Thursday, December 12, 2024 10 games
Today: winner picks 8 of 8 right · line picks 0 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | Regent | 61 | @  VMI
|
100 | VMI Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · VMI 1 · RGNT 0 | |||||||
| Final |  Bob Jones
|
55 | @  Winthrop
|
103 | WIN Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · WIN 1 · BOBJ 0 | |||||||
| Final |  Bethune
|
41 | @  Virginia
|
59 | UVA Banker 92% ✓ | UVA -15.5 | BCU +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ | UVA won by 18 · covered | 126.5 | Never met | |||
| Final |  NC A&T
|
67 | @  Virginia Tech
|
95 | VT Banker 91% ✓ | VT -14.5 | NCAT +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ | VT won by 28 · covered | 146.5 | 4 met · VT 4 · NCAT 0 | |||
| Final |  Campbell
|
86 | @  The Citadel
|
58 | CIT -0.5 | CIT lost by 28 · not covered | 135.5 | 6 met · CIT 1 · CAM 5 | |||||
| Final |  3Iowa State
|
89 | @  Iowa
|
80 | ISU Solid 69% ✓ | ISU -5.5 | ISU won by 9 · covered | 161.5 | 24 met · IOWA 10 · ISU 14 | ||||
| Final |  New Mexico St
|
67 | @  Texas
|
91 | TEX Banker 96% ✓ | TEX -19.5 | TEX won by 24 · covered | 142.5 | 2 met · TEX 2 · NMSU 0 | ||||
| Final |  Chattanooga
|
75 | @  Evansville
|
67 | UTC -1.5 | UTC won by 8 · covered | 148.5 | 1 met · EVAN 1 · UTC 0 | |||||
| Final |  UT Arlington
|
79 | @  Arkansas St
|
83 | ARST Solid 78% ✓ | ARST -8.5 | ARST won by 4 · not covered | 157.5 | 18 met · ARST 7 · UTA 11 | ||||
| Final |  St Ambrose
|
35 | @  Drake
|
90 | DRKE Banker 95% ✓ | 2 met · DRKE 2 · STAM 0 |