Saturday, November 30, 2024 68 games

Today: winner picks 40 of 58 right · line picks 7 of 10 right · total picks 13 of 23 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Southern	73	@ Louisiana Tech	70	LT Banker 92% ✗	LT -15.5		SOU +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	LT lost by 3 · not covered	140.5			8 met · LT 6 · SOU 2
Final	Monmouth	63	@ Seton Hall	51	HALL Banker 87% ✗	HALL -12.5		MONM +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	HALL lost by 12 · not covered	129.5			12 met · HALL 12 · MONM 0
Final	Colgate	78	vs Sam Houston	82	SHSU Solid 72% ✓	SHSU -6.5			SHSU won by 4 · not covered	137.5	UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (160) ✗		Never met
Final	Chicago St	53	@ 15Wisconsin	74	WIS Banker 98% ✓	WIS -34.5			WIS won by 21 · not covered	148.5	OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (127) ✗		4 met · WIS 4 · CHST 0
Final	C Arkansas	68	@ Georgia Tech	87	GT Banker 98% ✓	GT -22.5			GT won by 19 · not covered	151.5	OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (155) ✓		Never met
Final	Northeastern	64	@ Vermont	68	UVM Solid 66% ✓	UVM -4.5			UVM won by 4 · not covered	129.5			14 met · UVM 9 · NE 5
Final	Campbell	72	@ Green Bay	66	GB Solid 69% ✗	GB -5.5			GB lost by 6 · not covered	153.5			Never met
Final	21Creighton	80	vs Notre Dame	76	CREI Solid 75% ✓	CREI -7.5			CREI won by 4 · not covered	142.5	UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (156) ✗		1 met · ND 0 · CREI 1
Final	Delaware	72	@ Rider	66		RID -1.5			RID lost by 6 · not covered	145.5			10 met · RID 7 · DEL 3
Final	W Carolina	62	@ 10Marquette	94	MARQ Banker 98% ✓	MARQ -32.5			MARQ won by 32 · not covered	151.5	OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (156) ✓		3 met · MARQ 3 · WCU 0
Final	Charleston So	83	@ Miami	79	MIA Banker 98% ✗	MIA -25.5			MIA lost by 4 · not covered	150.5	OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (162) ✓		Never met
Final	Milwaukee	65	@ Southern Miss	66		MILW -2.5			MILW lost by 1 · not covered	156.5			1 met · USM 1 · MILW 0
Final	Iona	80	vs Indiana St	83	INST Solid 62% ✓	INST -3.5			INST won by 3 · not covered	148.5	UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (163) ✗		2 met · INST 1 · IONA 1
Final	SC Upstate	51	@ Coastal	73	CCU Solid 72% ✓	CCU -6.5			CCU won by 22 · covered	147.5			3 met · CCU 2 · UPST 1
Final	Pfeiffer	50	@ High Point	81	HPU Banker 95% ✓								1 met · HPU 1 · PFEI 0
Final	Robert Morris	68	@ Ohio	84	OHIO Solid 83% ✓	OHIO -10.5			OHIO won by 16 · covered	146.5			5 met · OHIO 1 · RMU 4
Final	Navy	63	vs Elon	69	ELON Solid 66% ✓	ELON -4.5			ELON won by 6 · covered	143.5	UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (132) ✓		4 met · ELON 2 · NAVY 2
Final	Binghamton	75	vs Long Island	70		BING -0.5			BING won by 5 · covered	134.5	UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (145) ✗		6 met · LIU 2 · BING 4
Final	Purdue FW	77	@ East Texas A&M	57	PFW Solid 78% ✓	PFW -8.5			PFW won by 20 · covered	148.5			2 met · ETAM 0 · PFW 2
Final	Mount St Marys	79	@ Howard	75	HOW Solid 75% ✗	HOW -7.5			HOW lost by 4 · not covered	139.5			4 met · HOW 2 · MSM 2
Final	Trinity Chrstn	49	@ IU Indy	106									Never met
