Tuesday, December 17, 2024 48 games

Today: winner picks 35 of 40 right · line picks 5 of 6 right · total picks 6 of 14 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Misericordia	75	@ Delaware	92									Never met
Final	Ecclesia	61	@ AR-Pine Bluff	120	UAPB Banker 95% ✓								4 met · UAPB 4 · ECCL 0
Final	Drexel	68	@ Howard	65		DREX -1.5			DREX won by 3 · covered	143.5			Never met
Final	North Florida	81	@ UNC Asheville	95	UNCA Solid 62% ✓	UNCA -3.5			UNCA won by 14 · covered	161.5			1 met · UNCA 1 · UNF 0
Final	DePaul	61	@ St John's	89	SJU Solid 85% ✓	SJU -11.5			SJU won by 28 · covered	151.5			36 met · SJU 25 · DEP 11
Final	25Clemson	88	@ South Carolina	91		CLEM -1.5			CLEM lost by 3 · not covered	135.5			21 met · SC 8 · CLEM 13
Final	7Florida	90	vs North Carolina	84	FLA Solid 62% ✓	FLA -3.5			FLA won by 6 · covered	167.5	UNDER 167.5 · 51.8% (174) ✗		1 met · UNC 1 · FLA 0
Final	James Madison	58	@ Wake Forest	75	WAKE Solid 75% ✓	WAKE -7.5			WAKE won by 17 · covered	135.5			1 met · WAKE 1 · JMU 0
Final	George Mason	47	@ 5Duke	68	DUKE Banker 96% ✓	DUKE -19.5			DUKE won by 21 · covered	136.5			1 met · DUKE 1 · GMU 0
Final	Southern	61	@ 17Ole Miss	74	MISS Banker 98% ✓	MISS -23.5			MISS won by 13 · not covered	142.5	OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (135) ✗		1 met · MISS 1 · SOU 0
Final	W Carolina	36	@ 1Tennessee	84	TENN Banker 98% ✓	TENN -36.5			TENN won by 48 · covered	143.5	OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (120) ✗		2 met · TENN 2 · WCU 0
Final	Winthrop	64	@ Florida St	82	FSU Solid 85% ✓	FSU -11.5			FSU won by 18 · covered	160.5			3 met · FSU 3 · WIN 0
Final	UNLV	65	@ 22Dayton	66	DAY Solid 83% ✓	DAY -10.5			DAY won by 1 · not covered	140.5			1 met · DAY 0 · UNLV 1
Final	St Andrews	50	@ Liberty	124	LIB Banker 95% ✓								1 met · LIB 1 · STAU 0
Final	St Bonaventure	65	@ Siena	48	SBU Solid 72% ✓	SBU -6.5			SBU won by 17 · covered	127.5			13 met · SIE 5 · SBU 8
Final	Carolina U	31	@ High Point	99	HPU Banker 95% ✓								Never met
Final	20Michigan St	77	vs Oakland	58	MSU Banker 93% ✓	MSU -16.5		OAK +16.5 · covers 53% ✗	MSU won by 19 · covered	133.5	UNDER 133.5 · 51.8% (135) ✗		18 met · OAK 0 · MSU 18
Final	Holy Cross	70	@ Quinnipiac	69	QUIN Solid 83% ✗	QUIN -10.5			QUIN lost by 1 · not covered	143.5			6 met · QUIN 4 · HC 2
Final	West Georgia	70	@ Charlotte	75	CLT Banker 87% ✓	CLT -12.5		WGA +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	CLT won by 5 · not covered	138.5			Never met
Final	FIU	64	@ East Carolina	75	ECU Solid 75% ✓	ECU -7.5			ECU won by 11 · covered	143.5			1 met · ECU 0 · FIU 1
Final	Coastal	73	@ NC A&T	68	NCAT Solid 66% ✗	NCAT -4.5			NCAT lost by 5 · not covered	145.5			2 met · NCAT 2 · CCU 0
Final	Marist	68	@ Stony Brook	66		MRST -2.5			MRST won by 2 · not covered	135.5			2 met · STBK 2 · MRST 0
Final	Towson	67	@ Robert Morris	68		TOW -1.5			TOW lost by 1 · not covered	132.5			2 met · RMU 1 · TOW 1
Final	Gardner-Webb	81	@ GA Southern	86	GASO Solid 62% ✓	GASO -3.5			GASO won by 5 · covered	152.5			Never met
Final	LaGrange	60	@ Troy	105	TROY Banker 95% ✓								2 met · TROY 2 · LGC 0
Final	Mid Atl Chrstn	67	@ NC Central	112	NCCU Banker 95% ✓								3 met · NCCU 3 · MATC 0
