Tuesday, December 3, 2024 56 games

Today: winner picks 36 of 46 right · line picks 3 of 5 right · total picks 5 of 7 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Maine Augusta	51	@ Maine	103	ME Banker 95% ✓								1 met · ME 1 · UMA 0
Final	VA Lynchburg	51	@ VMI	113	VMI Banker 95% ✓								2 met · VMI 2 · VUL 0
Final	E Illinois	58	@ Butler	73	BTLR Banker 97% ✓	BTLR -21.5			BTLR won by 15 · not covered	140.5	OVER 140.5 · 52.3% (131) ✗		1 met · BTLR 1 · EIU 0
Final	14Cincinnati	60	@ Villanova	68	CIN Solid 66% ✗	CIN -4.5			CIN lost by 8 · not covered	139.5			9 met · VILL 5 · CIN 4
Final	Delaware St	80	@ Delaware	93	DEL Banker 87% ✓	DEL -12.5		DSU +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	DEL won by 13 · covered	150.5			14 met · DEL 10 · DSU 4
Final	Mid Atl Chrstn	43	@ App State	85									Never met
Final	La Salle	68	@ Northeastern	82		NE -1.5			NE won by 14 · covered	148.5			3 met · NE 0 · LAS 3
Final	Princeton	77	@ Saint Joseph's	69	JOES Solid 69% ✗	JOES -5.5			JOES lost by 8 · not covered	151.5			7 met · JOES 5 · PRIN 2
Final	South Carolina	73	@ Boston College	51	SC Solid 66% ✓	SC -4.5			SC won by 22 · covered	136.5			2 met · BC 2 · SC 0
Final	California	93	@ Missouri	98	MIZ Solid 83% ✓	MIZ -10.5			MIZ won by 5 · not covered	150.5			3 met · MIZ 2 · CAL 1
Final	Lipscomb	80	@ Chattanooga	62		UTC -0.5			UTC lost by 18 · not covered	151.5			6 met · UTC 4 · LIP 2
Final	Winthrop	86	@ Queens	78	WIN Solid 66% ✓	WIN -4.5			WIN won by 8 · covered	157.5			3 met · QUC 0 · WIN 3
Final	Stetson	72	@ South Florida	74	USF Banker 89% ✓	USF -13.5		STET +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	USF won by 2 · not covered	153.5			9 met · USF 8 · STET 1
Final	NC A&T	71	@ Hampton	82	HAMP Solid 66% ✓	HAMP -4.5			HAMP won by 11 · covered	148.5			30 met · HAMP 18 · NCAT 12
Final	Notre Dame	48	@ Georgia	69	UGA Solid 81% ✓	UGA -9.5			UGA won by 21 · covered	140.5			3 met · UGA 2 · ND 1
Final	Arkansas	76	@ Miami	73	ARK Solid 66% ✓	ARK -4.5			ARK won by 3 · not covered	156.5			Never met
Final	UNC Asheville	52	@ George Mason	74	GMU Solid 83% ✓	GMU -10.5			GMU won by 22 · covered	141.5			Never met
Final	W Michigan	69	@ Dayton	77	DAY Banker 98% ✓	DAY -24.5			DAY won by 8 · not covered	143.5	OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (146) ✓		2 met · DAY 2 · WMU 0
Final	High Point	68	@ UNC Greensboro	72		UNCG -0.5			UNCG won by 4 · covered	138.5			8 met · UNCG 1 · HPU 7
Final	Presbyterian	63	@ Florida A&M	66	PRES Solid 66% ✗	PRES -4.5			PRES lost by 3 · not covered	138.5			2 met · FAMU 1 · PRES 1
Final	ETSU	61	@ James Madison	71	JMU Solid 66% ✓	JMU -4.5			JMU won by 10 · covered	142.5			2 met · JMU 1 · ETSU 1
Final	Santa Clara	74	@ McNeese	67	MCN Solid 69% ✗	MCN -5.5			MCN lost by 7 · not covered	146.5			Never met
Final	Dartmouth	69	@ New Hampshire	65		DART -2.5			DART won by 4 · covered	141.5			19 met · UNH 13 · DART 6
Final	N Kentucky	73	@ Akron	86	AKR Solid 72% ✓	AKR -6.5			AKR won by 13 · covered	144.5			1 met · AKR 1 · NKU 0
Final	Pitt-Bradford	65	@ Buffalo	100	BUF Banker 95% ✓								1 met · BUF 1 · PITB 0
Final	Benedictine IL	70	@ N Illinois	89									Never met
Final	Army	103	@ Le Moyne	100		ARMY -1.5			ARMY won by 3 · covered	142.5			1 met · LEM 0 · ARMY 1
Final	Northwestern	79	@ Iowa	80	IOWA Solid 69% ✓	IOWA -5.5			IOWA won by 1 · not covered	148.5			39 met · IOWA 25 · NU 14
