Wednesday, January 1, 2025 21 games
Today: winner picks 10 of 13 right · line picks 2 of 4 right · total picks 0 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  VMI
|
69 | @  ETSU
|
84 | ETSU Banker 92% ✓ | ETSU -15.5 | VMI +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ | ETSU won by 15 · not covered | 146.5 | 23 met · ETSU 21 · VMI 2 | |||
| Final |  UNC Greensboro
|
68 | @  Wofford
|
66 | WOF -2.5 | WOF lost by 2 · not covered | 137.5 | 44 met · WOF 25 · UNCG 19 | |||||
| Final |  Purdue FW
|
68 | @  N Kentucky
|
69 | NKU -2.5 | NKU won by 1 · not covered | 143.5 | 9 met · NKU 6 · PFW 3 | |||||
| Final |  Youngstown St
|
77 | @  IU Indy
|
61 | YSU Solid 72% ✓ | YSU -6.5 | YSU won by 16 · covered | 140.5 | 14 met · IUIN 1 · YSU 13 | ||||
| Final |  Miami
|
68 | @  Boston College
|
78 | MIA -1.5 | MIA lost by 10 · not covered | 142.5 | 38 met · BC 17 · MIA 21 | |||||
| Final |  Furman
|
90 | @  W Carolina
|
61 | FUR Solid 81% ✓ | FUR -9.5 | FUR won by 29 · covered | 144.5 | 39 met · WCU 12 · FUR 27 | ||||
| Final |  Howard
|
65 | @  Yale
|
93 | YALE Banker 91% ✓ | YALE -14.5 | HOW +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ | YALE won by 28 · covered | 148.5 | 3 met · YALE 3 · HOW 0 | |||
| Final |  11UConn
|
81 | @  DePaul
|
68 | CONN Banker 87% ✓ | CONN -12.5 | DEP +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ | CONN won by 13 · covered | 145.5 | 20 met · DEP 1 · CONN 19 | |||
| Final |  Evansville
|
68 | @  S Illinois
|
53 | SIU Solid 75% ✗ | SIU -7.5 | SIU lost by 15 · not covered | 138.5 | 45 met · SIU 31 · EVAN 14 | ||||
| Final |  California
|
74 | @  Pitt
|
86 | PITT Banker 89% ✓ | PITT -13.5 | CAL +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ | PITT won by 12 · not covered | 153.5 | Never met | |||
| Final |  Chattanooga
|
94 | @  Mercer
|
99 | UTC -1.5 | UTC lost by 5 · not covered | 154.5 | 22 met · MER 9 · UTC 13 | |||||
| Final |  Drake
|
70 | @  UIC
|
74 | DRKE Solid 72% ✗ | DRKE -6.5 | DRKE lost by 4 · not covered | 130.5 | 5 met · UIC 0 · DRKE 5 | ||||
| Final |  Rice
|
70 | @  Tulsa
|
64 | TLSA -2.5 | TLSA lost by 6 · not covered | 142.5 | 23 met · TLSA 20 · RICE 3 | |||||
| Final |  Stanford
|
71 | @  Clemson
|
85 | CLEM Solid 83% ✓ | CLEM -10.5 | CLEM won by 14 · covered | 143.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final | Colby Sawyer | 55 | @  Dartmouth
|
108 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final |  North Carolina
|
70 | @  Louisville
|
83 | LOU -0.5 | LOU won by 13 · covered | 164.5 | 17 met · LOU 4 · UNC 13 | |||||
| Final |  Villanova
|
73 | @  Butler
|
65 | BTLR -1.5 | BTLR lost by 8 · not covered | 144.5 | 23 met · BTLR 7 · VILL 16 | |||||
| Final |  Bradley
|
90 | @  Indiana St
|
89 | BRAD Solid 62% ✓ | BRAD -3.5 | BRAD won by 1 · not covered | 156.5 | 45 met · INST 24 · BRAD 21 | ||||
| Final |  The Citadel
|
56 | @  Samford
|
86 | SAM Banker 97% ✓ | SAM -20.5 | SAM won by 30 · covered | 154.5 | OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (142) ✗ | 29 met · SAM 17 · CIT 12 | |||
| Final |  Valparaiso
|
73 | @  Missouri St
|
72 | MOST Solid 66% ✗ | MOST -4.5 | MOST lost by 1 · not covered | 139.5 | 21 met · MOST 14 · VAL 7 | ||||
| Final |  Belmont
|
70 | @  Northern Iowa
|
76 | UNI Solid 69% ✓ | UNI -5.5 | UNI won by 6 · covered | 154.5 | 5 met · UNI 2 · BEL 3 |