Tuesday, December 31, 2024 33 games

Today: winner picks 18 of 22 right · line picks 4 of 4 right · total picks 1 of 3 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	NC State	67	@ Virginia	70		UVA -0.5			UVA won by 3 · covered	122.5			35 met · UVA 21 · NCSU 14
Final	Brown	54	@ 10Kentucky	88	UK Banker 98% ✓	UK -25.5			UK won by 34 · covered	154.5	OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (142) ✗		Never met
Final	Seton Hall	72	@ Xavier	94	XAV Solid 81% ✓	XAV -9.5			XAV won by 22 · covered	134.5			23 met · XAV 11 · HALL 12
Final	Anderson (IN)	76	@ Ball State	89	BALL Banker 95% ✓								3 met · BALL 3 · ANIN 0
Final	Davidson	57	@ George Mason	69	GMU Solid 72% ✓	GMU -6.5			GMU won by 12 · covered	138.5			12 met · GMU 4 · DAV 8
Final	La Salle	70	@ Dayton	84	DAY Banker 93% ✓	DAY -16.5		LAS +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	DAY won by 14 · not covered	146.5			27 met · DAY 19 · LAS 8
Final	Rhode Island	55	@ Duquesne	67		URI -1.5			URI lost by 12 · not covered	143.5			26 met · DUQ 9 · URI 17
Final	Saint Louis	88	@ Fordham	63		SLU -1.5			SLU won by 25 · covered	154.5			19 met · FOR 5 · SLU 14
Final	UMass	72	@ Saint Joseph's	81	JOES Solid 83% ✓	JOES -10.5			JOES won by 9 · not covered	151.5			37 met · JOES 20 · MASS 17
Final	VCU	75	@ St Bonaventure	77		VCU -1.5			VCU lost by 2 · not covered	134.5			16 met · SBU 8 · VCU 8
Final	Wake Forest	81	@ Syracuse	71		WAKE -2.5			WAKE won by 10 · covered	144.5			14 met · SYR 10 · WAKE 4
Final	Tulane	83	@ Charlotte	68		CLT -2.5			CLT lost by 15 · not covered	145.5			5 met · CLT 4 · TULN 1
Final	Utah	56	@ 25Baylor	81	BAY Solid 83% ✓	BAY -10.5			BAY won by 25 · covered	153.5			Never met
Final	UCF	87	@ Texas Tech	83	TTU Banker 89% ✗	TTU -13.5		UCF +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	TTU lost by 4 · not covered	147.5			2 met · TTU 1 · UCF 1
Final	West Virginia	62	@ 7Kansas	61	KU Banker 89% ✗	KU -13.5		WVU +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	KU lost by 1 · not covered	141.5			28 met · KU 21 · WVU 7
Final	Notre Dame	75	@ Georgia Tech	86		GT -1.5			GT won by 11 · covered	142.5			24 met · GT 8 · ND 16
Final	Norfolk St	52	@ 1Tennessee	67	TENN Banker 98% ✓	TENN -29.5			TENN won by 15 · not covered	140.5	OVER 140.5 · 52.3% (119) ✗		1 met · TENN 1 · NORF 0
Final	East Carolina	69	@ South Florida	75		USF -1.5			USF won by 6 · covered	143.5			28 met · USF 16 · ECU 12
Final	St Andrews	61	@ NC Central	121	NCCU Banker 95% ✓								3 met · NCCU 3 · STAU 0
Final	St John's	56	@ Creighton	57		CREI -0.5			CREI won by 1 · covered	151.5			22 met · CREI 16 · SJU 6
Final	UNLV	77	@ Air Force	58	UNLV Solid 75% ✓	UNLV -7.5			UNLV won by 19 · covered	133.5			48 met · AF 15 · UNLV 33
Final	G Washington	61	@ Richmond	66		GW -2.5			GW lost by 5 · not covered	146.5			39 met · RICH 24 · GW 15
Final	SF Austin	62	@ Abilene Chrstn	57	ACU Solid 66% ✗	ACU -4.5			ACU lost by 5 · not covered	134.5			20 met · ACU 6 · SFA 14
Final	UAB	75	@ North Texas	78	UNT Solid 69% ✓	UNT -5.5			UNT won by 3 · not covered	138.5			17 met · UNT 8 · UAB 9
Final	Arizona St	56	@ BYU	76	BYU Solid 81% ✓	BYU -9.5			BYU won by 20 · covered	148.5			4 met · BYU 3 · ASU 1
Final	Virginia Tech	65	@ 4Duke	88	DUKE Banker 98% ✓	DUKE -24.5			DUKE won by 23 · not covered	136.5	OVER 136.5 · 52.3% (153) ✓		32 met · DUKE 23 · VT 9
Final	Walla Walla	39	@ Portland St	96	PRST Banker 95% ✓								3 met · PRST 3 · WLWL 0
Final	Colorado St	72	@ San José St	50	CSU Solid 62% ✓	CSU -3.5			CSU won by 22 · covered	140.5			21 met · SJSU 2 · CSU 19
Final	8Marquette	78	@ Providence	50	MARQ Solid 75% ✓	MARQ -7.5			MARQ won by 28 · covered	142.5			34 met · PROV 12 · MARQ 22
Final	New Mexico	103	@ Fresno St	89	UNM Banker 92% ✓	UNM -15.5		FRES +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	UNM won by 14 · not covered	160.5			25 met · FRES 14 · UNM 11
Final	Morehead St	70	@ S Indiana	68		USI -0.5			USI lost by 2 · not covered	139.5			4 met · USI 1 · MORE 3
Final	Boise St	67	@ Wyoming	58	BOIS Solid 75% ✓	BOIS -7.5			BOIS won by 9 · covered	136.5			30 met · WYO 10 · BOIS 20
Final	Utah State	69	@ Nevada	64	NEV Solid 62% ✗	NEV -3.5			NEV lost by 5 · not covered	143.5			38 met · NEV 18 · USU 20