NCAA Predictor
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Wednesday, November 20, 2024 47 games

Today: winner picks 29 of 35 right · line picks 8 of 14 right · total picks 2 of 8 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Fisher 66 @ UMass Lowell 121 UML Banker 95% ✓ 4 met · UML 4 · FISH 0
Final Mitchell 49 @ Holy Cross 88 Never met
Final Charleston 76 @ The Citadel 61 COFC Banker 87% ✓ COFC -12.5 CIT +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ COFC won by 15 · covered 145.5 29 met · CIT 3 · COFC 26
Final Siena 55 @ Xavier 80 XAV Banker 98% ✓ XAV -26.5 XAV won by 25 · not covered 144.5 OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (135) ✗ 2 met · XAV 2 · SIE 0
Final Yale 86 @ Stony Brook 64 YALE Solid 81% ✓ YALE -9.5 YALE won by 22 · covered 143.5 4 met · STBK 1 · YALE 3
Final Abilene Chrstn 78 @ Kennesaw St 84 KENN Solid 66% ✓ KENN -4.5 KENN won by 6 · covered 156.5 Never met
Final Iona 43 @ West Virginia 86 WVU Banker 87% ✓ WVU -12.5 IONA +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ WVU won by 43 · covered 146.5 Never met
Final Jacksonville 74 @ Virginia Tech 64 VT Banker 89% ✗ VT -13.5 JAX +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ VT lost by 10 · not covered 135.5 Never met
Final Purdue FW 89 @ Penn State 102 PSU Banker 94% ✓ PSU -17.5 PFW +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ PSU won by 13 · not covered 159.5 1 met · PSU 1 · PFW 0
Final Coppin St 55 @ George Mason 93 GMU Banker 98% ✓ GMU -28.5 GMU won by 38 · covered 134.5 OVER 134.5 · 52.3% (148) ✓ 2 met · GMU 2 · COPP 0
Final New Mexico St 53 @ Dayton 74 DAY Banker 92% ✓ DAY -15.5 NMSU +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ DAY won by 21 · covered 142.5 Never met
Final Lafayette 72 @ Rhode Island 86 URI Banker 92% ✓ URI -15.5 LAF +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ URI won by 14 · not covered 147.5 1 met · URI 1 · LAF 0
Final Maine 66 @ Richmond 70 RICH Solid 78% ✓ RICH -8.5 RICH won by 4 · not covered 129.5 1 met · RICH 1 · ME 0
Final Mansfield 54 @ St Bonaventure 76 Never met
Final Detroit Mercy 70 @ Ball State 59 BALL Solid 85% ✗ BALL -11.5 BALL lost by 11 · not covered 143.5 3 met · BALL 2 · DETM 1
Final Elon 75 @ N Illinois 48 ELON -1.5 ELON won by 27 · covered 144.5 1 met · NIU 0 · ELON 1
Final South Dakota 80 @ W Michigan 76 SDAK -2.5 SDAK won by 4 · covered 157.5 Never met
Final FDU 70 @ Army 84 ARMY Solid 72% ✓ ARMY -6.5 ARMY won by 14 · covered 148.5 10 met · ARMY 6 · FDU 4
Final Columbia 80 @ Long Island 72 COLU Solid 83% ✓ COLU -10.5 COLU won by 8 · not covered 153.5 7 met · LIU 2 · COLU 5
Final Valley Forge 53 @ Lehigh 100 Never met
Final PSU Schuylkill 57 @ Saint Francis 96 Never met
Final Austin Peay 58 @ Morehead St 63 MORE -0.5 MORE won by 5 · covered 138.5 33 met · MORE 17 · APSU 16
Final Endicott 64 @ New Hampshire 78 Never met
Final Morgan St 83 @ NC A&T 86 NCAT Solid 72% ✓ NCAT -6.5 NCAT won by 3 · not covered 158.5 28 met · NCAT 12 · MORG 16
Final St Elizabeth 51 @ Saint Peter's 116 Never met
