Friday, December 6, 2024 22 games

Today: winner picks 11 of 14 right · line picks 1 of 2 right · total picks 0 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	St Joseph's LI	46	@ Hofstra	114	HOF Banker 95% ✓								1 met · HOF 1 · SJLI 0
Final	Calumet	57	@ E Illinois	87									Never met
Final	Brown	76	@ Bryant	75	BRY Solid 69% ✗	BRY -5.5			BRY lost by 1 · not covered	154.5			15 met · BRY 4 · BRWN 11
Final	Delaware	66	@ Duquesne	80	DUQ Solid 62% ✓	DUQ -3.5			DUQ won by 14 · covered	145.5			Never met
Final	Siena	68	@ Niagara	69		NIA -2.5			NIA won by 1 · not covered	127.5			50 met · NIA 22 · SIE 28
Final	Kennesaw St	81	@ Georgia St	77		GAST -2.5			GAST lost by 4 · not covered	156.5			1 met · GAST 0 · KENN 1
Final	Merrimack	60	@ Canisius	52	MRMK Solid 72% ✓	MRMK -6.5			MRMK won by 8 · covered	133.5			Never met
Final	Quinnipiac	72	@ Rider	67		RID -1.5			RID lost by 5 · not covered	142.5			24 met · RID 13 · QUIN 11
Final	Mount St Marys	50	@ Marist	53	MRST Solid 69% ✓	MRST -5.5			MRST won by 3 · not covered	135.5			4 met · MRST 1 · MSM 3
Final	Iona	59	@ Sacred Heart	83		IONA -1.5			IONA lost by 24 · not covered	142.5			2 met · SHU 1 · IONA 1
Final	Georgetown	60	@ West Virginia	73	WVU Solid 78% ✓	WVU -8.5			WVU won by 13 · covered	144.5			16 met · WVU 9 · GTWN 7
Final	Miami OH	57	@ Indiana	76	IU Banker 95% ✓	IU -18.5			IU won by 19 · covered	150.5			1 met · IU 1 · M-OH 0
Final	Charleston So	72	@ Davidson	73	DAV Banker 91% ✓	DAV -14.5		CHSO +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	DAV won by 1 · not covered	146.5			1 met · DAV 1 · CHSO 0
Final	Portland	57	@ Kent State	76	KENT Banker 89% ✓	KENT -13.5		PORT +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	KENT won by 19 · covered	140.5			1 met · KENT 1 · PORT 0
Final	Trinity (FL)	58	@ Florida A&M	130									Never met
Final	New College	63	@ FIU	70									Never met
Final	Manhattan	70	@ Saint Peter's	67	SPU Solid 78% ✗	SPU -8.5			SPU lost by 3 · not covered	134.5			48 met · SPU 21 · MAN 27
Final	Campbellsv HB	62	@ E Kentucky	98	EKU Banker 95% ✓								1 met · EKU 1 · CBVH 0
Final	Prairie View	66	@ UAB	95	UAB Banker 98% ✓	UAB -25.5			UAB won by 29 · covered	171.5	OVER 171.5 · 52.3% (161) ✗		1 met · UAB 1 · PV 0
Final	North Texas	71	@ High Point	76		HPU -0.5			HPU won by 5 · covered	128.5			Never met
Final	East West	49	@ W Illinois	96	WIU Banker 95% ✓								Never met
Final	19Illinois	66	@ Northwestern	70	ILL Solid 62% ✗	ILL -3.5			ILL lost by 4 · not covered	142.5			41 met · NU 11 · ILL 30