Friday, January 3, 2025 16 games

Today: winner picks 7 of 10 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Fairfield	54	@ Merrimack	67	MRMK Solid 75% ✓	MRMK -7.5			MRMK won by 13 · covered	139.5			Never met
Final	Akron	71	@ Bowling Green	68	AKR Solid 69% ✓	AKR -5.5			AKR won by 3 · not covered	157.5			42 met · BGSU 7 · AKR 35
Final	Quinnipiac	59	@ Saint Peter's	46	SPU Solid 62% ✗	SPU -3.5			SPU lost by 13 · not covered	139.5			24 met · SPU 15 · QUIN 9
Final	Manhattan	95	@ Siena	103	SIE Solid 62% ✓	SIE -3.5			SIE won by 8 · covered	138.5			51 met · SIE 29 · MAN 22
Final	Marist	70	@ Iona	65	IONA Solid 62% ✗	IONA -3.5			IONA lost by 5 · not covered	132.5			45 met · IONA 32 · MRST 13
Final	C Connecticut	74	@ Saint Francis	59	CCSU Solid 69% ✓	CCSU -5.5			CCSU won by 15 · covered	136.5			42 met · SFPA 22 · CCSU 20
Final	Chicago St	64	@ Wagner	52	WAG Solid 81% ✗	WAG -9.5			WAG lost by 12 · not covered	126.5			2 met · WAG 1 · CHST 1
Final	Le Moyne	62	@ Long Island	78		LIU -2.5			LIU won by 16 · covered	146.5			2 met · LIU 1 · LEM 1
Final	Stonehill	69	@ Mercyhurst	76		STO -1.5			STO lost by 7 · not covered	133.5			Never met
Final	Iowa	85	@ Wisconsin	116	WIS Solid 72% ✓	WIS -6.5			WIS won by 31 · covered	163.5			37 met · WIS 25 · IOWA 12
Final	Wichita St	85	@ Temple	91		TEM -1.5			TEM won by 6 · covered	154.5			12 met · TEM 6 · WICH 6
Final	Xavier	63	@ Georgetown	69		GTWN -1.5			GTWN won by 6 · covered	146.5			21 met · GTWN 4 · XAV 17
Final	18Michigan St	69	@ Ohio State	62		OSU -2.5			OSU lost by 7 · not covered	149.5			44 met · OSU 18 · MSU 26
Final	Creighton	71	@ 8Marquette	79	MARQ Solid 83% ✓	MARQ -10.5			MARQ won by 8 · not covered	147.5			23 met · MARQ 11 · CREI 12
Final	Saint Joseph's	57	@ Saint Louis	73		SLU -2.5			SLU won by 16 · covered	151.5			22 met · SLU 17 · JOES 5
Final	Nevada	81	@ New Mexico	82	UNM Solid 69% ✓	UNM -5.5			UNM won by 1 · not covered	151.5			23 met · UNM 9 · NEV 14