Saturday, November 23, 2024 56 games

Today: winner picks 32 of 37 right · line picks 3 of 4 right · total picks 9 of 25 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Georgia	69	vs 15Marquette	80	MARQ Solid 72% ✓	MARQ -6.5			MARQ won by 11 · covered	152.5	UNDER 152.5 · 51.8% (149) ✓		2 met · MARQ 1 · UGA 1
Final	FIU	76	vs Bakersfield	73		FIU -1.5			FIU won by 3 · covered	142.5	UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (149) ✗		Never met
Final	La Salle	92	vs Stetson	77	LAS Solid 85% ✓	LAS -11.5			LAS won by 15 · covered	146.5	UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (169) ✗		Never met
Final	Marshall	45	@ 6Purdue	80	PUR Banker 97% ✓	PUR -20.5			PUR won by 35 · covered	149.5	OVER 149.5 · 52.3% (125) ✗		Never met
Final	Saint Francis	65	@ Georgetown	82	GTWN Banker 97% ✓	GTWN -20.5			GTWN won by 17 · not covered	144.5	OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (147) ✓		Never met
Final	Boston U	75	@ UMBC	71		UMBC -2.5			UMBC lost by 4 · not covered	144.5			21 met · UMBC 6 · BU 15
Final	West Georgia	54	@ GA Southern	64	GASO Banker 91% ✓	GASO -14.5		WGA +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	GASO won by 10 · not covered	154.5			Never met
Final	Delaware	71	vs Vermont	75	UVM Solid 69% ✓	UVM -5.5			UVM won by 4 · not covered	139.5	UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (146) ✗		4 met · UVM 2 · DEL 2
Final	Presbyterian	71	vs Monmouth	61		MONM -0.5			MONM lost by 10 · not covered	136.5	UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (132) ✓		Never met
Final	Long Island	79	@ Charlotte	76	CLT Banker 91% ✗	CLT -14.5		LIU +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	CLT lost by 3 · not covered	140.5			1 met · CLT 1 · LIU 0
Final	Brown	83	@ Canisius	76	BRWN Solid 75% ✓	BRWN -7.5			BRWN won by 7 · not covered	144.5			4 met · CAN 2 · BRWN 2
Final	St Thomas	91	vs Portland St	65		STMN -2.5			STMN won by 26 · covered	151.5	UNDER 151.5 · 51.8% (156) ✗		1 met · PRST 0 · STMN 1
Final	UAlbany	67	vs Kansas City	65		KC -1.5			KC lost by 2 · not covered	142.5	UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (132) ✓		1 met · KC 0 · UALB 1
Final	Quinnipiac	70	@ UMass Lowell	80	UML Solid 69% ✓	UML -5.5			UML won by 10 · covered	153.5			Never met
Final	Northeastern	59	@ FGCU	55		FGCU -2.5			FGCU lost by 4 · not covered	135.5			Never met
Final	Kentucky St	59	@ N Kentucky	85									Never met
Final	East Carolina	72	vs UIC	55		ECU -1.5			ECU won by 17 · covered	149.5	UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓		Never met
Final	18Cincinnati	81	@ Georgia Tech	58	CIN Solid 72% ✓	CIN -6.5			CIN won by 23 · covered	150.5			1 met · GT 0 · CIN 1
Final	Ferrum	55	@ George Mason	100									Never met
Final	Furman	67	@ Charleston So	46	FUR Solid 81% ✓	FUR -9.5			FUR won by 21 · covered	148.5			4 met · CHSO 1 · FUR 3
Final	New Hampshire	49	@ Marist	54	MRST Banker 89% ✓	MRST -13.5		UNH +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	MRST won by 5 · not covered	138.5			7 met · MRST 3 · UNH 4
Final	SC State	72	vs IU Indy	62		SCST -1.5			SCST won by 10 · covered	142.5	UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (134) ✓		Never met
Final	Fairfield	66	vs Yale	91	YALE Solid 85% ✓	YALE -11.5			YALE won by 25 · covered	139.5	UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (157) ✗		8 met · YALE 4 · FAIR 4
Final	Bowling Green	68	@ Bellarmine	80	BGSU Solid 66% ✗	BGSU -4.5			BGSU lost by 12 · not covered	146.5			1 met · BELL 1 · BGSU 0
Final	UAB	83	vs Illinois St	84	UAB Solid 75% ✗	UAB -7.5			UAB lost by 1 · not covered	145.5	UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (167) ✗		3 met · ILST 2 · UAB 1
Final	James Madison	71	vs Jax State	65	JMU Solid 62% ✓	JMU -3.5			JMU won by 6 · covered	139.5	UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (136) ✓		Never met