Final	New Mexico St	60	vs Bowling Green	61	NMSU Solid 62% ✗	NMSU -3.5			NMSU lost by 1 · not covered	144.5	UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (121) ✓		Never met
Final	CSU Northridge	72	@ Montana St	69	MTST Solid 66% ✗	MTST -4.5			MTST lost by 3 · not covered	152.5			4 met · MTST 1 · CSUN 3
Final	App State	61	@ UNC Wilmington	76	UNCW Solid 62% ✓	UNCW -3.5			UNCW won by 15 · covered	134.5			3 met · UNCW 1 · APP 2
Final	Nicholls	76	@ Louisiana	75		UL -1.5			UL lost by 1 · not covered	146.5			3 met · UL 3 · NICH 0
Final	VA Lynchburg	51	@ NC Central	131	NCCU Banker 95% ✓								2 met · NCCU 2 · VUL 0
Final	20Texas A&M	81	vs Rutgers	77	TA&M Solid 69% ✓	TA&M -5.5			TA&M won by 4 · not covered	150.5	UNDER 150.5 · 51.8% (158) ✗		Never met
Final	Temple	75	@ La Salle	83		LAS -0.5			LAS won by 8 · covered	149.5			29 met · LAS 5 · TEM 24
Final	UAlbany	68	@ Georgetown	100	GTWN Banker 89% ✓	GTWN -13.5		UALB +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	GTWN won by 32 · covered	147.5			Never met
Final	Hou Christian	71	@ UTSA	78	UTSA Banker 87% ✓	UTSA -12.5		HCU +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	UTSA won by 7 · not covered	148.5			3 met · UTSA 3 · HCU 0
Final	Austin Peay	57	@ ETSU	79	ETSU Solid 78% ✓	ETSU -8.5			ETSU won by 22 · covered	137.5			5 met · ETSU 3 · APSU 2
Final	Hofstra	59	vs Tarleton St	61	HOF Solid 83% ✗	HOF -10.5			HOF lost by 2 · not covered	125.5	UNDER 125.5 · 51.8% (120) ✓		Never met
Final	Prairie View	74	@ Texas A&M-CC	109	AMCC Banker 91% ✓	AMCC -14.5		PV +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	AMCC won by 35 · covered	165.5			4 met · AMCC 3 · PV 1
Final	Maine	64	@ Penn	77		PENN -0.5			PENN won by 13 · covered	137.5			Never met
Final	Niagara	47	@ Lafayette	59	LAF Solid 66% ✓	LAF -4.5			LAF won by 12 · covered	134.5			Never met
Final	Weber St	68	vs Pepperdine	53	WEB Solid 62% ✓	WEB -3.5			WEB won by 15 · covered	140.5	UNDER 140.5 · 51.8% (121) ✓		2 met · PEPP 1 · WEB 1
Final	Harvard	64	@ St John's	77	SJU Banker 98% ✓	SJU -25.5			SJU won by 13 · not covered	144.5	OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (141) ✗		Never met
Final	E Washington	80	@ Utah	88	UTAH Banker 98% ✓	UTAH -22.5			UTAH won by 8 · not covered	152.5	OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (168) ✓		2 met · UTAH 2 · EWU 0
Final	UC Riverside	68	@ Idaho	80	UCR Solid 62% ✗	UCR -3.5			UCR lost by 12 · not covered	142.5			12 met · IDHO 6 · UCR 6
Final	Furman	51	@ 1Kansas	86	KU Banker 97% ✓	KU -21.5			KU won by 35 · covered	148.5	OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (137) ✗		Never met
Final	Siena	71	vs Bucknell	58	BUCK Solid 62% ✗	BUCK -3.5			BUCK lost by 13 · not covered	133.5	UNDER 133.5 · 51.8% (129) ✓		6 met · BUCK 2 · SIE 4
Final	FGCU	80	@ FAU	78	FAU Banker 91% ✗	FAU -14.5		FGCU +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	FAU lost by 2 · not covered	144.5			8 met · FAU 4 · FGCU 4
Final	GA Southern	47	@ Drake	61	DRKE Banker 91% ✓	DRKE -14.5		GASO +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	DRKE won by 14 · not covered	143.5			2 met · DRKE 2 · GASO 0
Final	Bellarmine	70	@ N Kentucky	86	NKU Solid 83% ✓	NKU -10.5			NKU won by 16 · covered	135.5			Never met
