NCAA Predictor
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Sunday, December 29, 2024 60 games

Today: winner picks 40 of 48 right · line picks 4 of 7 right · total picks 9 of 14 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final N'Western St 53 @ Texas 77 TEX Banker 98% ✓ TEX -27.5 TEX won by 24 · not covered 140.5 OVER 140.5 · 52.3% (130) ✗ 1 met · TEX 1 · NWST 0
Final Indiana St 83 @ Ohio State 103 OSU Banker 94% ✓ OSU -17.5 INST +17.5 · covers 53% ✗ OSU won by 20 · covered 158.5 Never met
Final Harvard 67 @ Iona 61 IONA Solid 66% ✗ IONA -4.5 IONA lost by 6 · not covered 140.5 2 met · IONA 2 · HARV 0
Final Stetson 45 @ 6Florida 85 FLA Banker 98% ✓ FLA -38.5 FLA won by 40 · covered 160.5 OVER 160.5 · 52.3% (130) ✗ 9 met · FLA 9 · STET 0
Final Penn 66 @ Penn State 86 PSU Banker 98% ✓ PSU -25.5 PSU won by 20 · not covered 151.5 OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (152) ✓ 5 met · PSU 4 · PENN 1
Final J&W 51 @ C Connecticut 100 Never met
Final Navy 76 @ William & Mary 82 W&M Solid 75% ✓ W&M -7.5 W&M won by 6 · not covered 159.5 5 met · W&M 0 · NAVY 5
Final Stonehill 70 @ Lafayette 65 LAF Solid 66% ✗ LAF -4.5 LAF lost by 5 · not covered 134.5 Never met
Final Hofstra 69 @ Quinnipiac 75 HOF -1.5 HOF lost by 6 · not covered 139.5 2 met · QUIN 1 · HOF 1
Final Northeastern 60 @ Northwestern 85 NU Banker 91% ✓ NU -14.5 NE +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ NU won by 25 · covered 136.5 Never met
Final Brewton Parker 77 @ Kennesaw St 112 KENN Banker 95% ✓ 2 met · KENN 2 · BREW 0
Final Longwood 82 @ SMU 98 SMU Banker 95% ✓ SMU -18.5 SMU won by 16 · not covered 153.5 Never met
Final Chicago St 64 @ 24Illinois 117 ILL Banker 98% ✓ ILL -39.5 ILL won by 53 · covered 150.5 OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (181) ✓ 6 met · ILL 6 · CHST 0
Final N Kentucky 93 @ Robert Morris 97 NKU -1.5 NKU lost by 4 · not covered 134.5 8 met · RMU 1 · NKU 7
Final IU Indy 81 @ Milwaukee 88 MILW Banker 93% ✓ MILW -16.5 IUIN +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ MILW won by 7 · not covered 148.5 20 met · MILW 15 · IUIN 5
Final Detroit Mercy 64 @ Youngstown St 73 YSU Banker 91% ✓ YSU -14.5 DETM +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ YSU won by 9 · not covered 137.5 48 met · YSU 17 · DETM 31
Final SC State 72 @ Georgia 79 UGA Banker 98% ✓ UGA -24.5 UGA won by 7 · not covered 142.5 OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (151) ✓ 2 met · UGA 2 · SCST 0
Final Morgan St 68 @ Minnesota 90 MINN Banker 98% ✓ MINN -22.5 MINN won by 22 · not covered 144.5 OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (158) ✓ 1 met · MINN 1 · MORG 0
Final Norfolk St 77 @ High Point 74 HPU Solid 78% ✗ HPU -8.5 HPU lost by 3 · not covered 145.5 Never met
Final Le Moyne 69 @ Niagara 88 NIA Solid 66% ✓ NIA -4.5 NIA won by 19 · covered 142.5 Never met
Final Regis College 46 @ Holy Cross 82 HC Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · HC 1 · RGIS 0
Final Boston U 59 @ Maine 56 ME Solid 62% ✗ ME -3.5 ME lost by 3 · not covered 131.5 26 met · ME 6 · BU 20
Final Binghamton 51 @ Marist 69 MRST Solid 72% ✓ MRST -6.5 MRST won by 18 · covered 131.5 7 met · MRST 3 · BING 4
Final Stony Brook 70 @ UAlbany 77 UALB Solid 78% ✓ UALB -8.5 UALB won by 7 · not covered 148.5 49 met · UALB 20 · STBK 29
Final Prairie View 67 @ 12Oklahoma 89 OU Banker 98% ✓ OU -29.5 OU won by 22 · not covered 161.5 OVER 161.5 · 52.3% (156) ✗ 2 met · OU 2 · PV 0
Final S Illinois 67 @ Northern Iowa 78 UNI Solid 83% ✓ UNI -10.5 UNI won by 11 · covered 146.5 49 met · UNI 29 · SIU 20
Final Mahattanville 60 @ Sacred Heart 100 Never met
