Tuesday, November 26, 2024 64 games

Today: winner picks 40 of 54 right · line picks 4 of 5 right · total picks 25 of 44 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Drexel	83	vs Chicago St	71	DREX Banker 95% ✓	DREX -18.5			DREX won by 12 · not covered	134.5	UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (154) ✗		Never met
Final	Duquesne	67	vs Old Dominion	54	DUQ Solid 81% ✓	DUQ -9.5			DUQ won by 13 · covered	139.5	UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (121) ✓		2 met · ODU 2 · DUQ 0
Final	Jacksonville	75	vs Siena	64	JAX Solid 69% ✓	JAX -5.5			JAX won by 11 · covered	129.5	UNDER 129.5 · 51.8% (139) ✗		Never met
Final	Tulsa	63	vs Detroit Mercy	44	TLSA Solid 81% ✓	TLSA -9.5			TLSA won by 19 · covered	141.5	UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (107) ✓		1 met · DETM 1 · TLSA 0
Final	E Kentucky	77	vs S Illinois	72	SIU Solid 62% ✗	SIU -3.5			SIU lost by 5 · not covered	149.5	UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (149) ✓		Never met
Final	SE Louisiana	69	vs Gardner-Webb	73	GWEB Solid 62% ✓	GWEB -3.5			GWEB won by 4 · covered	138.5	UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (142) ✗		1 met · GWEB 1 · SELA 0
Final	Hampton	73	vs High Point	76	HPU Solid 83% ✓	HPU -10.5			HPU won by 3 · not covered	138.5	UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (149) ✗		10 met · HPU 6 · HAMP 4
Final	Miami OH	75	vs Mercer	72	M-OH Solid 62% ✓	M-OH -3.5			M-OH won by 3 · not covered	152.5	UNDER 152.5 · 51.8% (147) ✓		Never met
Final	San Francisco	85	vs Fordham	64	SF Solid 85% ✓	SF -11.5			SF won by 21 · covered	141.5	UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (149) ✗		Never met
Final	21Creighton	53	vs San Diego St	71	CREI Solid 66% ✗	CREI -4.5			CREI lost by 18 · not covered	139.5	UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (124) ✓		5 met · SDSU 3 · CREI 2
Final	Georgia St	50	vs Austin Peay	62		GAST -0.5			GAST lost by 12 · not covered	145.5	UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (112) ✓		Never met
Final	North Dakota	67	vs Bethune	79	UND Solid 62% ✗	UND -3.5			UND lost by 12 · not covered	144.5	UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (146) ✗		Never met
Final	Louisiana Tech	65	vs Richmond	62	LT Solid 75% ✓	LT -7.5			LT won by 3 · not covered	135.5	UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓		Never met
Final	2UConn	72	vs Colorado	73	CONN Banker 91% ✗	CONN -14.5		COLO +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	CONN lost by 1 · not covered	143.5	UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (145) ✗		1 met · COLO 0 · CONN 1
Final	West Georgia	74	vs Utah Valley	77	UVU Banker 91% ✓	UVU -14.5		WGA +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	UVU won by 3 · not covered	138.5	UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (151) ✗		Never met
Final	Bryant	97	vs Tennessee St	85	BRY Solid 78% ✓	BRY -8.5			BRY won by 12 · covered	159.5	UNDER 159.5 · 51.8% (182) ✗		Never met
Final	Denver	54	vs Utah Tech	68		UTU -2.5			UTU won by 14 · covered	150.5	UNDER 150.5 · 51.8% (122) ✓		2 met · UTU 2 · DEN 0
Final	Clemson	75	vs Penn State	67		CLEM -1.5			CLEM won by 8 · covered	150.5	UNDER 150.5 · 51.8% (142) ✓		3 met · PSU 0 · CLEM 3