Final	Brown	60	@ Vermont	53	UVM Solid 69% ✗	UVM -5.5			UVM lost by 7 · not covered	134.5			3 met · UVM 3 · BRWN 0
Final	UNC Wilmington	67	@ East Carolina	53	ECU Solid 72% ✗	ECU -6.5			ECU lost by 14 · not covered	139.5			13 met · ECU 6 · UNCW 7
Final	Saint Peter's	62	@ Duquesne	59	DUQ Solid 66% ✗	DUQ -4.5			DUQ lost by 3 · not covered	127.5			1 met · DUQ 1 · SPU 0
Final	Tusculum	71	@ Charleston	94									Never met
Final	Toccoa Falls	57	@ The Citadel	94	CIT Banker 95% ✓								4 met · CIT 4 · TOCC 0
Final	Ark Baptist	56	@ Grambling	82	GRAM Banker 95% ✓								Never met
Final	Syracuse	70	@ 3Tennessee	96	TENN Banker 98% ✓	TENN -22.5			TENN won by 26 · covered	144.5	OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (166) ✓		1 met · TENN 1 · SYR 0
Final	Sam Houston	71	@ Indiana	97	IU Banker 89% ✓	IU -13.5		SHSU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	IU won by 26 · covered	154.5			1 met · IU 1 · SHSU 0
Final	UT Martin	68	@ Charleston So	83	CHSO Solid 66% ✓	CHSO -4.5			CHSO won by 15 · covered	142.5			Never met
Final	Alabama St	72	@ SMU	101	SMU Banker 97% ✓	SMU -21.5			SMU won by 29 · covered	156.5	OVER 156.5 · 52.3% (173) ✓		3 met · SMU 2 · ALST 1
Final	Bradley	83	@ S Illinois	60	BRAD Solid 66% ✓	BRAD -4.5			BRAD won by 23 · covered	147.5			49 met · SIU 26 · BRAD 23
Final	Evansville	61	@ Murray St	63	MUR Banker 89% ✓	MUR -13.5		EVAN +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	MUR won by 2 · not covered	145.5			13 met · MUR 10 · EVAN 3
Final	Dallas Chrstn	50	@ Tarleton St	90	TAR Banker 95% ✓								2 met · TAR 2 · DCC 0
Final	E Michigan	54	@ Loyola Chicago	76	LUC Banker 95% ✓	LUC -18.5			LUC won by 22 · covered	144.5			Never met
Final	Park U Gilbert	55	@ Southern Utah	90									Never met
Final	23Ole Miss	86	@ Louisville	63	LOU Solid 62% ✗	LOU -3.5			LOU lost by 23 · not covered	152.5			1 met · LOU 1 · MISS 0
Final	Wake Forest	44	@ 22Texas A&M	57	TA&M Solid 78% ✓	TA&M -8.5			TA&M won by 13 · covered	142.5			1 met · TA&M 1 · WAKE 0
Final	Florida St	75	@ LSU	85	LSU Solid 66% ✓	LSU -4.5			LSU won by 10 · covered	150.5			2 met · LSU 1 · FSU 1
Final	Georgia Tech	61	@ 21Oklahoma	76	OU Solid 85% ✓	OU -11.5			OU won by 15 · covered	149.5			Never met
Final	Michigan	67	@ 11Wisconsin	64	WIS Solid 62% ✗	WIS -3.5			WIS lost by 3 · not covered	150.5			38 met · WIS 25 · MICH 13
Final	Utah Tech	64	@ Boise St	87	BOIS Banker 98% ✓	BOIS -23.5			BOIS won by 23 · not covered	148.5	OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (151) ✓		Never met
Final	San Diego	53	@ Arizona St	90	ASU Banker 97% ✓	ASU -21.5			ASU won by 37 · covered	150.5	OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (143) ✗		3 met · ASU 2 · USD 1
Final	Hawai'i	72	@ Grand Canyon	78	GCU Banker 91% ✓	GCU -14.5		HAW +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	GCU won by 6 · not covered	143.5			Never met
Final	BYU	64	@ Providence	83	BYU Solid 66% ✗	BYU -4.5			BYU lost by 19 · not covered	143.5			Never met
Final	4Kentucky	66	@ Clemson	70		UK -1.5			UK lost by 4 · not covered	158.5			Never met
Final	Utah Valley	63	@ Stanford	77	STAN Solid 85% ✓	STAN -11.5			STAN won by 14 · covered	140.5			Never met
Final	UTSA	74	@ Saint Mary's	82	SMC Banker 98% ✓	SMC -22.5			SMC won by 8 · not covered	141.5	OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (156) ✓		Never met
Final	Washington	58	@ UCLA	69	UCLA Solid 85% ✓	UCLA -11.5			UCLA won by 11 · not covered	137.5			41 met · UCLA 26 · WASH 15