Final Central St 52 @ C Michigan 86 Never met
Final Oglethorpe 48 @ Furman 124 Never met
Final Towson 70 @ Nicholls 64 TOW -2.5 TOW won by 6 · covered 136.5 1 met · NICH 0 · TOW 1
Final Southern 54 @ 23Texas A&M 71 TA&M Banker 98% ✓ TA&M -25.5 TA&M won by 17 · not covered 143.5 OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (125) ✗ 3 met · TA&M 2 · SOU 1
Final Merrimack 63 @ 24Rutgers 74 RUTG Banker 96% ✓ RUTG -19.5 RUTG won by 11 · not covered 134.5 1 met · RUTG 1 · MRMK 0
Final Jackson St 62 @ Western KY 79 WKU Banker 91% ✓ WKU -14.5 JKST +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ WKU won by 17 · covered 151.5 Never met
Final MD Eastern 61 @ Murray St 79 MUR Banker 98% ✓ MUR -24.5 MUR won by 18 · not covered 149.5 OVER 149.5 · 52.3% (140) ✗ Never met
Final Little Rock 71 @ Tulsa 57 TLSA Banker 87% ✗ TLSA -12.5 LR +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ TLSA lost by 14 · not covered 150.5 13 met · TLSA 7 · LR 6
Final Southern Miss 76 @ S Dakota St 101 SDST Solid 72% ✓ SDST -6.5 SDST won by 25 · covered 153.5 1 met · SDST 1 · USM 0
Final Mount St Marys 51 @ Georgetown 79 GTWN Banker 91% ✓ GTWN -14.5 MSM +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ GTWN won by 28 · covered 143.5 6 met · GTWN 6 · MSM 0
Final 25Illinois 87 vs 8Alabama 100 ALA Solid 78% ✓ ALA -8.5 ALA won by 13 · covered 168.5 UNDER 168.5 · 51.8% (187) ✗ 1 met · ALA 1 · ILL 0
Final Long Beach St 41 @ 3Gonzaga 84 GONZ Banker 98% ✓ GONZ -34.5 GONZ won by 43 · covered 151.5 OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (125) ✗ 1 met · GONZ 1 · LBSU 0
Final Cal Poly 89 @ Arizona St 93 ASU Banker 93% ✓ ASU -16.5 CP +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ ASU won by 4 · not covered 154.5 2 met · ASU 2 · CP 0
Final UC Davis 75 @ Grand Canyon 68 GCU Banker 94% ✗ GCU -17.5 UCD +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ GCU lost by 7 · not covered 152.5 Never met
Final Norfolk St 63 @ Stanford 70 STAN Banker 97% ✓ STAN -20.5 STAN won by 7 · not covered 142.5 OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (133) ✗ Never met
Final San José St 68 @ USC 82 USC Banker 94% ✓ USC -17.5 SJSU +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ USC won by 14 · not covered 141.5 Never met
Final Prairie View 83 @ Fresno St 94 FRES Banker 91% ✓ FRES -14.5 PV +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ FRES won by 11 · not covered 155.5 1 met · FRES 0 · PV 1
Final Pepperdine 59 @ UNLV 80 UNLV Banker 91% ✓ UNLV -14.5 PEPP +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ UNLV won by 21 · covered 146.5 3 met · UNLV 1 · PEPP 2
Final UTEP 79 @ Santa Barbara 76 UCSB Solid 69% ✗ UCSB -5.5 UCSB lost by 3 · not covered 145.5 1 met · UCSB 0 · UTEP 1
Final Stanislaus St 38 @ Saint Mary's 78 SMC Banker 95% ✓ 2 met · SMC 2 · CSUS 0
Final N Colorado 79 @ CA Baptist 68 CBU Solid 66% ✗ CBU -4.5 CBU lost by 11 · not covered 150.5 1 met · CBU 1 · UNCO 0
Final Idaho St 70 @ UCLA 84 UCLA Banker 98% ✓ UCLA -24.5 UCLA won by 14 · not covered 130.5 OVER 130.5 · 52.3% (154) ✓ 1 met · UCLA 1 · IDST 0