NCAA Predictor
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Wednesday, December 11, 2024 28 games

Today: winner picks 23 of 25 right · line picks 5 of 5 right · total picks 4 of 5 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Norfolk St 69 @ Baylor 94 BAY Banker 98% ✓ BAY -25.5 BAY won by 25 · not covered 144.5 OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (163) ✓ 4 met · BAY 4 · NORF 0
Final Columbia (SC) 57 @ Presbyterian 97 Never met
Final Bluefield 46 @ UNC Asheville 92 UNCA Banker 95% ✓ 3 met · UNCA 3 · BLU 0
Final Long Island 62 @ UMass Lowell 69 UML Banker 91% ✓ UML -14.5 LIU +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ UML won by 7 · not covered 151.5 6 met · UML 4 · LIU 2
Final UTEP 74 @ Louisville 77 LOU Banker 91% ✓ LOU -14.5 UTEP +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ LOU won by 3 · not covered 145.5 Never met
Final E Kentucky 56 @ Pitt 96 PITT Banker 95% ✓ PITT -18.5 PITT won by 40 · covered 148.5 1 met · PITT 1 · EKU 0
Final North Alabama 74 @ East Carolina 67 ECU Solid 75% ✗ ECU -7.5 ECU lost by 7 · not covered 138.5 Never met
Final Milwaukee 88 @ Green Bay 67 MILW Solid 72% ✓ MILW -6.5 MILW won by 21 · covered 159.5 48 met · GB 24 · MILW 24
Final IU Indy 76 @ Purdue FW 78 PFW Banker 91% ✓ PFW -14.5 IUIN +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ PFW won by 2 · not covered 151.5 33 met · PFW 14 · IUIN 19
Final Bryant 77 @ St John's 99 SJU Banker 97% ✓ SJU -21.5 SJU won by 22 · covered 159.5 OVER 159.5 · 52.3% (176) ✓ 1 met · SJU 1 · BRY 0
Final FDU 72 @ Villanova 86 VILL Banker 98% ✓ VILL -28.5 VILL won by 14 · not covered 151.5 OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (158) ✓ 2 met · VILL 2 · FDU 0
Final Dartmouth 65 @ Notre Dame 77 ND Banker 94% ✓ ND -17.5 DART +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ ND won by 12 · not covered 142.5 2 met · ND 2 · DART 0
Final Lesley 53 @ Stonehill 97 Never met
Final Maine 61 @ Duquesne 56 DUQ Solid 66% ✗ DUQ -4.5 DUQ lost by 5 · not covered 133.5 2 met · DUQ 2 · ME 0
Final NJIT 59 @ Delaware St 71 DSU Solid 66% ✓ DSU -4.5 DSU won by 12 · covered 141.5 3 met · DSU 0 · NJIT 3
Final S Virginia 57 @ Coastal 82 CCU Banker 95% ✓ 2 met · CCU 2 · SOVA 0
Final Marshall 79 @ Wright St 88 WRST Solid 69% ✓ WRST -5.5 WRST won by 9 · covered 151.5 4 met · WRST 1 · MRSH 3
Final UT Martin 93 @ Alabama St 103 ALST Solid 66% ✓ ALST -4.5 ALST won by 10 · covered 146.5 Never met
Final Cumberlands 79 @ N Kentucky 98 NKU Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · NKU 1 · CMBS 0
Final VA Lynchburg 50 @ Howard 124 HOW Banker 95% ✓ Never met
Final AR-Pine Bluff 73 @ UL Monroe 89 ULM Solid 85% ✓ ULM -11.5 ULM won by 16 · covered 156.5 Never met
Final Colgate 67 @ 5Kentucky 78 UK Banker 98% ✓ UK -31.5 UK won by 11 · not covered 155.5 OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (145) ✗ Never met
Final SE Louisiana 61 @ Louisiana 68 UL Solid 66% ✓ UL -4.5 UL won by 7 · covered 144.5 3 met · UL 3 · SELA 0
Final North Dakota 57 @ Utah Valley 80 UVU Solid 83% ✓ UVU -10.5 UVU won by 23 · covered 147.5 9 met · UVU 5 · UND 4
Final Fresno St 67 @ BYU 95 BYU Banker 98% ✓ BYU -25.5 BYU won by 28 · covered 158.5 OVER 158.5 · 52.3% (162) ✓ 3 met · BYU 3 · FRES 0
Final S Dakota St 63 @ Nevada 77 NEV Solid 85% ✓ NEV -11.5 NEV won by 14 · covered 141.5 4 met · NEV 2 · SDST 2
Final CA Baptist 75 @ 23San Diego St 81 SDSU Banker 89% ✓ SDSU -13.5 CBU +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ SDSU won by 6 · not covered 136.5 Never met
Final Stanislaus St 52 @ San Francisco 68 Never met