NCAA Predictor
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Friday, November 22, 2024 82 games

Today: winner picks 48 of 64 right · line picks 2 of 6 right · total picks 20 of 42 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final VTSU Randolph 58 @ FDU 107 Never met
Final Bakersfield 54 @ FGCU 74 FGCU Solid 72% ✓ FGCU -6.5 FGCU won by 20 · covered 134.5 Never met
Final La Salle 83 vs UIC 96 LAS -1.5 LAS lost by 13 · not covered 148.5 UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (179) ✗ Never met
Final Drake 75 vs FAU 63 FAU Solid 66% ✗ FAU -4.5 FAU lost by 12 · not covered 142.5 UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (138) ✓ 1 met · FAU 0 · DRKE 1
Final Ohio 85 vs Portland 73 OHIO Solid 75% ✓ OHIO -7.5 OHIO won by 12 · covered 149.5 UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (158) ✗ 2 met · PORT 0 · OHIO 2
Final Longwood 89 vs UAB 81 UAB Solid 75% ✗ UAB -7.5 UAB lost by 8 · not covered 147.5 UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (170) ✗ Never met
Final PR-Mayaguez 50 vs UAlbany 93 Never met
Final East Carolina 71 vs Stetson 64 ECU Banker 87% ✓ ECU -12.5 STET +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ ECU won by 7 · not covered 143.5 UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (135) ✓ 2 met · STET 0 · ECU 2
Final Northeastern 60 vs FIU 58 NE Solid 66% ✓ NE -4.5 NE won by 2 · not covered 148.5 UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (118) ✓ Never met
Final Miami 74 vs Oklahoma St 80 MIA Solid 66% ✗ MIA -4.5 MIA lost by 6 · not covered 158.5 UNDER 158.5 · 51.8% (154) ✓ 1 met · OKST 0 · MIA 1
Final MTSU 95 vs South Florida 88 USF -1.5 USF lost by 7 · not covered 145.5 UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (183) ✗ Never met
Final LSU 63 vs Pitt 74 PITT Solid 75% ✓ PITT -7.5 PITT won by 11 · covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (137) ✓ Never met
Final Illinois St 68 vs McNeese 76 MCN Solid 83% ✓ MCN -10.5 MCN won by 8 · not covered 136.5 UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (144) ✗ 1 met · MCN 0 · ILST 1
Final Presbyterian 67 vs Youngstown St 42 YSU Solid 69% ✗ YSU -5.5 YSU lost by 25 · not covered 134.5 UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (109) ✓ Never met
Final James Madison 67 vs UC San Diego 73 JMU -2.5 JMU lost by 6 · not covered 142.5 UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (140) ✓ Never met
Final Kansas City 60 vs American 64 KC Solid 62% ✗ KC -3.5 KC lost by 4 · not covered 133.5 UNDER 133.5 · 51.8% (124) ✓ Never met
Final UCF 70 vs 19Wisconsin 86 WIS Solid 66% ✓ WIS -4.5 WIS won by 16 · covered 148.5 UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (156) ✗ Never met
Final Temple 69 vs Florida St 78 FSU Solid 66% ✓ FSU -4.5 FSU won by 9 · covered 148.5 UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (147) ✓ 1 met · FSU 0 · TEM 1
Final Trinity Co Jax 68 @ Florida A&M 110 FAMU Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · FAMU 1 · TCJ 0
Final IU Indy 57 vs Coastal 71 CCU -2.5 CCU won by 14 · covered 132.5 UNDER 132.5 · 51.8% (128) ✓ Never met
Final St Thomas 73 vs Wofford 81 WOF -2.5 WOF won by 8 · covered 141.5 UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (154) ✗ Never met
Final Seton Hall 60 vs Vanderbilt 76 VAN Solid 69% ✓ VAN -5.5 VAN won by 16 · covered 134.5 UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (136) ✗ 1 met · VAN 0 · HALL 1
Final Bradley 77 vs Wright St 74 BRAD Solid 72% ✓ BRAD -6.5 BRAD won by 3 · not covered 146.5 UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (151) ✗ 2 met · WRST 0 · BRAD 2
Final Louisiana 69 vs Liberty 89 LIB Solid 85% ✓ LIB -11.5 LIB won by 20 · covered 133.5 UNDER 133.5 · 51.8% (158) ✗ Never met
