Tuesday, December 10, 2024 37 games

Today: winner picks 21 of 27 right · line picks 3 of 7 right · total picks 2 of 7 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Lindsey Wilson	69	@ Southern	94	SOU Banker 95% ✓								1 met · SOU 1 · LWU 0
Final	Cairn	57	@ UMBC	103									Never met
Final	N Dakota St	71	@ Butler	68	BTLR Banker 89% ✗	BTLR -13.5		NDSU +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	BTLR lost by 3 · not covered	142.5			Never met
Final	Miami	62	vs 1Tennessee	75	TENN Banker 91% ✓	TENN -14.5		MIA +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	TENN won by 13 · not covered	144.5	UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (137) ✓		Never met
Final	Chestnut Hill	51	@ Delaware	78	DEL Banker 95% ✓								1 met · DEL 1 · CHC 0
Final	Charleston	78	@ Saint Joseph's	75	JOES Solid 75% ✗	JOES -7.5			JOES lost by 3 · not covered	150.5			1 met · JOES 0 · COFC 1
Final	Incarnate Word	46	@ 4Duke	72	DUKE Banker 98% ✓	DUKE -34.5			DUKE won by 26 · not covered	143.5	OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (118) ✗		Never met
Final	UAlbany	85	@ Syracuse	102	SYR Banker 87% ✓	SYR -12.5		UALB +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	SYR won by 17 · covered	156.5			4 met · SYR 4 · UALB 0
Final	NC Central	45	@ West Virginia	79	WVU Banker 98% ✓	WVU -23.5			WVU won by 34 · covered	141.5	OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (124) ✗		Never met
Final	Carolina U	53	@ Queens	91	QUC Banker 95% ✓								1 met · QUC 1 · CU 0
Final	Morgan St	58	@ Xavier	119	XAV Banker 98% ✓	XAV -28.5			XAV won by 61 · covered	155.5	OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (177) ✓		2 met · XAV 2 · MORG 0
Final	Rhode Island	80	@ Brown	84	URI Solid 62% ✗	URI -3.5			URI lost by 4 · not covered	150.5			20 met · BRWN 4 · URI 16
Final	PSU Altoona	51	@ Mercyhurst	77									Never met
Final	Penn State	76	@ Rutgers	80		RUTG -2.5			RUTG won by 4 · covered	157.5			19 met · RUTG 9 · PSU 10
Final	Monmouth	67	@ Princeton	71	PRIN Banker 89% ✓	PRIN -13.5		MONM +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	PRIN won by 4 · not covered	145.5			14 met · PRIN 9 · MONM 5
Final	Charlotte	71	@ Davidson	75	DAV Solid 75% ✓	DAV -7.5			DAV won by 4 · not covered	140.5			20 met · DAV 11 · CLT 9
Final	Jacksonville	63	@ FAU	85	FAU Banker 87% ✓	FAU -12.5		JAX +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	FAU won by 22 · covered	154.5			10 met · FAU 6 · JAX 4
Final	Holy Family	81	@ Temple	110									Never met
Final	Coppin St	56	@ NC State	66	NCSU Banker 98% ✓	NCSU -32.5			NCSU won by 10 · not covered	136.5	OVER 136.5 · 52.3% (122) ✗		2 met · NCSU 2 · COPP 0
Final	Apprentice	68	@ Hampton	86	HAMP Banker 95% ✓								1 met · HAMP 1 · APPR 0
Final	Harris Stowe	53	@ Lindenwood	99									Never met
Final	Southern NO	66	@ Nicholls	110	NICH Banker 95% ✓								3 met · NICH 3 · SUNO 0
Final	Troy	42	@ 15Houston	62	HOU Banker 98% ✓	HOU -26.5			HOU won by 20 · not covered	132.5	OVER 132.5 · 52.3% (104) ✗		1 met · HOU 1 · TROY 0
Final	Wyoming	81	@ South Dakota	82		SDAK -1.5			SDAK won by 1 · not covered	156.5			6 met · SDAK 1 · WYO 5
Final	Ouachita Bapt	57	@ Little Rock	80									1 met · LR 0 · OBU 1
Final	Tennessee St	60	@ Western KY	84	WKU Banker 91% ✓	WKU -14.5		TNST +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	WKU won by 24 · covered	160.5			4 met · WKU 4 · TNST 0
Final	Providence	70	@ DePaul	63		DEP -1.5			DEP lost by 7 · not covered	138.5			33 met · DEP 8 · PROV 25
Final	Southern Miss	58	@ Tulane	86	TULN Solid 69% ✓	TULN -5.5			TULN won by 28 · covered	145.5			27 met · TULN 10 · USM 17
Final	Montana Tech	60	@ Montana	89	MONT Banker 95% ✓								11 met · MONT 10 · MTTC 1
Final	20Wisconsin	80	@ Illinois	86	ILL Solid 72% ✓	ILL -6.5			ILL won by 6 · not covered	153.5			43 met · ILL 18 · WIS 25
Final	La Sierra	55	@ Fullerton	61	CSUF Banker 95% ✓								1 met · CSUF 1 · LSIU 0
Final	UC Col Springs	87	@ Denver	94									Never met
Final	14Michigan	87	vs Arkansas	89	MICH Solid 62% ✗	MICH -3.5			MICH lost by 2 · not covered	147.5	UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (176) ✗		2 met · ARK 1 · MICH 1
Final	Long Beach St	76	@ San Diego	70	USD Solid 62% ✗	USD -3.5			USD lost by 6 · not covered	139.5			2 met · USD 1 · LBSU 1
Final	Cornell	88	@ California	80	CAL Solid 81% ✗	CAL -9.5			CAL lost by 8 · not covered	166.5			Never met
Final	Kansas City	69	@ Portland	64		PORT -2.5			PORT lost by 5 · not covered	142.5			Never met
Final	E Washington	69	@ Washington	87	WASH Banker 87% ✓	WASH -12.5		EWU +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	WASH won by 18 · covered	146.5			14 met · WASH 13 · EWU 1