NCAA Predictor
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Monday, November 25, 2024 57 games

Today: winner picks 34 of 42 right · line picks 3 of 8 right · total picks 16 of 29 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Radford 63 vs Chicago St 48 RAD Banker 91% ✓ RAD -14.5 CHST +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ RAD won by 15 · covered 143.5 UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (111) ✓ Never met
Final Siena 58 vs Miami OH 70 M-OH Solid 66% ✓ M-OH -4.5 M-OH won by 12 · covered 136.5 UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (128) ✓ Never met
Final Hampton 64 vs Duquesne 59 DUQ Solid 72% ✗ DUQ -6.5 DUQ lost by 5 · not covered 137.5 UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (123) ✓ Never met
Final Champ Chrstn 58 @ Southern 121 SOU Banker 95% ✓ 5 met · SOU 5 · CHCC 0
Final Howard 77 @ UMBC 95 HOW -1.5 HOW lost by 18 · not covered 153.5 2 met · UMBC 0 · HOW 2
Final E Kentucky 61 vs Ball State 63 EKU Solid 62% ✗ EKU -3.5 EKU lost by 2 · not covered 148.5 UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (124) ✓ 4 met · BALL 1 · EKU 3
Final UAB 98 vs Louisiana 86 UAB Solid 85% ✓ UAB -11.5 UAB won by 12 · covered 157.5 UNDER 157.5 · 51.8% (184) ✗ 3 met · UL 0 · UAB 3
Final Drexel 81 vs Purdue FW 87 PFW Solid 69% ✓ PFW -5.5 PFW won by 6 · covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (168) ✗ Never met
Final Boise St 83 vs S Dakota St 82 BOIS Banker 87% ✓ BOIS -12.5 SDST +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ BOIS won by 1 · not covered 149.5 UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (165) ✗ 1 met · SDST 1 · BOIS 0
Final Memphis 99 vs 2UConn 97 CONN Solid 78% ✗ CONN -8.5 CONN lost by 2 · not covered 149.5 UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (196) ✗ 16 met · CONN 8 · MEM 8
Final Mercer 90 vs Jacksonville 89 JAX Solid 62% ✗ JAX -3.5 JAX lost by 1 · not covered 146.5 UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (179) ✗ 28 met · JAX 11 · MER 17
Final IU Indy 88 @ Alabama A&M 83 AAMU Solid 69% ✗ AAMU -5.5 AAMU lost by 5 · not covered 143.5 1 met · AAMU 0 · IUIN 1
Final S Illinois 79 vs Louisiana Tech 85 LT Solid 69% ✓ LT -5.5 LT won by 6 · covered 143.5 UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (164) ✗ 2 met · LT 1 · SIU 1
Final Illinois St 64 vs G Washington 72 GW -2.5 GW won by 8 · covered 147.5 UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (136) ✓ Never met
Final Penn State 85 vs Fordham 66 PSU Banker 93% ✓ PSU -16.5 FOR +16.5 · covers 53% ✗ PSU won by 19 · covered 152.5 UNDER 152.5 · 51.8% (151) ✓ 1 met · FOR 0 · PSU 1
Final Denver 60 vs CSU Northridge 89 CSUN Solid 75% ✓ CSUN -7.5 CSUN won by 29 · covered 155.5 UNDER 155.5 · 51.8% (149) ✓ 3 met · CSUN 1 · DEN 2
Final High Point 73 vs Old Dominion 67 HPU Banker 91% ✓ HPU -14.5 ODU +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ HPU won by 6 · not covered 145.5 UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (140) ✓ 1 met · ODU 1 · HPU 0
Final Longwood 64 vs Kansas St 80 KSU Solid 83% ✓ KSU -10.5 KSU won by 16 · covered 142.5 UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (144) ✗ 1 met · KSU 1 · LONG 0
Final Colorado 56 vs Michigan St 72 MSU Solid 75% ✓ MSU -7.5 MSU won by 16 · covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (128) ✓ 1 met · MSU 1 · COLO 0
Final Michigan 75 vs Virginia Tech 63 MICH Solid 83% ✓ MICH -10.5 MICH won by 12 · covered 146.5 UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (138) ✓ 2 met · VT 2 · MICH 0
Final Merrimack 74 @ UMass Lowell 81 UML Solid 72% ✓ UML -6.5 UML won by 7 · covered 137.5 4 met · UML 2 · MRMK 2
Final Florida Tech 57 vs Richmond 67 Never met
Final Long Island 65 @ Winthrop 87 WIN Banker 89% ✓ WIN -13.5 LIU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ WIN won by 22 · covered 152.5 Never met