Final	Will Peace	37	@ UNC Greensboro	86	UNCG Banker 95% ✓								2 met · UNCG 2 · WPEA 0
Final	Saint Francis	57	@ Maryland	111	MD Banker 98% ✓	MD -32.5			MD won by 54 · covered	146.5	OVER 146.5 · 52.3% (168) ✓		1 met · MD 1 · SFPA 0
Final	Jax State	72	@ Missouri	83	MIZ Banker 93% ✓	MIZ -16.5		JXST +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	MIZ won by 11 · not covered	145.5			Never met
Final	Seton Hall	67	@ Villanova	79	VILL Solid 78% ✓	VILL -8.5			VILL won by 12 · covered	126.5			39 met · VILL 30 · HALL 9
Final	Kansas City	74	@ Wichita St	64	WICH Banker 89% ✗	WICH -13.5		KC +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	WICH lost by 10 · not covered	146.5			8 met · WICH 6 · KC 2
Final	C Michigan	59	vs Mississippi St	83	MSST Banker 96% ✓	MSST -19.5			MSST won by 24 · covered	147.5	UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (142) ✓		Never met
Final	Drake	73	vs Kansas St	70		KSU -1.5			KSU lost by 3 · not covered	132.5	UNDER 132.5 · 51.8% (143) ✗		1 met · KSU 0 · DRKE 1
Final	Georgia St	59	@ 2Auburn	100	AUB Banker 98% ✓	AUB -39.5			AUB won by 41 · covered	156.5	OVER 156.5 · 52.3% (159) ✓		4 met · AUB 3 · GAST 1
Final	Valparaiso	73	@ Ohio State	95	OSU Banker 97% ✓	OSU -21.5			OSU won by 22 · covered	150.5	OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (168) ✓		2 met · OSU 2 · VAL 0
Final	Lamar	69	@ Southern Miss	65		LAM -2.5			LAM won by 4 · covered	138.5			6 met · USM 6 · LAM 0
Final	Seattle U	73	@ Western KY	86	WKU Solid 72% ✓	WKU -6.5			WKU won by 13 · covered	149.5			Never met
Final	Tennessee Tech	68	@ W Illinois	71		WIU -2.5			WIU won by 3 · covered	140.5			1 met · WIU 1 · TNTC 0
Final	Hou Christian	74	@ UL Monroe	68	ULM Solid 62% ✗	ULM -3.5			ULM lost by 6 · not covered	137.5			Never met
Final	Stetson	53	@ LSU	99	LSU Banker 98% ✓	LSU -23.5			LSU won by 46 · covered	150.5	OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (152) ✓		Never met
Final	Florida A&M	59	@ Utah	89	UTAH Banker 98% ✓	UTAH -32.5			UTAH won by 30 · not covered	151.5	OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (148) ✗		1 met · UTAH 1 · FAMU 0
Final	Texas Southern	51	@ Boise St	82	BOIS Banker 98% ✓	BOIS -22.5			BOIS won by 31 · covered	149.5	OVER 149.5 · 52.3% (133) ✗		1 met · BOIS 1 · TXSO 0
Final	Radford	68	@ Colorado St	78	CSU Banker 87% ✓	CSU -12.5		RAD +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	CSU won by 10 · not covered	137.5			Never met
Final	UC San Diego	75	@ Utah State	73	USU Solid 83% ✗	USU -10.5			USU lost by 2 · not covered	149.5			Never met
Final	Prairie View	75	@ 18UCLA	111	UCLA Banker 98% ✓	UCLA -33.5			UCLA won by 36 · covered	146.5	OVER 146.5 · 52.3% (186) ✓		3 met · UCLA 3 · PV 0
Final	Merrimack	68	@ Stanford	74	STAN Banker 92% ✓	STAN -15.5		MRMK +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	STAN won by 6 · not covered	135.5			Never met
Final	Sacramento St	45	@ Oregon St	82	ORST Banker 97% ✓	ORST -20.5			ORST won by 37 · covered	132.5	OVER 132.5 · 52.3% (127) ✗		4 met · ORST 3 · SAC 1
Final	Denver	94	@ Cal Poly	95	CP Solid 83% ✓	CP -10.5			CP won by 1 · not covered	160.5			1 met · CP 0 · DEN 1