Final Utah Tech 53 @ Utah 84 UTAH Banker 98% ✓ UTAH -25.5 UTAH won by 31 · covered 154.5 OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (137) ✗ 1 met · UTAH 1 · UTU 0
Final Campbell 60 @ Ohio State 104 OSU Banker 98% ✓ OSU -24.5 OSU won by 44 · covered 142.5 OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (164) ✓ 1 met · OSU 1 · CAM 0
Final Lamar 72 @ Akron 79 AKR Solid 81% ✓ AKR -9.5 AKR won by 7 · not covered 148.5 Never met
Final UT Martin 53 vs Le Moyne 65 UTM Solid 62% ✗ UTM -3.5 UTM lost by 12 · not covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (118) ✓ Never met
Final Monmouth 67 @ SF Austin 72 SFA Solid 69% ✓ SFA -5.5 SFA won by 5 · not covered 133.5 Never met
Final Toledo 82 vs Jax State 80 TOL Solid 66% ✓ TOL -4.5 TOL won by 2 · not covered 153.5 UNDER 153.5 · 51.8% (162) ✗ Never met
Final Winthrop 61 @ Louisville 76 LOU Banker 97% ✓ LOU -20.5 LOU won by 15 · not covered 160.5 OVER 160.5 · 52.3% (137) ✗ Never met
Final Merrimack 39 @ Butler 78 BTLR Banker 87% ✓ BTLR -12.5 MRMK +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ BTLR won by 39 · covered 135.5 Never met
Final S Illinois 68 @ 21Florida 93 FLA Banker 96% ✓ FLA -19.5 FLA won by 25 · covered 158.5 Never met
Final Jackson St 59 @ 9Kentucky 108 UK Banker 98% ✓ UK -35.5 UK won by 49 · covered 157.5 OVER 157.5 · 52.3% (167) ✓ Never met
Final Drexel 73 @ Fordham 71 FOR Solid 72% ✗ FOR -6.5 FOR lost by 2 · not covered 136.5 Never met
Final SC Upstate 76 @ ETSU 87 ETSU Solid 85% ✓ ETSU -11.5 ETSU won by 11 · not covered 152.5 15 met · ETSU 9 · UPST 6
Final Morgan St 73 @ Buffalo 82 BUF Solid 62% ✓ BUF -3.5 BUF won by 9 · covered 156.5 Never met
Final Chicago St 61 @ Indiana St 97 INST Banker 94% ✓ INST -17.5 CHST +17.5 · covers 53% ✗ INST won by 36 · covered 155.5 1 met · INST 1 · CHST 0
Final Colgate 67 @ Harvard 78 HARV -1.5 HARV won by 11 · covered 141.5 9 met · HARV 8 · COLG 1
Final VMI 66 @ Davidson 93 DAV Banker 96% ✓ DAV -19.5 DAV won by 27 · covered 146.5 5 met · DAV 3 · VMI 2
Final Army 79 @ Manhattan 80 ARMY -1.5 ARMY lost by 1 · not covered 138.5 1 met · MAN 1 · ARMY 0
Final NC Central 79 @ Georgia St 93 GAST Solid 66% ✓ GAST -4.5 GAST won by 14 · covered 142.5 Never met
Final William & Mary 61 @ NC State 84 NCSU Banker 92% ✓ NCSU -15.5 W&M +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ NCSU won by 23 · covered 165.5 3 met · NCSU 2 · W&M 1
Final Virginia 55 vs 22St John's 80 SJU Solid 83% ✓ SJU -10.5 SJU won by 25 · covered 127.5 UNDER 127.5 · 51.8% (135) ✗ 3 met · SJU 1 · UVA 2
Final Syracuse 74 vs Texas Tech 79 TTU Solid 85% ✓ TTU -11.5 TTU won by 5 · not covered 151.5 UNDER 151.5 · 51.8% (153) ✗ 1 met · TTU 0 · SYR 1
Final Pacific 56 @ Missouri 91 MIZ Banker 97% ✓ MIZ -20.5 MIZ won by 35 · covered 150.5 OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (147) ✗ Never met
Final Elon 84 @ Notre Dame 77 ND Banker 92% ✗ ND -15.5 ELON +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ ND lost by 7 · not covered 142.5 1 met · ND 1 · ELON 0
Final UNC Asheville 72 vs SE Missouri 64 UNCA Solid 78% ✓ UNCA -8.5 UNCA won by 8 · not covered 147.5 UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (136) ✓ Never met
Final LSU N Orleans 93 @ Tulane 87 TULN Banker 95% ✗ TULN -18.5 TULN lost by 6 · not covered 148.5 14 met · TULN 5 · NOLA 9
Final UL Monroe 65 @ N'Western St 63 NWST Solid 62% ✗ NWST -3.5 NWST lost by 2 · not covered 136.5 19 met · NWST 9 · ULM 10
Final VCU 61 vs Nevada 64 NEV -1.5 NEV won by 3 · covered 139.5 UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (125) ✓ 2 met · NEV 1 · VCU 1
Final Texas St 83 vs Princeton 80 PRIN Solid 72% ✗ PRIN -6.5 PRIN lost by 3 · not covered 138.5 UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (163) ✗ Never met
