Tuesday, November 19, 2024 54 games
Today: winner picks 41 of 44 right · line picks 5 of 11 right · total picks 5 of 14 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | Embry Rid (AZ) | 47 | @ |
82 | NAU Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · NAU 1 · ERAZ 0 | |||||||
| Final | 74 | @ |
63 | QUIN -2.5 | QUIN won by 11 · covered | 148.5 | 3 met · NAVY 1 · QUIN 2 | ||||||
| Final | 61 | @ |
82 | BC Banker 87% ✓ | BC -12.5 | L-MD +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ | BC won by 21 · covered | 135.5 | 1 met · BC 1 · L-MD 0 | ||||
| Final | 66 | @ |
60 | LONG Solid 72% ✓ | LONG -6.5 | LONG won by 6 · not covered | 142.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 53 | @ |
65 | APP Solid 78% ✓ | APP -8.5 | APP won by 12 · covered | 149.5 | 1 met · APP 1 · QUC 0 | |||||
| Final | 68 | @ |
100 | LOU Banker 98% ✓ | LOU -29.5 | LOU won by 32 · covered | 146.5 | OVER 146.5 · 52.3% (168) ✓ | 3 met · LOU 2 · BELL 1 | ||||
| Final | 69 | @ |
82 | WAKE Banker 98% ✓ | WAKE -22.5 | WAKE won by 13 · not covered | 145.5 | OVER 145.5 · 52.3% (151) ✓ | 2 met · WAKE 2 · WCU 0 | ||||
| Final | 37 | @ |
108 | MD Banker 98% ✓ | MD -31.5 | MD won by 71 · covered | 139.5 | OVER 139.5 · 52.3% (145) ✓ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 68 | @ |
97 | UK Banker 97% ✓ | UK -21.5 | UK won by 29 · covered | 158.5 | OVER 158.5 · 52.3% (165) ✓ | 2 met · UK 2 · LIP 0 | ||||
| Final | 60 | @ |
84 | FLA Banker 98% ✓ | FLA -35.5 | FLA won by 24 · not covered | 156.5 | OVER 156.5 · 52.3% (144) ✗ | 10 met · FLA 10 · FAMU 0 | ||||
| Final | 45 | @ |
93 | UGA Banker 98% ✓ | UGA -26.5 | UGA won by 48 · covered | 151.5 | OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (138) ✗ | 3 met · UGA 3 · AAMU 0 | ||||
| Final | 47 | @ |
58 | MINN Banker 89% ✓ | MINN -13.5 | CLE +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ | MINN won by 11 · not covered | 128.5 | 1 met · MINN 1 · CLE 0 | ||||
| Final | 30 | @ |
80 | OSU Banker 98% ✓ | OSU -24.5 | OSU won by 50 · covered | 148.5 | OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (110) ✗ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 48 | @ |
78 | PROV Banker 98% ✓ | PROV -24.5 | PROV won by 30 · covered | 136.5 | OVER 136.5 · 52.3% (126) ✗ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 46 | @ |
81 | CONN Banker 98% ✓ | CONN -38.5 | CONN won by 35 · not covered | 147.5 | OVER 147.5 · 52.3% (127) ✗ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 49 | @ |
93 | VILL Banker 92% ✓ | VILL -15.5 | PENN +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ | VILL won by 44 · covered | 142.5 | 21 met · VILL 18 · PENN 3 | ||||
| Final | 76 | @ |
60 | CIN Banker 89% ✓ | CIN -13.5 | NKU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ | CIN won by 16 · covered | 138.5 | 3 met · NKU 1 · CIN 2 | ||||
| Final | 69 | @ |
80 | UCF Banker 98% ✓ | UCF -23.5 | UCF won by 11 · not covered | 143.5 | OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (149) ✓ | 1 met · UCF 1 · TNTC 0 | ||||
| Final | 61 | @ |
79 | FSU Solid 81% ✓ | FSU -9.5 | FSU won by 18 · covered | 143.5 | 1 met · FSU 0 · HOF 1 | |||||
| Final | 58 | @ |
75 | ND Banker 95% ✓ | ND -18.5 | ND won by 17 · not covered | 145.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
74 | DUQ Solid 72% ✗ | DUQ -6.5 | DUQ lost by 6 · not covered | 151.5 | 1 met · DUQ 1 · MILW 0 | |||||
| Final | Georgian Court | 61 | @ |
101 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | S Wesleyan | 63 | @ |
95 | 1 met · UPST 0 · SWES 1 | ||||||||
| Final | 62 | @ |
75 | MRST Solid 81% ✓ | MRST -9.5 | MRST won by 13 · covered | 138.5 | 4 met · MRST 4 · DART 0 | |||||
| Final | 68 | @ |
76 | BGSU Solid 78% ✓ | BGSU -8.5 | BGSU won by 8 · not covered | 148.5 | 1 met · BGSU 0 · NIA 1 | |||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