Final Clemson 70 vs San Francisco 55 CLEM -2.5 CLEM won by 15 · covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (125) ✓ Never met
Final Cornell 84 @ Iona 68 COR -1.5 COR won by 16 · covered 156.5 Never met
Final Green Bay 69 @ Ohio State 102 OSU Banker 98% ✓ OSU -25.5 OSU won by 33 · covered 156.5 OVER 156.5 · 52.3% (171) ✓ 1 met · OSU 1 · GB 0
Final NC A&T 81 @ Buffalo 82 BUF -2.5 BUF won by 1 · not covered 159.5 1 met · BUF 1 · NCAT 0
Final New Hampshire 57 @ Columbia 83 COLU Banker 94% ✓ COLU -17.5 UNH +17.5 · covers 53% ✗ COLU won by 26 · covered 146.5 3 met · COLU 2 · UNH 1
Final Wash Coll (MD) 43 @ Navy 94 NAVY Banker 95% ✓ 9 met · NAVY 9 · WCMD 0
Final East Texas A&M 65 @ Stonehill 67 STO -2.5 STO won by 2 · not covered 137.5 1 met · STO 0 · ETAM 1
Final Carolina U 36 @ NC Central 91 Never met
Final Tennessee St 78 @ Chattanooga 85 UTC Solid 83% ✓ UTC -10.5 UTC won by 7 · not covered 152.5 4 met · UTC 4 · TNST 0
Final Le Moyne 77 @ UT Rio Grande 97 RGV Banker 89% ✓ RGV -13.5 LEM +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ RGV won by 20 · covered 152.5 Never met
Final Miss Christian 35 @ Nicholls 79 NICH Banker 95% ✓ 2 met · NICH 2 · MSC 0
Final Missouri St 74 vs Boston College 76 BC -2.5 BC won by 2 · not covered 133.5 UNDER 133.5 · 51.8% (150) ✗ Never met
Final Utah Tech 66 @ Montana 69 MONT Solid 83% ✓ MONT -10.5 MONT won by 3 · not covered 146.5 Never met
Final C Michigan 65 @ Minnesota 68 MINN Banker 89% ✓ MINN -13.5 CMU +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ MINN won by 3 · not covered 129.5 5 met · MINN 5 · CMU 0
Final E Michigan 74 @ Hou Christian 73 EMU -2.5 EMU won by 1 · not covered 130.5 Never met
Final Incarnate Word 63 @ South Alabama 84 USA Solid 75% ✓ USA -7.5 USA won by 21 · covered 141.5 Never met
Final UTSA 72 @ Troy 86 TROY Solid 83% ✓ TROY -10.5 TROY won by 14 · covered 151.5 2 met · TROY 0 · UTSA 2
Final Quinnipiac 67 @ Saint Louis 81 SLU Solid 83% ✓ SLU -10.5 SLU won by 14 · covered 158.5 Never met
Final Oregon St 55 @ North Texas 58 UNT Solid 69% ✓ UNT -5.5 UNT won by 3 · not covered 127.5 Never met
Final Indiana St 77 @ S Indiana 87 INST -2.5 INST lost by 10 · not covered 152.5 2 met · USI 1 · INST 1
Final MD Eastern 35 @ 19Arkansas 109 ARK Banker 98% ✓ ARK -35.5 ARK won by 74 · covered 145.5 OVER 145.5 · 52.3% (144) ✗ Never met
Final Randall 50 @ South Dakota 112 Never met
Final McNeese 58 vs Liberty 62 MCN -1.5 MCN lost by 4 · not covered 134.5 UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (120) ✓ 2 met · LIB 0 · MCN 2
Final 22Xavier 75 vs South Carolina 66 XAV Solid 66% ✓ XAV -4.5 XAV won by 9 · covered 148.5 UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (141) ✓ Never met
Final UTEP 65 vs San José St 71 UTEP Solid 66% ✗ UTEP -4.5 UTEP lost by 6 · not covered 136.5 UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (136) ✓ 7 met · SJSU 1 · UTEP 6
Final Rogers St 69 @ Oral Roberts 68 ORU Banker 95% ✗ 5 met · ORU 5 · RSU 0
Final Little Rock 34 @ Illinois 92 ILL Banker 98% ✓ ILL -23.5 ILL won by 58 · covered 152.5 OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (126) ✗ 1 met · ILL 1 · LR 0
Final 4Auburn 83 vs 5Iowa State 81 AUB Solid 62% ✓ AUB -3.5 AUB won by 2 · not covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (164) ✗ 2 met · ISU 1 · AUB 1
Final Justice 45 @ Weber St 93 Never met
Final Embry Rid (AZ) 46 @ Idaho St 97 Never met
Final Norfolk St 76 @ UC Davis 55 UCD Solid 72% ✗ UCD -6.5 UCD lost by 21 · not covered 146.5 Never met
Final Abilene Chrstn 82 vs Southern Miss 74 ACU Solid 62% ✓ ACU -3.5 ACU won by 8 · covered 149.5 UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (156) ✗ Never met
Final UNC Greensboro 71 vs Long Beach St 48 UNCG Solid 75% ✓ UNCG -7.5 UNCG won by 23 · covered 132.5 UNDER 132.5 · 51.8% (119) ✓ Never met
Final Dayton 90 vs 12North Carolina 92 UNC Solid 81% ✓ UNC -9.5 UNC won by 2 · not covered 159.5 UNDER 159.5 · 51.8% (182) ✗ 2 met · UNC 1 · DAY 1