Final	Detroit Mercy	57	@ Wake Forest	67	WAKE Banker 98% ✓	WAKE -24.5			WAKE won by 10 · not covered	140.5	OVER 140.5 · 52.3% (124) ✗		Never met
Final	MD Eastern	40	@ 25Illinois	87	ILL Banker 98% ✓	ILL -36.5			ILL won by 47 · covered	154.5	OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (127) ✗		1 met · ILL 1 · UMES 0
Final	Wofford	74	@ Milwaukee	76	MILW Solid 62% ✓	MILW -3.5			MILW won by 2 · not covered	148.5			Never met
Final	Omaha	84	@ Akron	92	AKR Solid 85% ✓	AKR -11.5			AKR won by 8 · not covered	148.5			Never met
Final	American	73	vs PR-Bayamon	56									Never met
Final	Springfield	46	@ Wagner	81									Never met
Final	Delaware St	66	@ Mount St Marys	76	MSM Solid 75% ✓	MSM -7.5			MSM won by 10 · covered	139.5			1 met · MSM 0 · DSU 1
Final	Le Moyne	61	@ Texas A&M-CC	82	AMCC Solid 85% ✓	AMCC -11.5			AMCC won by 21 · covered	151.5			Never met
Final	Fresno St	72	@ Long Beach St	69	LBSU Solid 62% ✗	LBSU -3.5			LBSU lost by 3 · not covered	140.5			4 met · LBSU 1 · FRES 3
Final	UL Monroe	62	vs North Alabama	74	UNA Solid 81% ✓	UNA -9.5			UNA won by 12 · covered	143.5	UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (136) ✓		Never met
Final	N Illinois	52	@ DePaul	98	DEP Banker 94% ✓	DEP -17.5		NIU +17.5 · covers 53% ✗	DEP won by 46 · covered	143.5			8 met · DEP 5 · NIU 3
Final	UMass	80	vs Temple	87		MASS -1.5			MASS lost by 7 · not covered	148.5	UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (167) ✗		20 met · TEM 13 · MASS 7
Final	Idaho	67	vs Southern Utah	82		SUU -2.5			SUU won by 15 · covered	145.5	UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (149) ✗		21 met · SUU 15 · IDHO 6
Final	Coastal	70	@ Alabama A&M	77		CCU -2.5			CCU lost by 7 · not covered	134.5			Never met
Final	Louisiana	74	vs G Washington	83	GW Solid 72% ✓	GW -6.5			GW won by 9 · covered	151.5	UNDER 151.5 · 51.8% (157) ✗		Never met
Final	Toledo	45	vs UC San Diego	80		TOL -1.5			TOL lost by 35 · not covered	154.5	UNDER 154.5 · 51.8% (125) ✓		Never met
Final	SC Upstate	74	vs Queens	98	QUC Solid 62% ✓	QUC -3.5			QUC won by 24 · covered	157.5	UNDER 157.5 · 51.8% (172) ✗		Never met
Final	Tulsa	53	@ Loyola Chicago	89	LUC Solid 81% ✓	LUC -9.5			LUC won by 36 · covered	148.5			2 met · LUC 0 · TLSA 2
Final	Lamar	75	vs Alabama St	77		ALST -1.5			ALST won by 2 · covered	149.5	UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (152) ✗		Never met
Final	Rider	57	@ Bucknell	53	BUCK Solid 66% ✗	BUCK -4.5			BUCK lost by 4 · not covered	141.5			5 met · BUCK 3 · RID 2
Final	Kent State	68	@ Cleveland St	52		KENT -2.5			KENT won by 16 · covered	135.5			18 met · CLE 5 · KENT 13
Final	Stony Brook	63	@ Columbia	82	COLU Solid 85% ✓	COLU -11.5			COLU won by 19 · covered	152.5			16 met · COLU 6 · STBK 10
Final	New Mexico St	65	@ UNLV	72	UNLV Solid 85% ✓	UNLV -11.5			UNLV won by 7 · not covered	141.5			Never met
Final	St Ambrose	49	@ SIUE	83	SIUE Banker 95% ✓								1 met · SIUE 1 · STAM 0
Final	Youngstown St	57	@ SF Austin	64	SFA Solid 62% ✓	SFA -3.5			SFA won by 7 · covered	128.5			Never met
Final	E Washington	68	@ CA Baptist	79	CBU Solid 75% ✓	CBU -7.5			CBU won by 11 · covered	151.5			Never met
Final	Prairie View	98	@ N Colorado	114	UNCO Banker 96% ✓	UNCO -19.5			UNCO won by 16 · not covered	160.5			1 met · UNCO 1 · PV 0
Final	Cal Poly	66	@ Saint Mary's	80	SMC Banker 97% ✓	SMC -20.5			SMC won by 14 · not covered	148.5	OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (146) ✗		9 met · SMC 7 · CP 2
Final	Miss Valley St	43	@ BYU	87	BYU Banker 98% ✓	BYU -45.5			BYU won by 44 · not covered	144.5	OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (130) ✗		3 met · BYU 3 · MVSU 0
Final	Stanford	71	@ Santa Clara	69		SCU -1.5			SCU lost by 2 · not covered	147.5			7 met · SCU 4 · STAN 3