Final	Bethany (WV)	60	@ Youngstown St	128	YSU Banker 95% ✓								1 met · YSU 1 · BCWV 0
Final	Jacksonville	56	@ Georgia	102	UGA Banker 93% ✓	UGA -16.5		JAX +16.5 · covers 53% ✗	UGA won by 46 · covered	142.5			4 met · UGA 4 · JAX 0
Final	MD Eastern	45	@ 2UConn	99	CONN Banker 98% ✓	CONN -40.5			CONN won by 54 · covered	143.5	OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (144) ✓		2 met · CONN 2 · UMES 0
Final	Arkansas St	67	vs Rice	75	ARST Solid 78% ✗	ARST -8.5			ARST lost by 8 · not covered	141.5	UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (142) ✗		Never met
Final	Lady of Lake	54	@ Lamar	88	LAM Banker 95% ✓								2 met · LAM 2 · OLLU 0
Final	Detroit Mercy	98	@ E Michigan	89	EMU Solid 75% ✗	EMU -7.5			EMU lost by 9 · not covered	134.5			13 met · EMU 5 · DETM 8
Final	Oakland	85	@ Toledo	52	TOL Solid 78% ✗	TOL -8.5			TOL lost by 33 · not covered	147.5			13 met · TOL 8 · OAK 5
Final	Marist	69	@ Lehigh	74		LEH -1.5			LEH won by 5 · covered	139.5			6 met · LEH 6 · MRST 0
Final	Air Force	57	@ Wright St	70	WRST Solid 78% ✓	WRST -8.5			WRST won by 13 · covered	136.5			2 met · WRST 1 · AF 1
Final	La Verne	33	@ UC San Diego	109	UCSD Banker 95% ✓								1 met · UCSD 1 · ULV 0
Final	San Diego St	73	vs 6Houston	70	HOU Banker 89% ✗	HOU -13.5		SDSU +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	HOU lost by 3 · not covered	127.5	UNDER 127.5 · 51.8% (143) ✗		2 met · HOU 1 · SDSU 1
Final	Kent State	67	vs Kennesaw St	60	KENT Solid 69% ✓	KENT -5.5			KENT won by 7 · covered	140.5	UNDER 140.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓		2 met · KENN 0 · KENT 2
Final	Fullerton	55	@ Pacific	64	PAC Solid 66% ✓	PAC -4.5			PAC won by 9 · covered	138.5			29 met · PAC 15 · CSUF 14
Final	Lipscomb	82	@ Alabama A&M	44	LIP Solid 85% ✓	LIP -11.5			LIP won by 38 · covered	151.5			3 met · AAMU 1 · LIP 2
Final	Utah Tech	68	@ Portland St	71	PRST Solid 72% ✓	PRST -6.5			PRST won by 3 · not covered	152.5			Never met
Final	Mercyhurst	66	@ Sacramento St	60	SAC Solid 75% ✗	SAC -7.5			SAC lost by 6 · not covered	129.5			Never met
Final	Abilene Chrstn	71	@ Omaha	55		ACU -1.5			ACU won by 16 · covered	142.5			1 met · OMA 0 · ACU 1
Final	Marshall	82	@ Western KY	90	WKU Solid 75% ✓	WKU -7.5			WKU won by 8 · covered	150.5			21 met · WKU 13 · MRSH 8
Final	Bakersfield	64	@ Southern Utah	74	SUU Solid 62% ✓	SUU -3.5			SUU won by 10 · covered	139.5			4 met · SUU 2 · CSUB 2
Final	Kansas City	59	@ SE Missouri	80		KC -2.5			KC lost by 21 · not covered	137.5			10 met · SEMO 6 · KC 4
Final	Oregon	83	vs 9Alabama	81	ALA Solid 75% ✗	ALA -7.5			ALA lost by 2 · not covered	165.5	UNDER 165.5 · 51.8% (164) ✓		5 met · ALA 2 · ORE 3
Final	Cal Poly	97	@ Stanford	90	STAN Banker 92% ✗	STAN -15.5		CP +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	STAN lost by 7 · not covered	154.5			5 met · STAN 5 · CP 0
Final	UC Davis	57	@ Oregon St	90	ORST Solid 85% ✓	ORST -11.5			ORST won by 33 · covered	140.5			3 met · ORST 2 · UCD 1
Final	UC Irvine	67	vs Towson	60	UCI Solid 81% ✓	UCI -9.5			UCI won by 7 · not covered	129.5	UNDER 129.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓		Never met