78 | UVM Banker 94% ✓ | UVM -17.5 | BUF +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ | UVM won by 11 · not covered | 139.5 | 3 met · UVM 2 · BUF 1 | ||||
| Final | 86 | @ |
66 | EKU Solid 72% ✓ | EKU -6.5 | EKU won by 20 · covered | 148.5 | 3 met · CHST 0 · EKU 3 | |||||
| Final | Mt Aloysius | 45 | @ |
98 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | 60 | @ |
58 | BU Solid 66% ✗ | BU -4.5 | BU lost by 2 · not covered | 119.5 | 1 met · BU 1 · WAG 0 | |||||
| Final | 84 | @ |
65 | TROY Banker 91% ✓ | TROY -14.5 | WGA +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ | TROY won by 19 · covered | 144.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final | 78 | @ |
68 | UMBC Solid 72% ✗ | UMBC -6.5 | UMBC lost by 10 · not covered | 146.5 | 3 met · UMBC 3 · HAMP 0 | |||||
| Final | 54 | @ |
60 | CLT Solid 75% ✓ | CLT -7.5 | CLT won by 6 · not covered | 141.5 | 3 met · CLT 2 · GWEB 1 | |||||
| Final | 67 | @ |
61 | FAIR -0.5 | FAIR lost by 6 · not covered | 136.5 | 5 met · FAIR 3 · DREX 2 | ||||||
| Final | 55 | @ |
71 | Never met | |||||||||
| Final | 57 | @ |
82 | GB Solid 62% ✓ | GB -3.5 | GB won by 25 · covered | 149.5 | 3 met · GB 2 · SIUE 1 | |||||
| Final | East West | 33 | @ |
110 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | 57 | @ |
72 | TULN Banker 89% ✓ | TULN -13.5 | BCU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ | TULN won by 15 · covered | 146.5 | 1 met · TULN 1 · BCU 0 | ||||
| Final | 80 | @ |
90 | BEL Solid 81% ✓ | BEL -9.5 | BEL won by 10 · covered | 153.5 | 1 met · BEL 1 · ORU 0 | |||||
| John Melvin | @ |
Never met | |||||||||||
| Final | 58 | @ |
83 | IOWA Banker 96% ✓ | IOWA -19.5 | IOWA won by 25 · covered | 156.5 | Never met | |||||
| Final | 66 | @ |
84 | KU Banker 98% ✓ | KU -24.5 | KU won by 18 · not covered | 160.5 | OVER 160.5 · 52.3% (150) ✗ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 56 | @ |
74 | KSU Banker 98% ✓ | KSU -39.5 | KSU won by 18 · not covered | 136.5 | OVER 136.5 · 52.3% (130) ✗ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 48 | @ |
71 | TCU Banker 98% ✓ | TCU -31.5 | TCU won by 23 · not covered | 145.5 | OVER 145.5 · 52.3% (119) ✗ | 1 met · TCU 1 · ALCN 0 | ||||
| Final | 68 | @ |
77 | LSU Banker 98% ✓ | LSU -25.5 | LSU won by 9 · not covered | 152.5 | OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (145) ✗ | Never met | ||||
| Final | 56 | @ |
82 | UNI Banker 92% ✓ | UNI -15.5 | WIU +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ | UNI won by 26 · covered | 135.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final | 75 | @ |
83 | MSU Banker 93% ✓ | MSU -16.5 | SAM +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ | MSU won by 8 · not covered | 163.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final | 68 | @ |
78 | MOST -0.5 | MOST won by 10 · covered | 150.5 | Never met | ||||||
| Final | 72 | @ |
76 | LUC Banker 91% ✓ | LUC -14.5 | SUU +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ | LUC won by 4 · not covered | 147.5 | 1 met · LUC 1 · SUU 0 | ||||
| Final | 83 | @ |
61 | UL -2.5 | UL lost by 22 · not covered | 142.5 | 4 met · UL 2 · RICE 2 | ||||||
| Final | 58 | @ |
76 | MARQ Solid 69% ✓ | MARQ -5.5 | MARQ won by 18 · covered | 152.5 | 4 met · MARQ 1 · PUR 3 | |||||
| Final | 69 | @ |
72 | NU Banker 91% ✓ | NU -14.5 | MTST +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ | NU won by 3 · not covered | 135.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final | 69 | @ |
78 | DEP Banker 95% ✓ | DEP -18.5 | DEP won by 9 · not covered | 145.5 | 2 met · DEP 2 · EIU 0 | |||||
| Final | Evergreen | 58 | @ |
101 | IDHO Banker 95% ✓ | 3 met · IDHO 3 · ESC 0 | |||||||
| Final | 54 | @ |
96 | SCU Solid 81% ✓ | SCU -9.5 | SCU won by 42 · covered | 151.5 | 3 met · SCU 2 · UCR 1 |