Wednesday, December 18, 2024 64 games
Today: winner picks 36 of 46 right · line picks 6 of 12 right · total picks 5 of 9 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | 80 | @ |
76 | DART Solid 69% ✗ | DART -5.5 | DART lost by 4 · not covered | 148.5 | 1 met · DART 0 · LEM 1 | |||||
| Final | 74 | @ |
66 | SHU Solid 62% ✗ | SHU -3.5 | SHU lost by 8 · not covered | 154.5 | 8 met · SHU 3 · UALB 5 | |||||
| Final | 63 | @ |
117 | AMCC Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · AMCC 1 · SWA 0 | ||||||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
68 | ACU Solid 81% ✗ | ACU -9.5 | ACU lost by 1 · not covered | 140.5 | 1 met · ETAM 0 · ACU 1 | |||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
70 | GB Banker 95% ✗ | 2 met · GB 2 · MTU 0 | ||||||||
| Final | VA Lynchburg | 53 | @ |
116 | PRES Banker 95% ✓ | Never met | |||||||
| Final | 60 | @ |
62 | BING Solid 69% ✓ | BING -5.5 | BING won by 2 · not covered | 131.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
78 | UML Banker 91% ✓ | UML -14.5 | STO +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ | UML won by 11 · not covered | 148.5 | 2 met · UML 2 · STO 0 | ||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
77 | LAS Banker 89% ✓ | LAS -13.5 | FDU +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ | LAS won by 5 · not covered | 161.5 | 2 met · LAS 2 · FDU 0 | ||||
| Final | 57 | @ |
81 | CREI Solid 66% ✗ | CREI -4.5 | CREI lost by 24 · not covered | 145.5 | 24 met · GTWN 9 · CREI 15 | |||||
| Final | 85 | @ |
70 | SCST -2.5 | SCST won by 15 · covered | 153.5 | 4 met · UPST 4 · SCST 0 | ||||||
| Final | 57 | @ |
84 | JOES Banker 87% ✓ | JOES -12.5 | AMER +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ | JOES won by 27 · covered | 141.5 | 3 met · JOES 2 · AMER 1 | ||||
| Final | 64 | @ |
62 | MEM Solid 62% ✓ | MEM -3.5 | MEM won by 2 · not covered | 129.5 | 2 met · UVA 1 · MEM 1 | |||||
| Final | 66 | @ |
73 | QUC -0.5 | QUC won by 7 · covered | 160.5 | 1 met · QUC 0 · MER 1 | ||||||
| Final | 60 | @ |
73 | NKU Banker 89% ✓ | NKU -13.5 | DETM +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ | NKU won by 13 · not covered | 134.5 | 19 met · NKU 15 · DETM 4 | ||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
70 | WRST Solid 72% ✗ | WRST -6.5 | WRST lost by 10 · not covered | 143.5 | 45 met · WRST 31 · YSU 14 | |||||
| Final | 62 | @ |
82 | GW Banker 87% ✓ | GW -12.5 | LAF +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ | GW won by 20 · covered | 141.5 | 1 met · GW 1 · LAF 0 | ||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
77 | MASS Solid 62% ✓ | MASS -3.5 | MASS won by 5 · covered | 147.5 | 9 met · MASS 6 · NE 3 | |||||
| Final | 87 | @ |
93 | W&M -2.5 | W&M won by 6 · covered | 155.5 | 11 met · W&M 3 · RICH 8 | ||||||
| Final | 89 | @ |
94 | CONN Banker 89% ✓ | CONN -13.5 | XAV +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ | CONN won by 5 · not covered | 146.5 | 9 met · CONN 5 · XAV 4 | ||||
| Final | 77 | @ |
55 | LONG Solid 62% ✓ | LONG -3.5 | LONG won by 22 · covered | 142.5 | 28 met · CAM 12 · LONG 16 | |||||
| Final | 58 | @ |
84 | ETSU Solid 62% ✓ | ETSU -3.5 | ETSU won by 26 · covered | 144.5 | 6 met · ETSU 4 · ELON 2 | |||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
75 | UVM Solid 66% ✓ | UVM -4.5 | UVM won by 8 · covered | 129.5 | 1 met · UVM 0 · M-OH 1 | |||||
| Final | 58 | @ |
78 | OHIO Banker 89% ✓ | OHIO -13.5 | APSU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ | OHIO won by 20 · covered | 141.5 | 4 met · OHIO 2 · APSU 2 | ||||
| Final | 64 | @ |
63 | CCSU -1.5 | CCSU won by 1 · not covered | 137.5 | 3 met · FAIR 3 · CCSU 0 | ||||||
| Final | 61 | @ |
62 | TEM -1.5 | TEM won by 1 · not covered | 148.5 | 2 met · TEM 2 · DAV 0 | ||||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
66 | WAG -2.5 | WAG lost by 14 · not covered | 126.5 | 3 met · WAG 1 · MAN 2 | ||||||
| Final | 77 | @ |
69 | USF Solid 85% ✗ | USF -11.5 | USF lost by 8 · not covered | 148.5 | 7 met · USF 6 · BCU 1 | |||||
| Final | 74 | @ |
84 | MUR -2.5 | MUR lost by 10 · not covered | 152.5 | 7 met · INST 4 · MUR 3 | ||||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
72 | LIU -1.5 | LIU lost by 8 · not covered | 140.5 | 40 met · LIU 18 · MSM 22 | ||||||
| Final | Regent | 65 | @ |
108 | HAMP Banker 95% ✓ | 4 met · HAMP 4 · RGNT 0 | |||||||
| Final | 66 | @ |
