NCAA Predictor
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Thursday, December 5, 2024 26 games

Today: winner picks 12 of 17 right · line picks 1 of 3 right · total picks 1 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final SE Missouri 60 @ Lipscomb 78 LIP Banker 93% ✓ LIP -16.5 SEMO +16.5 · covers 53% ✗ LIP won by 18 · covered 146.5 2 met · LIP 1 · SEMO 1
Final Purdue FW 78 @ Detroit Mercy 79 PFW Solid 75% ✗ PFW -7.5 PFW lost by 1 · not covered 146.5 11 met · DETM 5 · PFW 6
Final Alabama St 64 @ Southern Miss 81 USM Solid 66% ✓ USM -4.5 USM won by 17 · covered 148.5 3 met · USM 3 · ALST 0
Final 8Purdue 70 @ Penn State 81 PSU -2.5 PSU won by 11 · covered 149.5 41 met · PSU 6 · PUR 35
Final Warner 83 @ North Florida 115 Never met
Final Wright St 64 @ Oakland 66 OAK -1.5 OAK won by 2 · covered 139.5 26 met · OAK 9 · WRST 17
Final MD Eastern 76 @ Longwood 80 LONG Banker 97% ✓ LONG -20.5 LONG won by 4 · not covered 144.5 OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (156) ✓ 5 met · LONG 5 · UMES 0
Final Florida Tech 67 @ Jacksonville 88 JAX Banker 95% ✓ 2 met · JAX 2 · FIT 0
Final Radford 70 @ NC Central 67 RAD -2.5 RAD won by 3 · covered 141.5 2 met · NCCU 0 · RAD 2
Final Samford 88 @ SC State 81 SAM Solid 83% ✓ SAM -10.5 SAM won by 7 · not covered 157.5 3 met · SCST 1 · SAM 2
Final C Michigan 93 @ Aquinas 69 1 met · AQUI 0 · CMU 1
Final SE Louisiana 64 @ Nicholls 67 NICH -2.5 NICH won by 3 · covered 139.5 44 met · NICH 20 · SELA 24
Final SF Austin 65 @ UT Rio Grande 68 RGV Solid 69% ✓ RGV -5.5 RGV won by 3 · not covered 143.5 8 met · RGV 1 · SFA 7
Final Xavier 72 @ TCU 76 TCU -1.5 TCU won by 4 · covered 148.5 1 met · TCU 0 · XAV 1
Final Cleveland St 67 @ Milwaukee 79 MILW Solid 75% ✓ MILW -7.5 MILW won by 12 · covered 140.5 47 met · MILW 29 · CLE 18
Final East Texas A&M 79 @ Hou Christian 83 HCU Solid 62% ✓ HCU -3.5 HCU won by 4 · covered 136.5 4 met · HCU 2 · ETAM 2
Final Lamar 65 @ Texas A&M-CC 61 AMCC Solid 78% ✗ AMCC -8.5 AMCC lost by 4 · not covered 151.5 29 met · AMCC 15 · LAM 14
Final Jackson St 64 @ Arkansas St 66 ARST Banker 93% ✓ ARST -16.5 JKST +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ ARST won by 2 · not covered 148.5 3 met · ARST 2 · JKST 1
Final Drake 66 @ Valparaiso 60 DRKE Solid 81% ✓ DRKE -9.5 DRKE won by 6 · not covered 135.5 15 met · VAL 5 · DRKE 10
Final N'Western St 72 @ Incarnate Word 70 UIW Solid 69% ✗ UIW -5.5 UIW lost by 2 · not covered 141.5 17 met · UIW 3 · NWST 14
Final Cal Poly 66 @ UC Davis 77 UCD -2.5 UCD won by 11 · covered 158.5 42 met · UCD 27 · CP 15
Final Long Beach St 73 @ Fullerton 56 CSUF Solid 72% ✗ CSUF -6.5 CSUF lost by 17 · not covered 126.5 48 met · CSUF 22 · LBSU 26
Final Bakersfield 66 @ UC Irvine 82 UCI Banker 92% ✓ UCI -15.5 CSUB +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ UCI won by 16 · covered 134.5 13 met · UCI 11 · CSUB 2
Final UC San Diego 84 @ Santa Barbara 76 UCSB -2.5 UCSB lost by 8 · not covered 141.5 8 met · UCSB 5 · UCSD 3
Final UC Riverside 68 @ CSU Northridge 64 CSUN Solid 66% ✗ CSUN -4.5 CSUN lost by 4 · not covered 150.5 44 met · CSUN 26 · UCR 18
Final Saint Louis 61 @ San Francisco 78 SF Solid 78% ✓ SF -8.5 SF won by 17 · covered 151.5 Never met