Monday, December 9, 2024 8 games
Today: winner picks 4 of 5 right · total picks 1 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | Thomas Coll | 75 | @  Boston U
|
113 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final |  Minnesota
|
67 | @  Indiana
|
82 | IU Solid 81% ✓ | IU -9.5 | IU won by 15 · covered | 141.5 | 37 met · IU 23 · MINN 14 | ||||
| Final |  Penn
|
47 | @  VCU
|
66 | VCU Banker 98% ✓ | VCU -23.5 | VCU won by 19 · not covered | 138.5 | OVER 138.5 · 52.3% (113) ✗ | Never met | |||
| Final |  Charleston So
|
63 | @  SC State
|
82 | SCST -1.5 | SCST won by 19 · covered | 144.5 | 4 met · SCST 2 · CHSO 2 | |||||
| Final | Sarah Lawrence | 46 | @  Columbia
|
92 | COLU Banker 95% ✓ | 2 met · COLU 2 · SLC 0 | |||||||
| Final |  Hofstra
|
80 | @  Norfolk St
|
67 | NORF Solid 66% ✗ | NORF -4.5 | NORF lost by 13 · not covered | 132.5 | 2 met · NORF 0 · HOF 2 | ||||
| Final |  Abilene Chrstn
|
57 | @  Baylor
|
88 | BAY Banker 98% ✓ | BAY -24.5 | BAY won by 31 · covered | 141.5 | OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (145) ✓ | Never met | |||
| Final | Lincoln (CA) | 80 | @  San José St
|
117 | Never met |