Saturday, December 28, 2024 53 games
Today: winner picks 40 of 43 right · line picks 7 of 9 right · total picks 5 of 10 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | 76 | @ |
78 | LOU Banker 97% ✓ | LOU -21.5 | LOU won by 2 · not covered | 156.5 | OVER 156.5 · 52.3% (154) ✗ | 4 met · LOU 4 · EKU 0 | ||||
| Final | 66 | @ |
81 | MD Banker 98% ✓ | MD -43.5 | MD won by 15 · not covered | 151.5 | OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (147) ✗ | 4 met · MD 4 · UMES 0 | ||||
| Final | 53 | @ |
83 | GTWN Banker 98% ✓ | GTWN -28.5 | GTWN won by 30 · covered | 138.5 | OVER 138.5 · 52.3% (136) ✗ | 5 met · GTWN 5 · COPP 0 | ||||
| Final | Alice Lloyd | 63 | @ |
94 | MORE Banker 95% ✓ | 7 met · MORE 7 · AL 0 | |||||||
| Final | 58 | @ |
76 | JOES Banker 95% ✓ | JOES -18.5 | JOES won by 18 · not covered | 148.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | Columbia Int'l | 89 | @ |
95 | CHSO Banker 95% ✓ | 7 met · CHSO 7 · CIU 0 | |||||||
| Final | 63 | @ |
75 | SYR Banker 87% ✓ | SYR -12.5 | BUCK +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ | SYR won by 12 · not covered | 147.5 | 3 met · SYR 2 · BUCK 1 | ||||
| Final | 70 | @ |
87 | MEM -1.5 | MEM won by 17 · covered | 151.5 | 12 met · MEM 6 · MISS 6 | ||||||
| Final | 65 | @ |
84 | DEP Banker 95% ✓ | DEP -18.5 | DEP won by 19 · covered | 144.5 | 1 met · DEP 1 · L-MD 0 | |||||
| Final | 49 | @ |
92 | GT Banker 97% ✓ | GT -21.5 | GT won by 43 · covered | 152.5 | OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (141) ✗ | 4 met · GT 4 · AAMU 0 | ||||
| Final | 56 | @ |
64 | GMU Banker 93% ✓ | GMU -16.5 | MSM +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ | GMU won by 8 · not covered | 139.5 | 2 met · GMU 1 · MSM 1 | ||||
| Final | 71 | @ |
68 | GAST -0.5 | GAST lost by 3 · not covered | 157.5 | 13 met · GAST 7 · MER 6 | ||||||
| Final | SMC | 47 | @ |
99 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
85 | NCCU -1.5 | NCCU lost by 13 · not covered | 156.5 | 26 met · NCAT 11 · NCCU 15 | ||||||
| Final | KCU | 55 | @ |
100 | WOF Banker 95% ✓ | 3 met · WOF 3 · KCU 0 | |||||||
| Final | 64 | @ |
86 | DAV Banker 91% ✓ | DAV -14.5 | EMU +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ | DAV won by 22 · covered | 143.5 | 1 met · DAV 1 · EMU 0 | ||||
| Final | Webber Int'l | 49 | @ |
106 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | Blackburn | 55 | @ |
99 | EIU Banker 95% ✓ | 2 met · EIU 2 · BCKB 0 | |||||||
| Final | 76 | @ |
68 | CSU -1.5 | CSU lost by 8 · not covered | 152.5 | 43 met · CSU 15 · UNM 28 | ||||||
| Final | Dallas | 65 | @ |
111 | SHSU Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · SHSU 1 · DALL 0 | |||||||
| Final | 70 | @ |
78 | BC Banker 91% ✓ | BC -14.5 | FDU +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ | BC won by 8 · not covered | 148.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final | 62 | vs |
65 | GONZ Solid 66% ✗ | GONZ -4.5 | GONZ lost by 3 · not covered | 149.5 | UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓ | 8 met · UCLA 2 · GONZ 6 | ||||
| Final | 54 | @ |
92 | TA&M Banker 97% ✓ | TA&M -20.5 | TA&M won by 38 · covered | 137.5 | OVER 137.5 · 52.3% (146) ✓ | 2 met · TA&M 2 · ACU 0 | ||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
85 | COLU Solid 81% ✓ | COLU -9.5 | COLU won by 13 · covered | 153.5 | 1 met · COLU 0 · FAIR 1 | |||||
| Final | 63 | @ |
66 | NEV Solid 69% ✗ | NEV -5.5 | NEV lost by 3 · not covered | 134.5 | 23 met · WYO 14 · NEV 9 | |||||
| Final | Bethesda | 59 | @ |
119 | UVU Banker 95% ✓ | 2 met · UVU 2 · BTHS 0 | |||||||
