Monday, December 2, 2024 16 games
Today: winner picks 9 of 12 right · line picks 1 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  UMBC
|
62 | @  Georgetown
|
86 | GTWN Banker 93% ✓ | GTWN -16.5 | UMBC +16.5 · covers 53% ✗ | GTWN won by 24 · covered | 159.5 | 5 met · GTWN 5 · UMBC 0 | |||
| Final |  Yale
|
78 | @  Rhode Island
|
84 | URI -2.5 | URI won by 6 · covered | 155.5 | 4 met · URI 3 · YALE 1 | |||||
| Final |  Air Force
|
60 | @  Miami OH
|
73 | M-OH Solid 72% ✓ | M-OH -6.5 | M-OH won by 13 · covered | 131.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final |  Loyola MD
|
68 | @  Coppin St
|
57 | L-MD Solid 75% ✓ | L-MD -7.5 | L-MD won by 11 · covered | 132.5 | 7 met · COPP 4 · L-MD 3 | ||||
| Final |  Bryant
|
78 | @  Drexel
|
73 | DREX -1.5 | DREX lost by 5 · not covered | 148.5 | 2 met · DREX 1 · BRY 1 | |||||
| Final | Oakwood | 71 | @  Miss Valley St
|
91 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final |  William & Mary
|
83 | @  Old Dominion
|
88 | W&M Solid 75% ✗ | W&M -7.5 | W&M lost by 5 · not covered | 157.5 | 36 met · ODU 24 · W&M 12 | ||||
| Final | Columbia Int'l | 59 | @  Jax State
|
89 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final |  SE Louisiana
|
71 | @  Tulane
|
67 | TULN Solid 75% ✗ | TULN -7.5 | TULN lost by 4 · not covered | 139.5 | 7 met · TULN 5 · SELA 2 | ||||
| Final |  UT Arlington
|
84 | @  UL Monroe
|
70 | UTA Solid 72% ✓ | UTA -6.5 | UTA won by 14 · covered | 149.5 | 29 met · ULM 10 · UTA 19 | ||||
| Final |  Jackson St
|
66 | @  Saint Louis
|
74 | SLU Banker 96% ✓ | SLU -19.5 | SLU won by 8 · not covered | 154.5 | 1 met · SLU 1 · JKST 0 | ||||
| Final |  Chicago St
|
76 | @  St Thomas
|
98 | STMN Banker 96% ✓ | STMN -19.5 | STMN won by 22 · covered | 140.5 | 3 met · STMN 2 · CHST 1 | ||||
| Final | East West | 46 | @  S Indiana
|
104 | USI Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · USI 1 · EAWE 0 | |||||||
| Final | Dkta Wesleyan | 62 | @  S Dakota St
|
78 | SDST Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · SDST 1 · DWU 0 | |||||||
| Final |  Pacific
|
66 | @  Colorado
|
75 | COLO Banker 91% ✓ | COLO -14.5 | PAC +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ | COLO won by 9 · not covered | 144.5 | Never met | |||
| Final |  Washington St
|
68 | @  Nevada
|
57 | NEV Solid 85% ✗ | NEV -11.5 | NEV lost by 11 · not covered | 146.5 | Never met |