Final Hofstra 44 @ 7Houston 80 HOU Banker 98% ✓ HOU -28.5 HOU won by 36 · covered 132.5 OVER 132.5 · 52.3% (124) ✗ 1 met · HOU 1 · HOF 0
Final G Washington 71 vs Kansas St 83 KSU Solid 78% ✓ KSU -8.5 KSU won by 12 · covered 149.5 UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (154) ✗ 4 met · KSU 4 · GW 0
Final Utah State 77 vs Iowa 69 IOWA Solid 62% ✗ IOWA -3.5 IOWA lost by 8 · not covered 168.5 UNDER 168.5 · 51.8% (146) ✓ 2 met · IOWA 1 · USU 1
Final Pepperdine 50 @ Northwestern 68 NU Banker 95% ✓ NU -18.5 NU won by 18 · not covered 137.5 Never met
Final Nebraska 74 @ 14Creighton 63 CREI Solid 81% ✗ CREI -9.5 CREI lost by 11 · not covered 151.5 23 met · CREI 17 · NEB 6
Final Portland St 74 @ Milwaukee 91 MILW Solid 66% ✓ MILW -4.5 MILW won by 17 · covered 162.5 Never met
Final Rice 61 @ Hou Christian 58 RICE Solid 85% ✓ RICE -11.5 RICE won by 3 · not covered 135.5 13 met · HCU 3 · RICE 10
Final Incarnate Word 74 @ N Arizona 75 NAU Solid 66% ✓ NAU -4.5 NAU won by 1 · not covered 142.5 1 met · NAU 1 · UIW 0
Final SC State 82 @ Alabama A&M 70 SCST -1.5 SCST won by 12 · covered 147.5 1 met · AAMU 0 · SCST 1
Final Green Bay 81 @ Evansville 98 GB -1.5 GB lost by 17 · not covered 151.5 3 met · EVAN 2 · GB 1
Final Lane College 60 @ Arkansas St 103 Never met
Final Utah Valley 77 @ Murray St 75 MUR Solid 72% ✗ MUR -6.5 MUR lost by 2 · not covered 143.5 Never met
Final South Dakota 83 @ S Indiana 92 SDAK -2.5 SDAK lost by 9 · not covered 152.5 Never met
Final Mississippi St 84 @ SMU 79 MSST -1.5 MSST won by 5 · covered 158.5 Never met
Final SE Louisiana 61 @ Wyoming 64 WYO Solid 83% ✓ WYO -10.5 WYO won by 3 · not covered 141.5 1 met · WYO 0 · SELA 1
Final Omaha 67 vs Alabama St 85 ALST -1.5 ALST won by 18 · covered 143.5 UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (152) ✗ Never met
Final UC Irvine 93 @ Weber St 87 UCI Solid 72% ✓ UCI -6.5 UCI won by 6 · not covered 138.5 2 met · WEB 2 · UCI 0
Final UC Riverside 77 @ Colorado St 75 CSU Solid 85% ✗ CSU -11.5 CSU lost by 2 · not covered 143.5 Never met
Final Norfolk St 73 @ Grand Canyon 91 GCU Banker 95% ✓ GCU -18.5 GCU won by 18 · not covered 145.5 1 met · GCU 1 · NORF 0
Final Little Rock 67 @ 20Arkansas 79 ARK Banker 97% ✓ ARK -20.5 ARK won by 12 · not covered 144.5 OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (146) ✓ 1 met · ARK 1 · LR 0
Final 11Tennessee 77 vs 13Baylor 62 TENN Solid 66% ✓ TENN -4.5 TENN won by 15 · covered 142.5 UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (139) ✓ Never met
Final Texas 67 vs Saint Joseph's 58 TEX Solid 75% ✓ TEX -7.5 TEX won by 9 · covered 148.5 UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (125) ✓ 1 met · JOES 0 · TEX 1
Final Fullerton 47 @ UCLA 80 UCLA Banker 98% ✓ UCLA -26.5 UCLA won by 33 · covered 134.5 OVER 134.5 · 52.3% (127) ✗ 4 met · UCLA 2 · CSUF 2
Final Alcorn St 60 @ Washington 77 WASH Banker 98% ✓ WASH -26.5 WASH won by 17 · not covered 142.5 OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (137) ✗ Never met
Final North Dakota 77 @ LMU 73 LMU Solid 83% ✗ LMU -10.5 LMU lost by 4 · not covered 147.5 1 met · LMU 1 · UND 0
Final Southern Utah 72 @ San Diego 67 SUU -1.5 SUU won by 5 · covered 150.5 2 met · USD 2 · SUU 0
Final Northwest U 52 @ Seattle U 80 SEA Banker 95% ✓ 7 met · SEA 7 · NWWA 0
Final 12Duke 69 @ 17Arizona 55 ARIZ -1.5 ARIZ lost by 14 · not covered 162.5 3 met · ARIZ 3 · DUKE 0
Final Wichita St 88 vs Saint Louis 63 WICH Solid 62% ✓ WICH -3.5 WICH won by 25 · covered 154.5 UNDER 154.5 · 51.8% (151) ✓ 5 met · SLU 0 · WICH 5
Final 10North Carolina 87 @ Hawai'i 69 UNC Banker 92% ✓ UNC -15.5 HAW +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ UNC won by 18 · covered 152.5 1 met · HAW 0 · UNC 1