Sunday, December 8, 2024 39 games
Today: winner picks 26 of 29 right · line picks 1 of 3 right · total picks 5 of 8 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | 54 | @ |
98 | AUB Banker 98% ✓ | AUB -29.5 | AUB won by 44 · covered | 144.5 | OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (152) ✓ | 1 met · AUB 1 · RICH 0 | ||||
| Final | 85 | @ |
76 | OKST -1.5 | OKST won by 9 · covered | 133.5 | Never met | ||||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
87 | FOR Solid 69% ✓ | FOR -5.5 | FOR won by 15 · covered | 137.5 | 5 met · FOR 3 · ME 2 | |||||
| Final | 78 | @ |
83 | PUR Solid 66% ✓ | PUR -4.5 | PUR won by 5 · covered | 142.5 | 15 met · PUR 9 · MD 6 | |||||
| Final | 83 | vs |
74 | VAN -2.5 | VAN won by 9 · covered | 149.5 | UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (157) ✗ | 3 met · TCU 0 · VAN 3 | |||||
| Final | 66 | @ |
53 | SIE Solid 66% ✓ | SIE -4.5 | SIE won by 13 · covered | 133.5 | 46 met · CAN 22 · SIE 24 | |||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
62 | MRMK -1.5 | MRMK won by 18 · covered | 126.5 | Never met | ||||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
76 | KU Solid 72% ✗ | KU -6.5 | KU lost by 9 · not covered | 154.5 | 25 met · MIZ 5 · KU 20 | |||||
| Final | 51 | @ |
66 | UCF Banker 98% ✓ | UCF -24.5 | UCF won by 15 · not covered | 135.5 | OVER 135.5 · 52.3% (117) ✗ | 1 met · UCF 1 · TAR 0 | ||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
62 | HARV Solid 75% ✓ | HARV -7.5 | HARV won by 10 · covered | 137.5 | 7 met · UNH 2 · HARV 5 | |||||
| Final | 103 | @ |
84 | COR Solid 62% ✓ | COR -3.5 | COR won by 19 · covered | 157.5 | 6 met · ARMY 0 · COR 6 | |||||
| Final | 63 | @ |
61 | WAG Solid 66% ✓ | WAG -4.5 | WAG won by 2 · not covered | 126.5 | 2 met · UMES 0 · WAG 2 | |||||
| Final | 63 | @ |
72 | IONA -1.5 | IONA won by 9 · covered | 130.5 | 48 met · IONA 32 · SPU 16 | ||||||
| Final | 94 | @ |
101 | MSM -2.5 | MSM won by 7 · covered | 138.5 | 4 met · MSM 0 · FAIR 4 | ||||||
| Final | 82 | @ |
75 | MRST -1.5 | MRST won by 7 · covered | 137.5 | 47 met · MAN 27 · MRST 20 | ||||||
| Final | 73 | @ |
83 | QUIN Solid 69% ✓ | QUIN -5.5 | QUIN won by 10 · covered | 151.5 | 25 met · QUIN 12 · SHU 13 | |||||
| Final | 77 | @ |
82 | PFW Solid 81% ✓ | PFW -9.5 | PFW won by 5 · not covered | 147.5 | 9 met · PFW 5 · RMU 4 | |||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
84 | CIN Banker 98% ✓ | CIN -27.5 | CIN won by 17 · not covered | 141.5 | OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (151) ✓ | 2 met · CIN 2 · HOW 0 | ||||
| Final | 69 | @ |
82 | SIUE -2.5 | SIUE won by 13 · covered | 137.5 | 5 met · SIUE 0 · BALL 5 | ||||||
| Final | 70 | @ |
74 | RAD Solid 72% ✓ | RAD -6.5 | RAD won by 4 · not covered | 133.5 | 1 met · RAD 1 · BUCK 0 | |||||
| Final | 75 | @ |
78 | NE Solid 78% ✓ | NE -8.5 | NE won by 3 · not covered | 134.5 | 2 met · NE 1 · COLG 1 | |||||
| Final | VTSU Johnson | 63 | @ |
122 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | 89 | @ |
83 | MER Solid 62% ✓ | MER -3.5 | MER won by 6 · covered | 153.5 | 24 met · STET 6 · MER 18 | |||||
| Final | 71 | @ |
80 | LSU Banker 91% ✓ | LSU -14.5 | FGCU +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ | LSU won by 9 · not covered | 141.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final | 62 | @ |
85 | SLU Banker 98% ✓ | SLU -25.5 | SLU won by 23 · not covered | 154.5 | OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (147) ✗ | 3 met · SLU 3 · CHST 0 | ||||
| Final | 47 | @ |
72 | SAM Banker 87% ✓ | SAM -12.5 | APSU +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ | SAM won by 25 · covered | 151.5 | 16 met · SAM 5 · APSU 11 | ||||
| Final | 72 | vs |
67 | TTU -0.5 | TTU lost by 5 · not covered | 143.5 | UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (139) ✓ | 21 met · TTU 8 · TA&M 13 | |||||
| Final | 66 | @ |
75 | TXST Solid 72% ✓ | TXST -6.5 | TXST won by 9 · covered | 134.5 | 6 met · TXST 3 · RICE 3 | |||||
| Final | 84 | @ |
91 | MSST Banker 98% ✓ | MSST -38.5 | MSST won by 7 · not covered | 164.5 | OVER 164.5 · 52.3% (175) ✓ | 1 met · MSST 1 · PV 0 | ||||
| Final | 85 | @ |
72 | MEM Solid 85% ✗ | MEM -11.5 | MEM lost by 13 · not covered | 152.5 | 6 met · MEM 6 · ARST 0 | |||||
| Final | 74 | @ |
76 | USA Solid 66% ✓ | USA -4.5 | USA won by 2 · not covered | 137.5 | 4 met · USA 2 · JXST 2 | |||||
| Final | 53 | @ |
73 | MUR Banker 92% ✓ | MUR -15.5 | SEMO +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ | MUR won by 20 · covered | 146.5 | 42 met · MUR 33 · SEMO 9 | ||||
| Final | 69 | @ |
58 | LT Solid 72% ✓ | LT -6.5 | LT won by 11 · covered | 146.5 | 16 met · UL 8 · LT 8 | |||||
| Final | 76 | @ |
65 | TEX -1.5 | TEX lost by 11 · not covered | 141.5 | 6 met · TEX 2 · CONN 4 | ||||||
| Final | 68 | @ |
69 | UIC Solid 85% ✓ | UIC -11.5 | UIC won by 1 · not covered | 152.5 | 1 met · UIC 1 · DART 0 | |||||
| Final | 58 | @ |
100 | ISU Banker 98% ✓ | ISU -36.5 | ISU won by 42 · covered | 145.5 | OVER 145.5 · 52.3% (158) ✓ | 3 met · ISU 3 · JKST 0 | ||||
| Final | 73 | @ |
71 | ORE Solid 62% ✗ | ORE -3.5 | ORE lost by 2 · not covered | 137.5 | 46 met · ORE 23 · UCLA 23 | |||||
| Final | 76 | @ |
65 | DUKE Solid 78% ✓ | DUKE -8.5 | DUKE won by 11 · covered | 145.5 | 17 met · LOU 6 · DUKE 11 | |||||
| Final | 40 | @ |
97 | LONG Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · LONG 1 · MBAL 0 |