Friday, December 13, 2024 10 games
Today: winner picks 10 of 10 right · line picks 0 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  UW-Stout
|
62 | @  N Dakota St
|
91 | NDSU Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · NDSU 1 · UWST 0 | |||||||
| Final |  Army
|
60 | @  G Washington
|
75 | GW Solid 83% ✓ | GW -10.5 | GW won by 15 · covered | 151.5 | 1 met · GW 1 · ARMY 0 | ||||
| Final |  Boston U
|
61 | @  Merrimack
|
64 | MRMK Solid 66% ✓ | MRMK -4.5 | MRMK won by 3 · not covered | 126.5 | 4 met · MRMK 0 · BU 4 | ||||
| Final |  GA Southern
|
63 | @  Louisiana Tech
|
77 | LT Solid 85% ✓ | LT -11.5 | LT won by 14 · covered | 144.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final |  Omaha
|
58 | @  Northern Iowa
|
78 | UNI Banker 89% ✓ | UNI -13.5 | OMA +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ | UNI won by 20 · covered | 142.5 | Never met | |||
| Final |  Indiana
|
68 | @  Nebraska
|
85 | NEB Solid 62% ✓ | NEB -3.5 | NEB won by 17 · covered | 156.5 | 20 met · NEB 9 · IU 11 | ||||
| Final |  North Dakota
|
76 | @  UTSA
|
80 | UTSA Solid 75% ✓ | UTSA -7.5 | UTSA won by 4 · not covered | 154.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final |  S Dakota St
|
70 | @  Colorado
|
81 | COLO Solid 75% ✓ | COLO -7.5 | COLO won by 11 · covered | 144.5 | 2 met · COLO 2 · SDST 0 | ||||
| Final |  Weber St
|
73 | @  Utah Tech
|
71 | WEB Solid 62% ✓ | WEB -3.5 | WEB won by 2 · not covered | 143.5 | 2 met · UTU 1 · WEB 1 | ||||
| Final |  W Michigan
|
71 | @  St Thomas
|
77 | STMN Solid 85% ✓ | STMN -11.5 | STMN won by 6 · not covered | 148.5 | 1 met · STMN 1 · WMU 0 |