Wednesday, December 4, 2024 67 games
Today: winner picks 41 of 50 right · line picks 2 of 5 right · total picks 0 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | 72 | @ |
86 | MER Solid 83% ✓ | MER -10.5 | MER won by 14 · covered | 145.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
68 | HARV -2.5 | HARV lost by 1 · not covered | 139.5 | 21 met · HC 9 · HARV 12 | ||||||
| Final | Cheyney (PA) | 57 | @ |
124 | MORG Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · MORG 1 · CHEY 0 | |||||||
| Final | 75 | @ |
84 | GB Solid 62% ✗ | GB -3.5 | GB lost by 9 · not covered | 152.5 | 17 met · IUIN 9 · GB 8 | |||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
76 | CONN Solid 62% ✓ | CONN -3.5 | CONN won by 4 · covered | 144.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 59 | @ |
83 | MD Solid 69% ✓ | MD -5.5 | MD won by 24 · covered | 146.5 | 17 met · MD 9 · OSU 8 | |||||
| Final | 73 | @ |
88 | COLU Solid 69% ✗ | COLU -5.5 | COLU lost by 15 · not covered | 155.5 | 7 met · UALB 7 · COLU 0 | |||||
| Final | 88 | @ |
77 | FAU Solid 81% ✓ | FAU -9.5 | FAU won by 11 · covered | 158.5 | 40 met · FIU 18 · FAU 22 | |||||
| Final | 54 | @ |
89 | VCU Banker 96% ✓ | VCU -19.5 | VCU won by 35 · covered | 149.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 75 | @ |
78 | FAIR -1.5 | FAIR won by 3 · covered | 134.5 | 46 met · FAIR 23 · RID 23 | ||||||
| Final | 59 | @ |
82 | UNA Solid 75% ✓ | UNA -7.5 | UNA won by 23 · covered | 145.5 | 2 met · UNA 1 · TNTC 1 | |||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
58 | RMU -1.5 | RMU lost by 14 · not covered | 138.5 | 22 met · RMU 11 · YSU 11 | ||||||
| Final | 75 | @ |
84 | FOR Banker 87% ✓ | FOR -12.5 | FDU +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ | FOR won by 9 · not covered | 153.5 | 4 met · FOR 4 · FDU 0 | ||||
| Final | 71 | @ |
81 | GW Solid 66% ✗ | GW -4.5 | GW lost by 10 · not covered | 142.5 | 5 met · AMER 3 · GW 2 | |||||
| Final | 73 | @ |
69 | MASS Solid 81% ✗ | MASS -9.5 | MASS lost by 4 · not covered | 138.5 | 9 met · MASS 6 · CCSU 3 | |||||
| Final | 60 | @ |
91 | UPST Banker 95% ✓ | 3 met · UPST 3 · BRE 0 | ||||||||
| Final | 64 | @ |
47 | SBU Solid 75% ✓ | SBU -7.5 | SBU won by 17 · covered | 135.5 | 4 met · BUCK 1 · SBU 3 | |||||
| Final | 84 | @ |
57 | COR -2.5 | COR won by 27 · covered | 152.5 | 17 met · COLG 9 · COR 8 | ||||||
| Final | 63 | @ |
90 | LEH -0.5 | LEH won by 27 · covered | 144.5 | 12 met · LEH 6 · MONM 6 | ||||||
| Final | PSU Shenango | 55 | @ |
107 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | 74 | @ |
86 | WCU Solid 69% ✓ | WCU -5.5 | WCU won by 12 · covered | 146.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 76 | @ |
73 | FUR -2.5 | FUR won by 3 · covered | 132.5 | 2 met · FGCU 2 · FUR 0 | ||||||
| Final | 52 | @ |
65 | WAG Solid 85% ✓ | WAG -11.5 | WAG won by 13 · covered | 117.5 | 3 met · WAG 3 · COPP 0 | |||||
| Final | 61 | @ |
83 | Never met | |||||||||
| Final | 97 | @ |
99 | BEL Solid 69% ✓ | BEL -5.5 | BEL won by 2 · not covered | 151.5 | 6 met · BEL 3 · ILST 3 | |||||
| Final | 58 | @ |
57 | CAM Solid 69% ✗ | CAM -5.5 | CAM lost by 1 · not covered | 131.5 | 14 met · CAM 6 · CCU 8 | |||||
| Final | York (NY) | 53 | @ |
103 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | VA Lynchburg | 55 | @ |
109 | W&M Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · W&M 1 · VUL 0 | |||||||
| Final | 77 | @ |
80 | MRSH Solid 85% ✓ | MRSH -11.5 | MRSH won by 3 · not covered | 140.5 | 13 met · MRSH 8 · MORE 5 | |||||
| Final | 64 | @ |
88 | WOF Solid 69% ✓ | WOF -5.5 | WOF won by 24 · covered | 141.5 | 6 met · WOF 6 · GWEB 0 | |||||
| Final | East West | 45 | @ |
102 | LIN Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · LIN 1 · EAWE 0 | |||||||
| Final | 94 | @ |
79 | UNC -1.5 | UNC lost by 15 · not covered | 175.5 | 3 met · UNC 1 · ALA 2 | ||||||
| Final | 69 | @ |
87 | FLA Banker 94% ✓ | FLA -17.5 | UVA +17.5 · covers 53% ✗ | FLA won by 18 · covered | 134.5 | 3 met · FLA 2 · UVA 1 | ||||
| Final | 54 | @ |
78 | WICH Banker 98% ✓ | WICH -24.5 | WICH won by 24 · not covered | 142.5 | OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (132) ✗ | 3 met · WICH 2 · ALCN 1 | ||||