| Final | VA Wesleyan | 44 | @ |
82 | ODU Banker 95% ✓ | 4 met · ODU 4 · VWU 0 | |||||||
| Final | VA Lynchburg | 50 | @ |
105 | UNCG Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · UNCG 1 · VUL 0 | |||||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
83 | HAMP Solid 62% ✓ | HAMP -3.5 | HAMP won by 16 · covered | 145.5 | 37 met · HAMP 31 · HOW 6 | |||||
| Final | 61 | @ |
86 | MCN Banker 98% ✓ | MCN -23.5 | MCN won by 25 · covered | 144.5 | OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (147) ✓ | 23 met · MCN 10 · NOLA 13 | ||||
| Final | Nobel | 60 | @ |
93 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | 73 | @ |
71 | BOIS Solid 78% ✓ | BOIS -8.5 | BOIS won by 2 · not covered | 142.5 | 38 met · SJSU 3 · BOIS 35 | |||||
| Final | SW Christian U | 63 | @ |
96 | TLSA Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · TLSA 1 · SWCU 0 | |||||||
| Final | 76 | @ |
97 | SJU Banker 98% ✓ | SJU -24.5 | SJU won by 21 · not covered | 158.5 | OVER 158.5 · 52.3% (173) ✓ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 75 | @ |
57 | RICH -2.5 | RICH lost by 18 · not covered | 137.5 | 1 met · RICH 1 · FGCU 0 | ||||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
66 | SDSU Solid 66% ✗ | SDSU -4.5 | SDSU lost by 1 · not covered | 142.5 | 27 met · SDSU 20 · USU 7 | |||||
| Final | Southwest | 52 | @ |
85 | NMSU Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · NMSU 1 · USW 0 | |||||||
| Final | 68 | vs |
55 | GCU Banker 93% ✓ | GCU -16.5 | USD +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ | GCU won by 13 · not covered | 146.5 | UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (123) ✓ | 3 met · USD 3 · GCU 0 | |||
| Final | 80 | @ |
91 | SCU Banker 91% ✓ | SCU -14.5 | PEPP +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ | SCU won by 11 · not covered | 154.5 | 45 met · SCU 27 · PEPP 18 | ||||
| Final | Cal Maritime | 46 | @ |
109 | UCD Banker 95% ✓ | 2 met · UCD 2 · CMT 0 | |||||||
| Final | Occidental | 51 | @ |
109 | UCSD Banker 95% ✓ | 2 met · UCSD 2 · OXY 0 | |||||||
| Final | Westcliff | 72 | @ |
89 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | Biblical Stud | 68 | @ |
103 | TXSO Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · TXSO 1 · CBS 0 | |||||||
| Final | 59 | @ |
73 | ELON Solid 66% ✓ | ELON -4.5 | ELON won by 14 · covered | 144.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 89 | @ |
73 | WSU Banker 87% ✓ | WSU -12.5 | PORT +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ | WSU won by 16 · covered | 152.5 | 6 met · PORT 0 · WSU 6 | ||||
| Final | 60 | @ |
70 | SMC Banker 97% ✓ | SMC -20.5 | SMC won by 10 · not covered | 136.5 | OVER 136.5 · 52.3% (130) ✗ | 22 met · SMC 20 · PAC 2 | ||||
| Final | William Woods | 57 | @ |
78 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | 73 | @ |
79 | CBU Banker 89% ✓ | CBU -13.5 | JKST +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ | CBU won by 6 · not covered | 142.5 | 3 met · CBU 3 · JKST 0 | ||||
| Final | Mount Marty | 51 | @ |
81 | OMA Banker 95% ✓ | Never met | |||||||
| Final | 60 | @ |
79 | UTEP Banker 95% ✓ | 2 met · UTEP 2 · NNMC 0 | ||||||||
| Final | La Sierra | 52 | @ |
87 | CSUN Banker 95% ✓ | 2 met · CSUN 2 · LSIU 0 | |||||||
| Final | 55 | @ |
70 | SF Solid 83% ✓ | SF -10.5 | SF won by 15 · covered | 138.5 | 48 met · SF 29 · LMU 19 | |||||
| Final | 77 | @ |
87 | UNLV Banker 92% ✓ | UNLV -15.5 | FRES +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ | UNLV won by 10 · not covered | 145.5 | 24 met · UNLV 11 · FRES 13 |