver	70	@ S Dakota St	91	SDST Banker 92% ✓	SDST -15.5		DEN +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	SDST won by 21 · covered	150.5			29 met · SDST 23 · DEN 6
Final	Portland	50	@ 19Gonzaga	81	GONZ Banker 98% ✓	GONZ -33.5			GONZ won by 31 · not covered	159.5	OVER 159.5 · 52.3% (131) ✗		41 met · GONZ 39 · PORT 2
Final	Montana	92	@ E Washington	81		MONT -1.5			MONT won by 11 · covered	153.5			49 met · EWU 19 · MONT 30
Final	Montana St	64	@ Idaho	69		MTST -1.5			MTST lost by 5 · not covered	145.5			25 met · IDHO 9 · MTST 16
Final	UC Davis	64	@ Bakersfield	75		CSUB -1.5			CSUB won by 11 · covered	135.5			8 met · CSUB 1 · UCD 7
Final	Maryland	69	@ Washington	75	MD Solid 69% ✗	MD -5.5			MD lost by 6 · not covered	147.5			Never met
Final	Oregon St	61	@ LMU	82		ORST -2.5			ORST lost by 21 · not covered	136.5			2 met · LMU 0 · ORST 2
Final	San Francisco	89	@ Pacific	81	SF Banker 87% ✓	SF -12.5		PAC +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	SF won by 8 · not covered	140.5			32 met · PAC 9 · SF 23
Final	Santa Clara	81	@ San Diego	80	SCU Banker 89% ✓	SCU -13.5		USD +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	SCU won by 1 · not covered	152.5			48 met · USD 19 · SCU 29
Final	Pepperdine	41	@ Saint Mary's	71	SMC Banker 94% ✓	SMC -17.5		PEPP +17.5 · covers 53% ✗	SMC won by 30 · covered	141.5			48 met · SMC 40 · PEPP 8
Final	UC Riverside	76	@ Long Beach St	60	UCR Solid 62% ✓	UCR -3.5			UCR won by 16 · covered	137.5			45 met · LBSU 32 · UCR 13
Final	CSU Northridge	95	@ Fullerton	65	CSUN Solid 66% ✓	CSUN -4.5			CSUN won by 30 · covered	142.5			50 met · CSUF 30 · CSUN 20
Final	22Illinois	109	@ 9Oregon	77	ORE Solid 66% ✗	ORE -4.5			ORE lost by 32 · not covered	155.5			4 met · ORE 2 · ILL 2
Final	Santa Barbara	64	@ Hawai'i	61		HAW -2.5			HAW lost by 3 · not covered	133.5			26 met · HAW 9 · UCSB 17