Sunday, December 1, 2024 34 games
Today: winner picks 22 of 28 right · line picks 0 of 3 right · total picks 5 of 10 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  Alcorn St
|
58 | @  Maryland
|
96 | MD Banker 98% ✓ | MD -34.5 | MD won by 38 · covered | 138.5 | OVER 138.5 · 52.3% (154) ✓ | 1 met · MD 1 · ALCN 0 | |||
| Final |  NJIT
|
68 | @  UMass
|
80 | MASS Banker 95% ✓ | MASS -18.5 | MASS won by 12 · not covered | 139.5 | 1 met · MASS 1 · NJIT 0 | ||||
| Final |  Maine
|
71 | vs  Navy
|
66 | ME -2.5 | ME won by 5 · covered | 132.5 | UNDER 132.5 · 51.8% (137) ✗ | Never met | ||||
| Final |  Long Island
|
52 | vs  Niagara
|
60 | NIA Solid 62% ✓ | NIA -3.5 | NIA won by 8 · covered | 136.5 | UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (112) ✓ | 2 met · NIA 1 · LIU 1 | |||
| Final | Regent | 55 | @  Longwood
|
108 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final |  UMass Lowell
|
67 | @  C Connecticut
|
69 | UML Solid 66% ✗ | UML -4.5 | UML lost by 2 · not covered | 143.5 | 7 met · CCSU 4 · UML 3 | ||||
| Final |  Norfolk St
|
77 | @  Stony Brook
|
66 | NORF Solid 69% ✓ | NORF -5.5 | NORF won by 11 · covered | 140.5 | 5 met · STBK 4 · NORF 1 | ||||
| Final |  AR-Pine Bluff
|
73 | @  Kansas St
|
120 | KSU Banker 98% ✓ | KSU -34.5 | KSU won by 47 · covered | 158.5 | OVER 158.5 · 52.3% (193) ✓ | 4 met · KSU 4 · UAPB 0 | |||
| Final |  Buffalo
|
64 | @  Penn State
|
87 | PSU Banker 98% ✓ | PSU -28.5 | PSU won by 23 · not covered | 160.5 | OVER 160.5 · 52.3% (151) ✗ | 3 met · PSU 2 · BUF 1 | |||
| Final |  Rice
|
70 | vs  Iona
|
66 | RICE Solid 66% ✓ | RICE -4.5 | RICE won by 4 · not covered | 133.5 | UNDER 133.5 · 51.8% (136) ✗ | Never met | |||
| Final |  New Hampshire
|
61 | @  Fordham
|
83 | FOR Banker 92% ✓ | FOR -15.5 | UNH +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ | FOR won by 22 · covered | 139.5 | 2 met · FOR 2 · UNH 0 | |||
| Final |  UNC Asheville
|
92 | @  Tennessee St
|
74 | UNCA -1.5 | UNCA won by 18 · covered | 153.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final |  FDU
|
74 | @  Fairfield
|
78 | FAIR Solid 78% ✓ | FAIR -8.5 | FAIR won by 4 · not covered | 151.5 | 3 met · FAIR 2 · FDU 1 | ||||
| Final |  Radford
|
79 | @  Saint Francis
|
70 | RAD Solid 72% ✓ | RAD -6.5 | RAD won by 9 · covered | 136.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final | Central Penn | 70 | @  Morgan St
|
123 | MORG Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · MORG 1 · CPC 0 | |||||||
| Final |  Purdue NW
|
69 | @  C Michigan
|
115 | CMU Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · CMU 1 · PNW 0 | |||||||
| Final |  Elon
|
68 | @  Penn
|
53 | ELON -2.5 | ELON won by 15 · covered | 141.5 | 2 met · PENN 2 · ELON 0 | |||||
| Final |  Binghamton
|
82 | @  Lafayette
|
81 | LAF Solid 72% ✗ | LAF -6.5 | LAF lost by 1 · not covered | 127.5 | 2 met · LAF 1 · BING 1 | ||||
| Final |  Bethune
|
62 | @  Minnesota
|
79 | MINN Banker 93% ✓ | MINN -16.5 | BCU +16.5 · covers 53% ✗ | MINN won by 17 · covered | 129.5 | 2 met · MINN 2 · BCU 0 | |||
| Final |  E Kentucky
|
74 | @  Troy
|
84 | TROY Solid 78% ✓ | TROY -8.5 | TROY won by 10 · covered | 146.5 | 2 met · TROY 1 · EKU 1 | ||||
| Final |  North Florida
|
72 | @  Nebraska
|
103 | NEB Banker 94% ✓ | NEB -17.5 | UNF +17.5 · covers 53% ✗ | NEB won by 31 · covered | 158.5 | Never met | |||
| Final |  North Alabama
|
54 | @  Wofford
|
74 | WOF Solid 66% ✓ | WOF -4.5 | WOF won by 20 · covered | 144.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final |  CA Baptist
|
59 | @  UCF
|
74 | UCF Solid 81% ✓ | UCF -9.5 | UCF won by 15 · covered | 149.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final | Notre Dame MD | 52 | @  American
|
97 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final |  Sacred Heart
|
73 | @  Boston U
|
65 | BU Solid 69% ✗ | BU -5.5 | BU lost by 8 · not covered | 139.5 | 1 met · BU 1 · SHU 0 | ||||
| Final |  Quinnipiac
|
74 | @  Stonehill
|
88 | QUIN Solid 72% ✗ | QUIN -6.5 | QUIN lost by 14 · not covered | 139.5 | 2 met · STO 0 · QUIN 2 | ||||
| Final |  MTSU
|
76 | @  UAB
|
69 | UAB Solid 78% ✗ | UAB -8.5 | UAB lost by 7 · not covered | 155.5 | 27 met · UAB 17 · MTSU 10 | ||||
| Final |  Missouri St
|
72 | @  Oral Roberts
|
67 | MOST -1.5 | MOST won by 5 · covered | 140.5 | 17 met · ORU 8 · MOST 9 | |||||
| Final |  SC State
|
68 | @  22Xavier
|
71 | XAV Banker 98% ✓ | XAV -26.5 | XAV won by 3 · not covered | 147.5 | OVER 147.5 · 52.3% (139) ✗ | Never met | |||
| Final |  Arkansas St
|
66 | vs  Hofstra
|
68 | ARST Solid 72% ✗ | ARST -6.5 | ARST lost by 2 · not covered | 140.5 | UNDER 140.5 · 51.8% (134) ✓ | Never met | |||
| Final |  Texas St
|
72 | @  Texas Southern
|
59 | TXST Solid 66% ✓ | TXST -4.5 | TXST won by 13 · covered | 138.5 | 2 met · TXSO 1 · TXST 1 | ||||
| Final |  Denver
|
90 | @  Portland
|
101 | PORT Solid 72% ✓ | PORT -6.5 | PORT won by 11 · covered | 147.5 | 2 met · PORT 2 · DEN 0 | ||||
| Final |  Mercyhurst
|
59 | @  San Francisco
|
87 | SF Banker 98% ✓ | SF -30.5 | SF won by 28 · not covered | 133.5 | OVER 133.5 · 52.3% (146) ✓ | Never met | |||
| Final |  Tarleton St
|
71 | vs  Indiana St
|
87 | INST Solid 78% ✓ | INST -8.5 | INST won by 16 · covered | 143.5 | UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (158) ✗ | Never met |