NCAA Predictor
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Friday, November 29, 2024 56 games

Today: winner picks 31 of 44 right · line picks 2 of 5 right · total picks 21 of 34 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Alcorn St 65 @ South Alabama 74 USA Banker 94% ✓ USA -17.5 ALCN +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ USA won by 9 · not covered 131.5 4 met · USA 4 · ALCN 0
Final Providence 73 vs 14Indiana 89 IU Solid 66% ✓ IU -4.5 IU won by 16 · covered 138.5 UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (162) ✗ 1 met · IU 1 · PROV 0
Final Dartmouth 88 @ Boston College 83 BC Banker 93% ✗ BC -16.5 DART +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ BC lost by 5 · not covered 139.5 6 met · BC 6 · DART 0
Final Colgate 50 vs App State 72 APP -1.5 APP won by 22 · covered 134.5 UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (122) ✓ Never met
Final Bowling Green 70 vs Weber St 73 WEB -2.5 WEB won by 3 · covered 143.5 UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (143) ✓ Never met
Final Minnesota 51 vs Wake Forest 57 WAKE -2.5 WAKE won by 6 · covered 127.5 UNDER 127.5 · 51.8% (108) ✓ 2 met · WAKE 0 · MINN 2
Final Valparaiso 70 @ DePaul 89 DEP Banker 91% ✓ DEP -14.5 VAL +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ DEP won by 19 · covered 150.5 1 met · DEP 1 · VAL 0
Final Tarleton St 51 vs Iona 62 IONA Solid 69% ✓ IONA -5.5 IONA won by 11 · covered 132.5 UNDER 132.5 · 51.8% (113) ✓ Never met
Final VMI 64 @ G Washington 77 GW Banker 97% ✓ GW -20.5 GW won by 13 · not covered 152.5 OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (141) ✗ 2 met · GW 2 · VMI 0
Final Niagara 65 vs Binghamton 62 NIA -1.5 NIA won by 3 · covered 135.5 UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓ 4 met · BING 2 · NIA 2
Final Maine 69 vs Elon 56 ELON Solid 66% ✗ ELON -4.5 ELON lost by 13 · not covered 137.5 UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (125) ✓ Never met
Final Judson 41 @ Bradley 107 BRAD Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · BRAD 1 · JUDU 0
Final Merrimack 72 @ Troy 68 TROY Solid 85% ✗ TROY -11.5 TROY lost by 4 · not covered 134.5 1 met · TROY 1 · MRMK 0
Final TCU 72 vs Colorado St 76 TCU Solid 66% ✗ TCU -4.5 TCU lost by 4 · not covered 139.5 UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (148) ✗ 16 met · CSU 10 · TCU 6
Final Pitt 91 @ Ohio State 90 OSU Solid 69% ✗ OSU -5.5 OSU lost by 1 · not covered 146.5 1 met · OSU 0 · PITT 1
Final N Illinois 59 @ E Illinois 72 EIU Solid 62% ✓ EIU -3.5 EIU won by 13 · covered 136.5 9 met · EIU 5 · NIU 4
Final Morehead St 71 @ Cleveland St 69 CLE Solid 69% ✗ CLE -5.5 CLE lost by 2 · not covered 128.5 Never met
Final Tennessee Tech 56 @ Vanderbilt 87 VAN Banker 98% ✓ VAN -23.5 VAN won by 31 · covered 155.5 OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (143) ✗ 3 met · VAN 3 · TNTC 0
Final 24Arizona 76 vs West Virginia 83 ARIZ Solid 72% ✗ ARIZ -6.5 ARIZ lost by 7 · not covered 151.5 UNDER 151.5 · 51.8% (159) ✗ 1 met · WVU 1 · ARIZ 0
Final Pepperdine 82 vs New Mexico St 70 NMSU Solid 69% ✗ NMSU -5.5 NMSU lost by 12 · not covered 138.5 UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (152) ✗ 2 met · NMSU 2 · PEPP 0
Final Wichita St 51 vs 18Florida 88 FLA Solid 83% ✓ FLA -10.5 FLA won by 37 · covered 155.5 UNDER 155.5 · 51.8% (139) ✓ Never met
Final NC State 61 vs BYU 72 BYU Solid 69% ✓ BYU -5.5 BYU won by 11 · covered 153.5 UNDER 153.5 · 51.8% (133) ✓ 3 met · BYU 1 · NCSU 2
Final Holy Cross 41 @ Virginia 67 UVA Banker 92% ✓ UVA -15.5 HC +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ UVA won by 26 · covered 126.5 Never met
Final George Mason 66 @ James Madison 61 GMU -1.5 GMU won by 5 · covered 140.5 30 met · JMU 6 · GMU 24
Final Central Penn 36 @ Liberty 93 LIB Banker 95% ✓ 3 met · LIB 3 · CPC 0
Final Sam Houston 60 @ UNC Wilmington 69 SHSU -1.5 SHSU lost by 9 · not covered 150.5 1 met · UNCW 0 · SHSU 1
Final West Georgia 65 @ Samford 86 SAM Banker 96% ✓ SAM -19.5 SAM won by 21 · covered 156.5 Never met