79 | UNCW Solid 72% ✓ | UNCW -6.5 | UNCW won by 13 · covered | 138.5 | 1 met · UNCW 1 · FGCU 0 | |||||
| Final | TN Wesleyan | 52 | @ |
99 | UTC Banker 95% ✓ | 9 met · UTC 9 · TWU 0 | |||||||
| Final | 75 | @ |
100 | FUR Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · FUR 1 · MNTT 0 | ||||||||
| Final | 82 | @ |
91 | GT Banker 93% ✓ | GT -16.5 | UMBC +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ | GT won by 9 · not covered | 160.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final | 73 | @ |
78 | RGV -1.5 | RGV won by 5 · covered | 156.5 | 3 met · RGV 0 · SUU 3 | ||||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
96 | UAB Banker 98% ✓ | UAB -22.5 | UAB won by 29 · covered | 158.5 | OVER 158.5 · 52.3% (163) ✓ | 13 met · UAB 13 · AAMU 0 | ||||
| Final | 60 | @ |
72 | LUC Banker 98% ✓ | LUC -24.5 | LUC won by 12 · not covered | 139.5 | OVER 139.5 · 52.3% (132) ✗ | 2 met · LUC 2 · CAN 0 | ||||
| Final | 49 | @ |
78 | HOU Banker 98% ✓ | HOU -29.5 | HOU won by 29 · not covered | 140.5 | OVER 140.5 · 52.3% (127) ✗ | 2 met · HOU 2 · TOL 0 | ||||
| Final | 62 | @ |
68 | APP -2.5 | APP lost by 6 · not covered | 136.5 | 11 met · UL 8 · APP 3 | ||||||
| Final | 61 | @ |
66 | OKST Banker 97% ✓ | OKST -20.5 | OKST won by 5 · not covered | 138.5 | OVER 138.5 · 52.3% (127) ✗ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 74 | @ |
71 | SLU Solid 75% ✗ | SLU -7.5 | SLU lost by 3 · not covered | 150.5 | 1 met · SLU 1 · WOF 0 | |||||
| Final | 60 | @ |
81 | ILST Banker 92% ✓ | ILST -15.5 | NIU +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ | ILST won by 21 · covered | 140.5 | 2 met · ILST 0 · NIU 2 | ||||
| Final | 42 | @ |
83 | UNT Banker 98% ✓ | UNT -36.5 | UNT won by 41 · covered | 122.5 | OVER 122.5 · 52.3% (125) ✓ | 4 met · UNT 4 · MVSU 0 | ||||
| Final | 64 | @ |
66 | BRAD -1.5 | BRAD won by 2 · covered | 140.5 | Never met | ||||||
| Final | 54 | @ |
80 | UTA Solid 81% ✓ | UTA -9.5 | UTA won by 26 · covered | 151.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 49 | @ |
61 | Never met | |||||||||
| Final | 53 | @ |
105 | VAN Banker 98% ✓ | VAN -28.5 | VAN won by 52 · covered | 148.5 | OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (158) ✓ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 71 | @ |
78 | UNM Solid 62% ✓ | UNM -3.5 | UNM won by 7 · covered | 151.5 | 1 met · UNM 0 · VCU 1 | |||||
| Final | 86 | vs |
87 | MICH Solid 66% ✗ | MICH -4.5 | MICH lost by 1 · not covered | 149.5 | UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (173) ✗ | 2 met · OU 1 · MICH 1 | ||||
| Final | 70 | @ |
80 | MARQ Banker 89% ✓ | MARQ -13.5 | BTLR +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ | MARQ won by 10 · not covered | 148.5 | 24 met · MARQ 12 · BTLR 12 | ||||
| Final | Lincoln (CA) | 58 | @ |
128 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | 66 | @ |
74 | UCD Solid 72% ✓ | UCD -6.5 | UCD won by 8 · covered | 142.5 | 8 met · UCD 2 · IDHO 6 | |||||
| Final | 70 | @ |
56 | IDST -0.5 | IDST lost by 14 · not covered | 136.5 | 11 met · IDST 4 · UVU 7 | ||||||
| Final | 64 | @ |
96 | ARIZ Banker 95% ✓ | ARIZ -18.5 | ARIZ won by 32 · covered | 168.5 | 1 met · ARIZ 1 · SAM 0 | |||||
| Final | 97 | @ |
90 | ALA Banker 98% ✓ | ALA -24.5 | ALA won by 7 · not covered | 166.5 | OVER 166.5 · 52.3% (187) ✓ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
102 | GONZ Banker 98% ✓ | GONZ -35.5 | GONZ won by 30 · not covered | 155.5 | OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (174) ✓ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 74 | @ |
94 | SCU Banker 91% ✓ | SCU -14.5 | KENN +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ | SCU won by 20 · covered | 157.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final | 81 | @ |
75 | PAC Solid 62% ✗ | PAC -3.5 | PAC lost by 6 · not covered | 148.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
83 | UCR -2.5 | UCR won by 3 · covered | 143.5 | 4 met · UCR 3 · MTST 1 | ||||||
| Final | 69 | @ |
90 | USC Banker 87% ✓ | USC -12.5 | CSUN +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ | USC won by 21 · covered | 151.5 | 6 met · USC 5 · CSUN 1 | ||||
| Final | 81 | @ |
64 | PORT -0.5 | PORT lost by 17 · not covered | 140.5 | 3 met · PORT 3 · CSUB 0 | ||||||
| Final | 58 | @ |
60 | LMU -2.5 | LMU won by 2 · not covered | 141.5 | 9 met · LMU 3 · UCSB 6 | ||||||
| Final | 73 | @ |
89 | WASH -2.5 | WASH won by 16 · covered | 149.5 | 47 met · WASH 26 · WSU 21 |