Monday, November 18, 2024 31 games

Today: winner picks 24 of 26 right · line picks 3 of 4 right · total picks 7 of 9 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Miami OH	67	@ Michigan	94	MICH Banker 98% ✓	MICH -23.5			MICH won by 27 · covered	151.5	OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (161) ✓		2 met · MICH 2 · M-OH 0
Final	Bryant	85	@ Delaware	84		BRY -2.5			BRY won by 1 · not covered	160.5			1 met · DEL 1 · BRY 0
Final	UNC Asheville	89	@ North Florida	75	UNF Solid 72% ✗	UNF -6.5			UNF lost by 14 · not covered	153.5			Never met
Final	VMI	48	@ Pitt	93	PITT Banker 98% ✓	PITT -35.5			PITT won by 45 · covered	156.5	OVER 156.5 · 52.3% (141) ✗		2 met · PITT 2 · VMI 0
Final	NJIT	64	@ G Washington	84	GW Banker 97% ✓	GW -20.5			GW won by 20 · not covered	141.5	OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (148) ✓		Never met
Final	American	73	@ High Point	80	HPU Banker 89% ✓	HPU -13.5		AMER +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	HPU won by 7 · not covered	137.5			Never met
Final	Colgate	49	@ NC State	72	NCSU Banker 87% ✓	NCSU -12.5		COLG +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	NCSU won by 23 · covered	149.5			1 met · NCSU 1 · COLG 0
Final	S Virginia	50	@ Radford	96	RAD Banker 95% ✓								2 met · RAD 2 · SOVA 0
Final	Gallaudet	58	@ MD Eastern	113									Never met
Final	Toccoa Falls	66	@ Georgia St	106	GAST Banker 95% ✓								4 met · GAST 4 · TOCC 0
Final	Howard	75	@ FIU	70	FIU Solid 66% ✗	FIU -4.5			FIU lost by 5 · not covered	155.5			2 met · FIU 0 · HOW 2
Final	VA Lynchburg	64	@ Alabama St	115	ALST Banker 95% ✓								Never met
Final	North Texas	61	@ McNeese	68	MCN Solid 66% ✓	MCN -4.5			MCN won by 7 · covered	128.5			1 met · MCN 0 · UNT 1
Final	SE Louisiana	70	@ UL Monroe	67		SELA -1.5			SELA won by 3 · covered	138.5			10 met · ULM 4 · SELA 6
Final	AU Montgomery	64	@ UAB	109									Never met
Final	Monmouth	66	@ Wichita St	70	WICH Banker 93% ✓	WICH -16.5		MONM +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	WICH won by 4 · not covered	154.5			1 met · WICH 0 · MONM 1
Final	Miss Christian	67	@ Louisiana Tech	105	LT Banker 95% ✓								2 met · LT 2 · MSC 0
Final	Prairie View	69	@ SMU	110	SMU Banker 98% ✓	SMU -31.5			SMU won by 41 · covered	162.5	OVER 162.5 · 52.3% (179) ✓		2 met · SMU 2 · PV 0
Final	IU Indy	52	@ 5Iowa State	87	ISU Banker 98% ✓	ISU -34.5			ISU won by 35 · covered	145.5	OVER 145.5 · 52.3% (139) ✗		1 met · ISU 1 · IUIN 0
Final	UT Rio Grande	84	@ 19Wisconsin	87	WIS Banker 97% ✓	WIS -20.5			WIS won by 3 · not covered	154.5	OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (171) ✓		Never met
Final	AR-Pine Bluff	64	@ Texas Tech	98	TTU Banker 98% ✓	TTU -40.5			TTU won by 34 · not covered	156.5	OVER 156.5 · 52.3% (162) ✓		3 met · TTU 3 · UAPB 0
Final	Pacific	72	@ 20Arkansas	91	ARK Banker 97% ✓	ARK -21.5			ARK won by 19 · not covered	148.5	OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (163) ✓		Never met
Final	Spring Hill	61	@ South Alabama	95	USA Banker 95% ✓								13 met · USA 13 · SPRH 0
Final	Calvary	19	@ Kansas City	119	KC Banker 95% ✓								2 met · KC 2 · CLV 0
Final	N Dakota St	44	@ S Illinois	69	SIU Solid 75% ✓	SIU -7.5			SIU won by 25 · covered	151.5			1 met · SIU 1 · NDSU 0
Final	Mount Marty	41	@ S Dakota St	89	SDST Banker 95% ✓								3 met · SDST 3 · MMU 0
Final	North Alabama	69	@ 4Auburn	102	AUB Banker 98% ✓	AUB -29.5			AUB won by 33 · covered	151.5	OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (171) ✓		2 met · AUB 2 · UNA 0
Final	Montana	83	@ Utah State	95	USU Banker 93% ✓	USU -16.5		MONT +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	USU won by 12 · not covered	151.5			Never met
Final	N Colorado	69	@ Washington St	83	WSU Solid 85% ✓	WSU -11.5			WSU won by 14 · covered	156.5			1 met · WSU 1 · UNCO 0
Final	Idaho St	61	@ Fullerton	62		CSUF -2.5			CSUF won by 1 · not covered	134.5			4 met · CSUF 1 · IDST 3
Final	3Gonzaga	80	@ San Diego St	67	GONZ Solid 83% ✓	GONZ -10.5			GONZ won by 13 · covered	149.5			4 met · SDSU 3 · GONZ 1