Final	20Texas A&M	70	vs Oregon	80	TA&M Solid 62% ✗	TA&M -3.5			TA&M lost by 10 · not covered	146.5	UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (150) ✗		1 met · ORE 0 · TA&M 1
Final	S Dakota St	75	vs Missouri St	55	SDST Solid 62% ✓	SDST -3.5			SDST won by 20 · covered	143.5	UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (130) ✓		2 met · MOST 2 · SDST 0
Final	UT Arlington	66	vs Murray St	79	MUR Solid 69% ✓	MUR -5.5			MUR won by 13 · covered	153.5	UNDER 153.5 · 51.8% (145) ✓		Never met
Final	Wyoming	64	vs Tulane	63		TULN -2.5			TULN lost by 1 · not covered	142.5	UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓		Never met
Final	NJIT	53	@ Cleveland St	56	CLE Banker 87% ✓	CLE -12.5		NJIT +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	CLE won by 3 · not covered	132.5			1 met · CLE 0 · NJIT 1
Final	Memphis	71	vs Michigan St	63		MSU -2.5			MSU lost by 8 · not covered	150.5	UNDER 150.5 · 51.8% (134) ✓		2 met · MSU 1 · MEM 1
Final	Ball State	94	vs Florida Tech	57									Never met
Final	Western KY	68	@ 8Kentucky	87	UK Banker 98% ✓	UK -24.5			UK won by 19 · not covered	165.5	OVER 165.5 · 52.3% (155) ✗		2 met · UK 2 · WKU 0
Final	Midway	60	@ Bellarmine	101	BELL Banker 95% ✓								2 met · BELL 2 · MIDW 0
Final	Radford	69	vs Purdue FW	56	PFW Solid 75% ✗	PFW -7.5			PFW lost by 13 · not covered	147.5	UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (125) ✓		Never met
Final	Coppin St	54	@ Saint Joseph's	83	JOES Banker 98% ✓	JOES -29.5			JOES won by 29 · not covered	141.5	OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (137) ✗		2 met · JOES 2 · COPP 0
Final	Manhattan	65	@ Virginia	74	UVA Banker 93% ✓	UVA -16.5		MAN +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	UVA won by 9 · not covered	128.5			Never met
Final	Wagner	41	@ Georgetown	66	GTWN Banker 91% ✓	GTWN -14.5		WAG +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	GTWN won by 25 · covered	128.5			Never met
Final	Stanford	71	vs Grand Canyon	78		STAN -1.5			STAN lost by 7 · not covered	143.5	UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (149) ✗		Never met
Final	Saint Peter's	78	@ FDU	76	SPU Solid 75% ✓	SPU -7.5			SPU won by 2 · not covered	142.5			20 met · FDU 8 · SPU 12
Final	VMI	67	@ Loyola MD	70	L-MD Solid 66% ✓	L-MD -4.5			L-MD won by 3 · not covered	144.5			2 met · L-MD 2 · VMI 0
Final	Lehigh	78	@ Saint Francis	88	LEH Solid 66% ✗	LEH -4.5			LEH lost by 10 · not covered	142.5			16 met · SFPA 5 · LEH 11
Final	SUNY Maritime	52	@ Army	91	ARMY Banker 95% ✓								6 met · ARMY 6 · NYMT 0
Final	PSU Wilkes-Bar	43	@ Delaware St	111	DSU Banker 95% ✓								Never met
Final	St Andrews	85	@ The Citadel	100	CIT Banker 95% ✓								1 met · CIT 1 · STAU 0
Final	W Carolina	57	@ Florida St	91	FSU Banker 97% ✓	FSU -20.5			FSU won by 34 · covered	146.5	OVER 146.5 · 52.3% (148) ✓		1 met · FSU 1 · WCU 0
Final	N Dakota St	98	@ Samford	103	SAM Solid 83% ✓	SAM -10.5			SAM won by 5 · not covered	154.5			Never met
Final	Boise St	61	vs Boston College	63	BOIS Solid 81% ✗	BOIS -9.5			BOIS lost by 2 · not covered	144.5	UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (124) ✓		Never met