Final Milligan 75 @ Tennessee Tech 95 TNTC Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · TNTC 1 · MILG 0
Final Wright St 64 @ Cleveland St 78 CLE -1.5 CLE won by 14 · covered 144.5 48 met · CLE 20 · WRST 28
Final NJIT 53 @ Washington 90 WASH Banker 98% ✓ WASH -25.5 WASH won by 37 · covered 138.5 OVER 138.5 · 52.3% (143) ✓ 1 met · WASH 1 · NJIT 0
Final UTSA 75 @ Army 78 UTSA -2.5 UTSA lost by 3 · not covered 156.5 1 met · ARMY 1 · UTSA 0
Final Buffalo 71 @ Temple 91 TEM Banker 91% ✓ TEM -14.5 BUF +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ TEM won by 20 · covered 151.5 4 met · TEM 2 · BUF 2
Final Belmont 46 @ Drake 65 DRKE Solid 78% ✓ DRKE -8.5 DRKE won by 19 · covered 140.5 5 met · DRKE 3 · BEL 2
Final S Dakota St 82 @ 5Alabama 105 ALA Banker 98% ✓ ALA -22.5 ALA won by 23 · covered 166.5 OVER 166.5 · 52.3% (187) ✓ 3 met · ALA 3 · SDST 0
Final Waldorf 57 @ North Dakota 97 UND Banker 95% ✓ 5 met · UND 5 · WLDF 0
Final Westminster MO 39 @ SE Missouri 88 Never met
Final Heidelberg 80 @ Kent State 84 Never met
Final Neumann 67 @ Lehigh 87 Never met
Final Warner 53 @ Coastal 75 Never met
Final Purdue FW 83 @ Green Bay 67 PFW Solid 78% ✓ PFW -8.5 PFW won by 16 · covered 158.5 9 met · GB 2 · PFW 7
Final Winthrop 68 @ Indiana 77 IU Banker 93% ✓ IU -16.5 WIN +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ IU won by 9 · not covered 163.5 Never met
Final UMBC 96 @ American 93 AMER Solid 69% ✗ AMER -5.5 AMER lost by 3 · not covered 148.5 11 met · AMER 8 · UMBC 3
Final Valparaiso 75 @ Bradley 81 BRAD Banker 91% ✓ BRAD -14.5 VAL +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ BRAD won by 6 · not covered 149.5 14 met · BRAD 10 · VAL 4
Final Missouri St 40 @ Evansville 57 MOST Solid 66% ✗ MOST -4.5 MOST lost by 17 · not covered 133.5 49 met · EVAN 18 · MOST 31
Final Schreiner 44 @ Texas A&M-CC 103 AMCC Banker 95% ✓ 3 met · AMCC 3 · SCHR 0
Final Asbury 54 @ Lipscomb 112 LIP Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · LIP 1 · ASB 0
Final Weber St 49 @ 9Oregon 89 ORE Banker 97% ✓ ORE -20.5 ORE won by 40 · covered 143.5 OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (138) ✗ 1 met · ORE 1 · WEB 0
Final Brescia 46 @ Austin Peay 93 APSU Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · APSU 1 · BRES 0
Final SW Christian U 69 @ C Arkansas 87 Never met
Final Florida A&M 60 @ Tarleton St 70 TAR Solid 81% ✓ TAR -9.5 TAR won by 10 · covered 134.5 Never met
Final UIC 73 @ Illinois St 67 ILST Solid 66% ✗ ILST -4.5 ILST lost by 6 · not covered 142.5 16 met · ILST 10 · UIC 6
Final UT Arlington 80 @ Texas St 72 TXST Solid 69% ✗ TXST -5.5 TXST lost by 8 · not covered 147.5 44 met · TXST 18 · UTA 26
Final Midway 64 @ James Madison 96 JMU Banker 95% ✓ Never met
Final St Thomas 79 @ UC Riverside 81 UCR -1.5 UCR won by 2 · covered 148.5 Never met
Final Toledo 64 @ 21Purdue 83 PUR Banker 97% ✓ PUR -21.5 PUR won by 19 · not covered 155.5 OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (147) ✗ Never met
Final Texas Lutheran 48 @ Incarnate Word 99 UIW Banker 95% ✓ 6 met · UIW 6 · TXLU 0
Final Friends 72 @ Wichita St 87 WICH Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · WICH 1 · FRU 0
Final Miss Valley St 45 @ LSU 110 LSU Banker 98% ✓ LSU -40.5 LSU won by 65 · covered 142.5 OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (155) ✓ 3 met · LSU 3 · MVSU 0
Final Campbell 81 @ North Carolina 97 UNC Banker 98% ✓ UNC -28.5 UNC won by 16 · not covered 155.5 OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (178) ✓ Never met
Final Western KY 64 @ Michigan 112 MICH Banker 97% ✓ MICH -21.5 MICH won by 48 · covered 159.5 OVER 159.5 · 52.3% (176) ✓ 1 met · MICH 0 · WKU 1