| Final | 55 | @ |
103 | Never met | |||||||||
| Final | 70 | @ |
81 | ISU Solid 69% ✓ | ISU -5.5 | ISU won by 11 · covered | 152.5 | 1 met · ISU 1 · MARQ 0 | |||||
| Final | 87 | @ |
75 | UNCO Solid 66% ✗ | UNCO -4.5 | UNCO lost by 12 · not covered | 155.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 82 | @ |
77 | KC Solid 66% ✗ | KC -4.5 | KC lost by 5 · not covered | 138.5 | 3 met · KC 1 · IDHO 2 | |||||
| Final | 76 | @ |
83 | ORU Solid 66% ✓ | ORU -4.5 | ORU won by 7 · covered | 144.5 | 2 met · ORU 2 · NAU 0 | |||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
94 | SDAK Solid 62% ✓ | SDAK -3.5 | SDAK won by 14 · covered | 151.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 76 | @ |
65 | MTST Solid 66% ✓ | MTST -4.5 | MTST won by 11 · covered | 142.5 | 6 met · OMA 4 · MTST 2 | |||||
| Final | 57 | @ |
63 | LR Solid 81% ✓ | LR -9.5 | LR won by 6 · not covered | 140.5 | 15 met · LR 10 · CARK 5 | |||||
| Final | 71 | @ |
81 | MEM Solid 85% ✓ | MEM -11.5 | MEM won by 10 · not covered | 148.5 | 3 met · MEM 2 · LT 1 | |||||
| Final | 83 | @ |
56 | UNI -1.5 | UNI won by 27 · covered | 149.5 | 6 met · UIC 3 · UNI 3 | ||||||
| Final | 76 | @ |
55 | OKST Solid 69% ✓ | OKST -5.5 | OKST won by 21 · covered | 155.5 | 11 met · TLSA 3 · OKST 8 | |||||
| Final | Arlington Bapt | 49 | @ |
97 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | 64 | @ |
97 | WIU Banker 95% ✓ | 3 met · WIU 2 · STAM 1 | ||||||||
| Final | 56 | @ |
67 | HALL Banker 94% ✓ | HALL -17.5 | NJIT +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ | HALL won by 11 · not covered | 121.5 | 6 met · HALL 6 · NJIT 0 | ||||
| Final | 90 | @ |
72 | MSU Solid 66% ✓ | MSU -4.5 | MSU won by 18 · covered | 131.5 | 39 met · MINN 8 · MSU 31 | |||||
| Final | 63 | @ |
76 | KU Solid 62% ✗ | KU -3.5 | KU lost by 13 · not covered | 153.5 | 2 met · CREI 0 · KU 2 | |||||
| Final | 81 | @ |
87 | EWU Solid 75% ✓ | EWU -7.5 | EWU won by 6 · not covered | 150.5 | 12 met · EWU 6 · UND 6 | |||||
| Final | 77 | @ |
73 | WEB Solid 66% ✗ | WEB -4.5 | WEB lost by 4 · not covered | 140.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
71 | MONT -0.5 | MONT won by 4 · covered | 151.5 | 6 met · MONT 5 · SDST 1 | ||||||
| Final | 59 | @ |
80 | DEN -2.5 | DEN won by 21 · covered | 141.5 | 5 met · DEN 1 · SAC 4 | ||||||
| Final | 54 | @ |
83 | CSU Solid 78% ✓ | CSU -8.5 | CSU won by 29 · covered | 141.5 | 5 met · CSU 4 · LMU 1 | |||||
| Final | 77 | @ |
83 | UNM Banker 96% ✓ | UNM -19.5 | UNM won by 6 · not covered | 150.5 | 20 met · UNM 15 · SJSU 5 | |||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
70 | USU Banker 95% ✓ | USU -18.5 | USU won by 3 · not covered | 148.5 | 24 met · USU 15 · WYO 9 | |||||
| Final | Life Pacific | 57 | @ |
119 | PEPP Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · PEPP 1 · LPU 0 | |||||||
| Final | 78 | @ |
70 | NMSU -2.5 | NMSU lost by 8 · not covered | 138.5 | 4 met · NMSU 2 · ACU 2 | ||||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
64 | VAN Solid 69% ✓ | VAN -5.5 | VAN won by 16 · covered | 149.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 57 | @ |
90 | MSST Solid 69% ✓ | MSST -5.5 | MSST won by 33 · covered | 149.5 | 1 met · MSST 0 · PITT 1 | |||||
| Final | 63 | @ |
59 | TEX -2.5 | TEX won by 4 · covered | 147.5 | 2 met · NCSU 1 · TEX 1 | ||||||
| Final | 62 | @ |
76 | TTU Banker 89% ✓ | TTU -13.5 | DEP +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ | TTU won by 14 · covered | 147.5 | 2 met · TTU 0 · DEP 2 | ||||
| Final | 78 | @ |
84 | DUKE Solid 62% ✓ | DUKE -3.5 | DUKE won by 6 · covered | 146.5 | 1 met · DUKE 1 · AUB 0 | |||||
| Final | 74 | @ |
91 | SEA Solid 78% ✓ | SEA -8.5 | SEA won by 17 · covered | 145.5 | 9 met · SEA 4 · PRST 5 | |||||
| Final | 68 | @ |
60 | ORE Solid 72% ✓ | ORE -6.5 | ORE won by 8 · covered | 148.5 | 43 met · USC 15 · ORE 28 | |||||
| Final | 84 | @ |
62 | SDSU Banker 89% ✓ | SDSU -13.5 | FRES +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ | SDSU won by 22 · covered | 142.5 | 29 met · FRES 8 · SDSU 21 |