Final	SC Upstate	77	@ Iowa	110	IOWA Banker 98% ✓	IOWA -28.5			IOWA won by 33 · covered	168.5	OVER 168.5 · 52.3% (187) ✓		Never met
Final	9Alabama	85	vs 6Houston	80	HOU Solid 62% ✗	HOU -3.5			HOU lost by 5 · not covered	150.5	UNDER 150.5 · 51.8% (165) ✗		2 met · HOU 0 · ALA 2
Final	Northern NM	50	@ N Colorado	92	UNCO Banker 95% ✓								5 met · UNCO 5 · NNMC 0
Final	Texas Lutheran	45	@ Texas A&M-CC	94	AMCC Banker 95% ✓								5 met · AMCC 5 · TXLU 0
Final	W Illinois	64	@ South Alabama	63	USA Solid 85% ✗	USA -11.5			USA lost by 1 · not covered	133.5			Never met
Final	Long Beach St	44	vs UTEP	70	UTEP Solid 75% ✓	UTEP -7.5			UTEP won by 26 · covered	131.5	UNDER 131.5 · 51.8% (114) ✓		Never met
Final	5Iowa State	89	vs Dayton	84	ISU Solid 81% ✓	ISU -9.5			ISU won by 5 · not covered	142.5	UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (173) ✗		Never met
Final	LMU	77	vs Belmont	63		BEL -2.5			BEL lost by 14 · not covered	153.5	UNDER 153.5 · 51.8% (140) ✓		Never met
Final	1Kansas	75	vs 11Duke	72	DUKE Solid 62% ✗	DUKE -3.5			DUKE lost by 3 · not covered	147.5	UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (147) ✓		7 met · DUKE 2 · KU 5
Final	Miss Valley St	48	@ Utah	94	UTAH Banker 98% ✓	UTAH -42.5			UTAH won by 46 · covered	141.5	OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (142) ✓		3 met · UTAH 3 · MVSU 0
Final	Abilene Chrstn	59	@ Montana St	85	MTST Solid 69% ✓	MTST -5.5			MTST won by 26 · covered	141.5			Never met
Final	Fullerton	72	@ Pepperdine	63	PEPP Solid 69% ✗	PEPP -5.5			PEPP lost by 9 · not covered	135.5			8 met · PEPP 2 · CSUF 6
Final	CA Baptist	77	vs SMU	79	SMU Solid 83% ✓	SMU -10.5			SMU won by 2 · not covered	153.5	UNDER 153.5 · 51.8% (156) ✗		Never met
Final	E Michigan	72	vs N Arizona	68	NAU Solid 62% ✗	NAU -3.5			NAU lost by 4 · not covered	136.5	UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (140) ✗		Never met
Final	Southern Utah	43	@ UCLA	88	UCLA Banker 98% ✓	UCLA -23.5			UCLA won by 45 · covered	142.5	OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (131) ✗		1 met · UCLA 1 · SUU 0
Final	E Washington	51	@ Santa Barbara	67	UCSB Solid 83% ✓	UCSB -10.5			UCSB won by 16 · covered	150.5			2 met · UCSB 1 · EWU 1
Final	Grambling	79	@ Cal Poly	82	CP Solid 69% ✓	CP -5.5			CP won by 3 · not covered	151.5			Never met
Final	Notre Dame	84	vs Rutgers	85		RUTG -1.5			RUTG won by 1 · not covered	145.5	UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (169) ✗		17 met · RUTG 5 · ND 12
Final	UNC Greensboro	64	vs San José St	69	UNCG Solid 66% ✗	UNCG -4.5			UNCG lost by 5 · not covered	135.5	UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (133) ✓		Never met
Final	4Auburn	85	vs 12North Carolina	72	AUB Solid 62% ✓	AUB -3.5			AUB won by 13 · covered	167.5	UNDER 167.5 · 51.8% (157) ✓		1 met · UNC 0 · AUB 1
Final	Furman	61	vs Seattle U	56		FUR -1.5			FUR won by 5 · covered	141.5	UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (117) ✓		Never met
Final	Fresno St	73	vs Washington St	84	WSU Solid 85% ✓	WSU -11.5			WSU won by 11 · not covered	160.5	UNDER 160.5 · 51.8% (157) ✓		4 met · WSU 3 · FRES 1
Final	HI Pacific	63	@ Hawai'i	67	HAW Banker 95% ✓								7 met · HAW 7 · HIPU 0