Monday, December 30, 2024 43 games

Today: winner picks 35 of 38 right · line picks 3 of 6 right · total picks 3 of 8 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Utah Tech	66	@ FIU	80	FIU Solid 69% ✓	FIU -5.5			FIU won by 14 · covered	147.5			1 met · FIU 0 · UTU 1
Final	Akron	75	@ Princeton	76	PRIN Solid 69% ✓	PRIN -5.5			PRIN won by 1 · not covered	154.5			2 met · PRIN 1 · AKR 1
Final	Biblical Stud	55	@ Grambling	100	GRAM Banker 95% ✓								1 met · GRAM 1 · CBS 0
Final	Emerson	39	@ UMass Lowell	101	UML Banker 95% ✓								2 met · UML 2 · EMRS 0
Final	Cleary	39	@ C Michigan	85	CMU Banker 95% ✓								Never met
Final	W Michigan	62	@ 18Michigan St	80	MSU Banker 98% ✓	MSU -27.5			MSU won by 18 · not covered	147.5	OVER 147.5 · 52.3% (142) ✗		3 met · MSU 3 · WMU 0
Final	Siena	83	@ Cornell	77	COR Banker 87% ✗	COR -12.5		SIE +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	COR lost by 6 · not covered	148.5			7 met · COR 4 · SIE 3
Final	Bethesda	38	@ Sacramento St	78	SAC Banker 95% ✓								2 met · SAC 2 · BTHS 0
Final	Columbia	64	@ Rutgers	91	RUTG Solid 85% ✓	RUTG -11.5			RUTG won by 27 · covered	155.5			3 met · RUTG 3 · COLU 0
Final	Monmouth	58	@ 2Auburn	87	AUB Banker 98% ✓	AUB -37.5			AUB won by 29 · not covered	152.5	OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (145) ✗		Never met
Final	Columbia Int'l	53	@ UNC Asheville	95	UNCA Banker 95% ✓								Never met
Final	Presbyterian	59	@ South Carolina	69	SC Banker 95% ✓	SC -18.5			SC won by 10 · not covered	138.5			4 met · SC 4 · PRES 0
Final	New Hampshire	70	@ Iowa	112	IOWA Banker 98% ✓	IOWA -32.5			IOWA won by 42 · covered	159.5	OVER 159.5 · 52.3% (182) ✓		Never met
Final	SE Louisiana	51	@ McNeese	79	MCN Banker 91% ✓	MCN -14.5		SELA +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	MCN won by 28 · covered	134.5			46 met · MCN 17 · SELA 29
Final	Defiance	58	@ Miami OH	141	M-OH Banker 95% ✓								1 met · M-OH 1 · DFC 0
Final	East West	50	@ N Illinois	117	NIU Banker 95% ✓								Never met
Final	Muskingum	52	@ Ohio	103									Never met
Final	Elms	37	@ Vermont	121									Never met
Final	16Cincinnati	67	@ Kansas St	70	CIN Solid 62% ✗	CIN -3.5			CIN lost by 3 · not covered	139.5			2 met · KSU 0 · CIN 2
Final	Texas A&M-SA	65	@ Lamar	82									Never met
Final	Alabama St	65	@ Missouri	82	MIZ Banker 98% ✓	MIZ -24.5			MIZ won by 17 · not covered	155.5	OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (147) ✗		Never met
Final	Dallas Chrstn	44	@ UT Rio Grande	88	RGV Banker 95% ✓								1 met · RGV 1 · DCC 0
Final	LSU N Orleans	56	@ Vanderbilt	100	VAN Banker 98% ✓	VAN -32.5			VAN won by 44 · covered	159.5	OVER 159.5 · 52.3% (156) ✗		1 met · VAN 1 · NOLA 0
Final	B'tine Mesa	74	@ N Arizona	110	NAU Banker 95% ✓								4 met · NAU 4 · BENU 0
Final	Bryant	66	@ Grand Canyon	112	GCU Banker 89% ✓	GCU -13.5		BRY +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	GCU won by 46 · covered	160.5			Never met
Final	TCU	81	@ Arizona	90	ARIZ Banker 91% ✓	ARIZ -14.5		TCU +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	ARIZ won by 9 · not covered	146.5			1 met · ARIZ 1 · TCU 0
Final	14Houston	60	@ Oklahoma St	47	HOU Solid 85% ✓	HOU -11.5			HOU won by 13 · covered	137.5			4 met · OKST 1 · HOU 3
Final	Fort Valley St	70	@ Jax State	111	JXST Banker 95% ✓								5 met · JXST 5 · FVSU 0
Final	Mobile	41	@ South Alabama	106	USA Banker 95% ✓								10 met · USA 9 · MOBL 1
Final	William Carey	70	@ Southern Miss	80	USM Banker 95% ✓								17 met · USM 15 · WILC 2
Final	TAMU-Texarkana	54	@ Oral Roberts	92									Never met
Final	Oakland	62	@ 23Arkansas	92	ARK Banker 93% ✓	ARK -16.5		OAK +16.5 · covers 53% ✗	ARK won by 30 · covered	138.5			2 met · ARK 2 · OAK 0
Final	Southern	43	@ Nebraska	77	NEB Banker 97% ✓	NEB -21.5			NEB won by 34 · covered	141.5	OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (120) ✗		4 met · NEB 4 · SOU 0
Final	Eastern Oregon	63	@ E Washington	89	EWU Banker 95% ✓								2 met · EWU 2 · EOU 0
Final	Bethune	73	@ 17Mississippi St	87	MSST Banker 98% ✓	MSST -27.5			MSST won by 14 · not covered	146.5	OVER 146.5 · 52.3% (160) ✓		2 met · MSST 2 · BCU 0
Final	3Iowa State	79	@ Colorado	69	ISU Solid 81% ✓	ISU -9.5			ISU won by 10 · covered	146.5			21 met · COLO 10 · ISU 11
Final	Portland	79	@ Oregon St	89	ORST Banker 94% ✓	ORST -17.5		PORT +17.5 · covers 53% ✓	ORST won by 10 · not covered	140.5			10 met · ORST 6 · PORT 4
Final	LMU	59	@ Washington St	73	WSU Solid 81% ✓	WSU -9.5			WSU won by 14 · covered	148.5			Never met
Final	19Gonzaga	89	@ Pepperdine	82	GONZ Banker 97% ✓	GONZ -20.5			GONZ won by 7 · not covered	160.5	OVER 160.5 · 52.3% (171) ✓		45 met · PEPP 0 · GONZ 45
Final	Pacific	65	@ San Diego	75		USD -1.5			USD won by 10 · covered	143.5			23 met · USD 9 · PAC 14
Final	Santa Clara	94	@ San Francisco	97	SF Solid 66% ✓	SF -4.5			SF won by 3 · not covered	145.5			49 met · SF 27 · SCU 22
Final	UC Irvine	71	@ CA Baptist	63	UCI Solid 62% ✓	UCI -3.5			UCI won by 8 · covered	142.5			2 met · CBU 1 · UCI 1
Final	Nicholls	71	@ Seattle U	69	SEA Solid 83% ✗	SEA -10.5			SEA lost by 2 · not covered	145.5			1 met · SEA 1 · NICH 0