Final Indiana St 81 vs Arkansas St 86 ARST Solid 78% ✓ ARST -8.5 ARST won by 5 · not covered 156.5 UNDER 156.5 · 51.8% (167) ✗ 2 met · ARST 1 · INST 1
Final Navy 86 @ Penn 78 PENN Solid 62% ✗ PENN -3.5 PENN lost by 8 · not covered 141.5 9 met · PENN 5 · NAVY 4
Final Long Island 56 @ Lafayette 75 LAF Solid 62% ✓ LAF -3.5 LAF won by 19 · covered 141.5 5 met · LAF 2 · LIU 3
Final Santa Clara 69 vs Washington 76 SCU -1.5 SCU lost by 7 · not covered 147.5 UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (145) ✓ 2 met · WASH 2 · SCU 0
Final Gardner-Webb 74 @ Belmont 83 BEL Solid 75% ✓ BEL -7.5 BEL won by 9 · covered 152.5 13 met · BEL 9 · GWEB 4
Final NC A&T 69 @ East Carolina 93 ECU Banker 87% ✓ ECU -12.5 NCAT +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ ECU won by 24 · covered 151.5 8 met · ECU 7 · NCAT 1
Final Oklahoma 69 vs Louisville 64 LOU Solid 62% ✗ LOU -3.5 LOU lost by 5 · not covered 149.5 UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (133) ✓ 1 met · LOU 1 · OU 0
Final 23Ole Miss 78 vs 13Purdue 80 PUR Solid 62% ✓ PUR -3.5 PUR won by 2 · not covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (158) ✗ Never met
Final Utah State 61 vs North Texas 57 USU Solid 62% ✓ USU -3.5 USU won by 4 · covered 135.5 UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (118) ✓ 1 met · UNT 0 · USU 1
Final Elizabeth City 58 @ VCU 103 Never met
Final Florida A&M 58 @ Clemson 86 CLEM Banker 98% ✓ CLEM -32.5 CLEM won by 28 · not covered 141.5 OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (144) ✓ 2 met · CLEM 2 · FAMU 0
Final Seattle U 48 @ 11Duke 70 DUKE Banker 98% ✓ DUKE -27.5 DUKE won by 22 · not covered 140.5 OVER 140.5 · 52.3% (118) ✗ Never met
Final Georgia St 76 @ 8Kentucky 105 UK Banker 98% ✓ UK -30.5 UK won by 29 · not covered 161.5 OVER 161.5 · 52.3% (181) ✓ 2 met · UK 2 · GAST 0
Final Rice 63 vs Hofstra 68 HOF -1.5 HOF won by 5 · covered 134.5 UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (131) ✓ Never met
Final Le Moyne 81 @ Manhattan 77 MAN Solid 69% ✗ MAN -5.5 MAN lost by 4 · not covered 146.5 Never met
Final North Florida 78 @ SIUE 73 UNF -2.5 UNF won by 5 · covered 149.5 Never met
Final UNLV 61 vs Northwestern 66 NU Solid 66% ✓ NU -4.5 NU won by 5 · covered 135.5 UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓ Never met
Final Towson 63 vs Kennesaw St 67 TOW -2.5 TOW lost by 4 · not covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (130) ✓ 1 met · KENN 0 · TOW 1
Final SF Austin 68 @ UL Monroe 60 SFA Solid 66% ✓ SFA -4.5 SFA won by 8 · covered 129.5 18 met · ULM 7 · SFA 11
Final N'Western St 53 @ LSU 77 LSU Banker 95% ✓ LSU -18.5 LSU won by 24 · covered 142.5 10 met · LSU 10 · NWST 0
Final N Colorado 64 @ Texas Tech 89 TTU Banker 98% ✓ TTU -22.5 TTU won by 25 · covered 151.5 OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (153) ✓ 2 met · TTU 2 · UNCO 0
Final Davidson 65 vs 3Gonzaga 90 GONZ Banker 95% ✓ GONZ -18.5 GONZ won by 25 · covered 153.5 UNDER 153.5 · 51.8% (155) ✗ 3 met · GONZ 2 · DAV 1
Final Delaware St 68 @ Texas 90 TEX Banker 98% ✓ TEX -34.5 TEX won by 22 · not covered 140.5 OVER 140.5 · 52.3% (158) ✓ 1 met · TEX 1 · DSU 0
Final St Bonaventure 68 vs Northern Iowa 56 SBU -2.5 SBU won by 12 · covered 138.5 UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (124) ✓ 2 met · UNI 2 · SBU 0
Final Saint Mary's 64 vs Arizona St 68 SMC Solid 69% ✗ SMC -5.5 SMC lost by 4 · not covered 139.5 UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (132) ✓ 1 met · ASU 0 · SMC 1
Final Butler 87 vs 25Mississippi St 77 MSST Solid 78% ✗ MSST -8.5 MSST lost by 10 · not covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (164) ✗ 1 met · MSST 0 · BTLR 1
Final Miss Valley St 48 @ Santa Barbara 81 UCSB Banker 98% ✓ UCSB -31.5 UCSB won by 33 · covered 134.5 OVER 134.5 · 52.3% (129) ✗ Never met
Final UC Irvine 51 vs Kent State 39 UCI Solid 69% ✓ UCI -5.5 UCI won by 12 · covered 136.5 UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (90) ✓ 1 met · KENT 0 · UCI 1
Final USC 73 vs New Mexico 83 UNM Solid 69% ✓ UNM -5.5 UNM won by 10 · covered 153.5 UNDER 153.5 · 51.8% (156) ✗ 4 met · UNM 2 · USC 2